After a great run of results to start the new year, the Toronto Maple Leafs have fallen back down to earth – losing six of their last eight games – and will face an Islanders team tonight that’s flourished with a record of 8-2-2 since Doug Weight took over head coaching duties for the Brooklyn club.
- Thomas Greiss has a .926 save percentage in 14 road games this season.
- Frederik Andersen has an .876 save percentage and a 4.21 goals-against average in February.
- The Maple Leafs are 2-5 SU in their last seven games against teams with losing records.
The biggest factor in the Leafs’ rise and almost immediate decline is their utter failure to keep the puck out of their own net. They’ve allowed 22 goals in their six games since the break and have been giving up an astounding 34.8 shots per game. Their power play and penalty kill have also seen a major drop-off since All-Star Weekend as they’ve allowed five PP goals and scored just three of their own in their six February games.
Doug Weight and the Islanders, however, are on the exact opposite end of the spectrum, posting a 93.3 percent penalty-kill rate along with a 26.3 percent efficiency with the man advantage this month. With a regulation win tonight, the Islanders will move into a playoff spot and that’s incredible considering they were in the Metro basement just over a month ago.
There’s some moneyline value on the Islanders tonight and when you consider everything, including their 7-2-1 record against the Leafs in their last 10, this seems like a good spot for a bet on John Tavares and the Isles.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
Betting fans looking to side with the Toronto Maple Leafs in this one found them earlier as -128 favorites on the NHL money line at Sportsbook. Betting the over under total instead? It was hovering near 5.5 at its open earlier today at Sportsbook and may have moved.
Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 3-2.6 win for the Islanders. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NHL matchups here.
New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs Matchup
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
This season the Toronto Maple Leafs are 25-18-11 overall while the New York Islanders are 25-19-10. As for the totals, Toronto is 24-29-1 on the OU, and New York is 28-22-4. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Toronto vs New York injuries news.
The Islanders - Maple Leafs odds would favor the Maple Leafs if the lines were set according to our power ranks. Toronto is rated No. 5 in the current Odds Shark poll, while New York is at No. 9.
Statistical Matchup
Offensively, the game matches up the Toronto Maple Leafs No. 6-ranked offense (3.06 goals per game) against a New York Islanders defense that ranks No. 21 at 2.93 goals per game allowed. The Maple Leafs Sportsbook has clicked at a 23.78% rate while the Islanders have a 81.53% rate on the penalty kill.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
In their last action, New York was a 5-1 Sportsbook at home against the Avalanche. Bettors on New York at -201 on the moneyline collected their winnings from that game, while the total score (6) sent OVER bettors home happy as well.
In their last action, Toronto was a 3-1 loser at home against the Sabres. Bettors on Buffalo at +156 on the moneyline collected their winnings from that game, while the total score (4) sent UNDER bettors home happy as well.
- NY Islanders is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games
- NY Islanders is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Islanders's last 6 games
- NY Islanders is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
- Toronto is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
- Toronto is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games at home
- Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games at home
Next Betting Matchups
New York home to New York, Thursday, February 16th
Toronto at Columbus, Wednesday, February 15th
