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Expect Goals Galore in Leafs-Stars Matchup Tonight

Toronto’s maintenance crew better get some extra red lights ready for this one between the Stars and Leafs in the Big Smoke tonight. The last time these teams met, just over a week ago, they combined for nine goals in a game that easily went OVER its 5.5 goal total. At the time of writing, there were no posted betting lines but it wouldn’t be surprising to see a rare 6.5 goal total with the way scoring is trending in the NHL.

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of the Stars’ last 6 games and 3 of the Leafs’ last 4.
  • The Leafs are 3-7 in their last 10 games on the 2nd half of a back-to-back.
  • The Stars are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games with 2 days off between games.

In their last two games, the Maple Leafs have been on two different sides of 6-5 scorelines. 11 is an incredibly high NHL total but it looks like it’s starting to become the norm. Leafs games are averaging nine goals per contest over the last four while the Stars’ last four games are averaging a total of 7.75.

Both these teams are in the bottom third in goals allowed per game and they're both in the top 12 in goals for – with the Stars making a serious surge up the latter of those two leaderboards. With the Leafs on the second half of a crazy back-to-back, I could see this game getting wildly out of hand.

This could be a great spot to take advantage of an alternative total as I can’t foresee a result tonight that doesn’t have at least seven or eight goals.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The Toronto Maple Leafs were listed earlier today as -100 moneyline underdogs at most sportsbooks tracked by Odds Shark (including Bovada), while odds makers set the opening betting total around 5.5.

Odds Shark computer prediction handicapping models run on this game pick a 3-2.5 victory for the Maple Leafs. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NHL matchups here.

Dallas Stars vs Toronto Maple Leafs Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Dallas Stars will look to vanquish their hosts on Tuesday, as they are 21-22-10 this season, while the Maple Leafs are 24-17-10. Dallas is 27-26 against the total, while Toronto is 24-26-1 versus the number. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Toronto vs Dallas injuries news.

According to new NHL Power Rankings here at Odds Shark, it's the No. 4-ranked Toronto Maple Leafs and the No. 7-rated Dallas Stars in this matchup.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Toronto Maple Leafs No. 6-ranked offense (3.14 goals per game) against a Dallas Stars defense that ranks No. 29 at 3.19 goals per game allowed. The Maple Leafs powerplay has clicked at a 23.87% rate while the Stars have a 73.14% rate on the penalty kill.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Dallas was a 5-3 loser in its last match at home against the Blackhawks. They lost as favorites, while the total score of 8 made winners of OVER bettors.

In their last action, Toronto was a 6-5 loser on the road against the Islanders. Bettors on New York at -125 on the moneyline collected their winnings from that game, while the total score (11) sent OVER bettors home happy as well.

Betting Trends
  • Dallas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games
  • Dallas is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
  • Dallas is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games on the road
  • Toronto is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
  • Toronto is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
  • Toronto is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Dallas at Ottawa, Thursday, February 9th
Toronto home to St. Louis, Thursday, February 9th