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Trends Point Towards a Win for Lightning

Kucherov Tampa Bay Lighting

The Lightning will attempt to jump out to a 2-0 series lead over the visiting Red Wings tonight and look to continue a trend that’s seen them win six straight against the Wings when the teams play in Florida.

Another trend working in Tampa’s favor is winning games that they’re supposed to, as they’ve now gone 7-1 in their last eight games as favorites. Online sportsbook Bovada has them at -160 tonight with Detroit coming back at +130.

Shark Bites
  • Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last six games on the road.
  • Tampa Bay is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games at home.
  • The total has gone OVER in five of the Lightning' last six games after a win.

Something working against the Wings (and their hopes for a run in the playoffs) is their recent record against teams with winning records, as they’ve now lost five straight in that spot. If you think I’m piling up on Detroit, you’re 100% correct, because so many recent trends point to Tampa Bay, including their 5-1 record in their last six games after winning the previous game in a matchup.

The first game in the series was a tightly contested one that saw Detroit rack up 36 shots to Tampa’s 34. Unless they want to go back to Detroit in a two-game hole, the Wings’ power play will have to wake up after going 0-5 in Game 1.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Sportsbooks such as Bovada had the Tampa Bay Lightning as -150 moneyline favorites in this particular NHL betting matchup earlier. The over under total, meanwhile, was set early at 5 before betting started to move the line at Bet365.

Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 3.1-2.4 win for the Red Wings. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NHL matchups here.

Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 47-31-5 so far on the season. The Detroit Red Wings, meanwhile, are 41-31-11. OVER/UNDER betting fans have seen Tampa Bay go 34-39-10 and the Red Wings go 31-36-16 on the totals. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Tampa Bay vs Detroit injuries news.

This game matches up the No. 21 (Tampa Bay Lightning) and the No. 10 (Detroit Red Wings) teams according to our current NHL Power Rankings.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Tampa Bay's No. 13-ranked offense, averaging 2.77 goals per game, against a Red Wings defense that ranks No. 17 at 2.73 goals allowed. The Lightning power play is averaging 15.55% while the Red Wings defense kills off 81.99% of their penalties.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

The Red Wings were a 3-2 loser in their most recent outing on the road against the Lightning. That made winners of bettors who got Tampa Bay at -157 on the moneyline, while the total score (5) was good news for OVER bettors.

Betting Trends
  • Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
  • Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
  • Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
  • Tampa Bay is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games at home
  • Tampa Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Detroit
  • Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit

Next Betting Matchups

Detroit home to Tampa Bay, Sunday, April 17th