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GET OVER IT! Bettors are making bank off NHL UNDERS

I know what you’re thinking. “Take an UNDER in an NHL game? I don’t want to be bored to death.” After all, rooting for an UNDER isn’t exactly the most exciting wager to make. But what if I told you that taking only UNDERS from the start of November to the end of January this season would’ve made you a ton of revenue. Would you be dismissive then?

Well, now that I’ve got your attention, the data speaks for itself. Since November 1, the UNDER has hit in 54.7 percent of all NHL games, putting the UNDER up 42 games in that span. That means if you had bet UNDER for all 589 games in that time, you would be $1416.19 in profit and laughing in your bookie’s face.

Here is a breakdown of each month’s O/U total this season:

October 2017-18
  • OU: 103-71-6
  • 59.2% for OVER
November 2017-18
  • OU: 93-108-6
  • 46.3% for OVER
December 2017-18
  • OU: 99-108-6
  • 47.8% for OVER
January 2017-18
  • OU: 77-95-2
  • 44.8% for OVER

In the 2016-17 season, the total of 5 in an NHL game was offered a whopping 540 times whereas this season the total of 5 has been offered only 11 times, with eight of those coming in October.

The most noticeable trend you’ll see is the percentage of OVERS has dropped below 50 percent each month since October. This could be attributed to a lot of factors such as schedule, injuries and the adjustments coaching staffs have made to combat the high-flying teams in the league.

But one of the main reasons is how sportsbooks are adjusting to the curve of increased scoring in the NHL and rarely offering a listed total of 5 goals. In the 2016-17 season, the total of 5 in an NHL game was offered a whopping 540 times whereas this season the total of 5 has been offered only 11 times, with eight of those coming in October.

As a result, the UNDER has become a profitable pick for totals bettors who anticipated this downturn in scoring. Another reason to support the UNDER is that 148 of those 540 games last season were a PUSH. This means those games would be an UNDER this season as the most common total listed on sportsbooks this year is 5.5 goals (550 games and counting).

So, what does this all mean? It means if you’re one of those bettors who has a negative viewpoint of taking the UNDER, you should shift your focus because while it may be boring, would you rather be bored or broke?

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