Kempe sweden

Finland Vs Sweden 4 Nations Face-Off Odds & Picks: Take The UNDER

We've got a Nordic rivalry game at the 2025 4 Nations Face-Off, with Finland and Sweden meeting on Saturday.

After narrowly losing to Canada, Sweden is a clear favorite in this game. The Swedes are -210 on the moneyline while the Finns sit at +172. The  The total sits at O/U 5.5 goals at Sportsbook:

Finland vs Sweden 4 Nations Face-Off Odds

Finland vs Sweden, February 15th, 1:00 pm ET

Finland vs Sweden Odds
TeamSpreadMoneylineTotal
Finland+1.5 (-154)+172O5.5 (-108)
Sweden+1.5 (+126)-210U5.5 (-112)

Odds as of February 14th at Sportsbook

Finland vs Sweden 4 Nations Face-Off Picks

UNDER 5.5 Goals (-112) at Sportsbook

All eyes are on the heated battle between Canada and US later on Saturday, but I think this game is going to be a bloodbath, too.

These countries have a historic rivalry and games are always a battle when they meet. I think this could be as much of a low-scoring, old-school game as the North American affair.

I know the Finns have a battered blue line and some questions in net, but this is a nation that plays low-scoring hockey games. They managed to hold a dynamic USA team to just two goals through two periods (I know what happened in the third). At the 2016 World Cup of Hockey, all three of Finland's games went UNDER 5.5 total goals. Three of Sweden's four games went UNDER in that tournament, too.

Neither of these teams managed very many shots in their opening games, too. Sweden scored three goals on just 23 shots. Finland scored once on 20 shots. If they don't bump up the shot totals, it'll be a low-scoring contest.

Finland vs Sweden 4 Nations Face-Off Props

Adrian Kempe OVER 2.5 Shots, -165 at Sportsbook

Adrian Kempe may be one of the most underrated players in the NHL. He's on pace for his third-straight season with 65+ points and has already scored 25 goals for a fourth time at the NHL level.

For his NHL career, Kempe averages 2.4 shots per game. This year, that's up to 3.07. In his last five NHL games before the 4 Nations, Kempe had OVER 3.5 shots four times.

In Sweden's opening game against Canada, Kempe led the team with five shots.

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