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Stars' History of Dominance Over the Caps Shouldn't Affect Your Capping

Two teams on very different trajectories will tilt in D.C. tonight when the Stars pay a visit to the Verizon Center looking for their 10th win in their last 11 games against the Capitals. Washington’s overtime win in the Big D back in January snapped a nine-game losing streak against the Stars that dated back to 2010.

SHARK BITES
  • The Capitals have an all-time record of 6-21-3 against the Dallas Stars.
  • The Capitals are 9-2 SU and 7-4 on the puckline when favored by -200 or more this season.
  • Over their last six games, the Capitals have allowed just 1.5 goals per game.

Braden Holtby and the Caps keep on showing why they’re once again leading the league in points and with a 1.88 goals per game differential in D.C., they’ve been nearly invincible at home. Their starting goalie is a big reason for that impressive stat with his .933 save percentage on his home ice but it also doesn’t hurt that the Capitals have given up an average of just 25.8 shots per home game this season.

Conversely, the Stars are one of the worst road teams in the NHL with a goals per game differential of -1.27 away from Dallas. That horrendous ratio has translated into an 8-22 SU record on the road this season along with a 12-18 record against the spread.

The Dallas goalies are averaging an .879 road save percentage as a team this year and for that reason, along with the others listed above, I’ll be backing the Capitals to win by a goal and a half this evening.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Sportsbooks such as Bovada had the Washington Capitals as -250 moneyline favorites in this particular NHL betting matchup earlier. The over under total, meanwhile, was set early at 6 before betting started to move the line at Bet365.

Odds Shark computer prediction handicapping models run on this game pick a 3-2.2 victory for the Capitals. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NHL matchups here.

Dallas Stars vs Washington Capitals Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Washington Capitals currently sport a record of 44-13-7. The Dallas Stars are 26-29-10. Betting totals have seen the Capitals post a 26-24-14 OVER/UNDER record this season, while the Stars have gone 34-31 against the number. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Washington vs Dallas injuries news.

The NHL Power Rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Washington Capitals rated this week at No. 1 and the Dallas Stars sitting at No. 5.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Washington Capitals No. 3-ranked offense (3.28 goals per game) against a Dallas Stars defense that ranks No. 28 at 3.22 goals per game allowed. The Capitals powerplay has clicked at a 22.22% rate while the Stars have a 73.68% rate on the penalty kill.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Dallas was a 2-1 winner in its last match on the road against the Panthers. They won as +140 underdogs, while the total score of 3 made winners of UNDER bettors.

Last time out for Washington, they were a 2-1 winner as they battled the Flyers at home. Moneyline bettors who got the Capitals at -260 were rewarded, while the 3 combined goals moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.

Betting Trends
  • Dallas is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
  • Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 10 games
  • Dallas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
  • Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
  • Washington is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Dallas home to Ottawa, Wednesday, March 8th
Washington at San Jose, Thursday, March 9th

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