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NHL: February’s Best & Worst Bets

Ryan Getzlaf Anaheim Ducks NHL

February concluded with a lackluster trade deadline day, but that was about all that was dull during the month in the National Hockey League.

Teams came out of the All-Star break on fire and savvy puck bettors capitalized by hammering the OVER which was on a torrid pace – as documented by our Jon Campbell with this piece – but we will get to that later.

Without further ado, here are February’s best and worst bets in the NHL.

Best and Worst Teams to Bet on

Think back all the way to October. The Ducks, a playoff staple in three-straight seasons, won just one game in 10 contests during the opening month of the season and people began to leave them for dead. Deservedly so, however, as they scored a whopping 10 goals in that first month.

Fast forward to today and the Ducks are the hottest team – and the hottest bet – across the entire league.

The Ducks used a 12-2 SU month to propel themselves up the the Western Conference standings and are right on the Los Angeles Kings’ heels at the top of the Pacific Division.

So hot are the Ducks that they have won eight-consecutive games as of March 1, which had a big hand in bettors collecting $710.32 in profits on a $100 wager in each of Anaheim’s games during February.

Heading the other were the Arizona Coyotes. The ‘Yotes finished February with a 3-11 SU record in 14 February games that cost bettors $793 – the worst wager in the month.

Arizona has lost six-straight games heading into the new month and were routinely thumped throughout February, losing their 11 games by an average of 2.27 goals per game.

The Coyotes first opponent of the new month? You guess it: The Anaheim Ducks (on Thursday). I think you know what to do here.

Best Teams to bet on

Based on betting $100 on the moneyline for the team every game

  • Ducks +$710.32
  • Rangers +$439.37
  • Lightning +$350.95
Worst Teams to bet on

Based on betting $100 on the moneyline for the team every game

  • Coyotes -$793
  • Oilers -$630.24
  • Wild -$463.63

Best OVER/UNDER Teams in February

As mentioned above, lamps were lit at a frenzied pace in February as evidenced by a whopping 5.78 goals scored per game during the month. Compare that to the rest of the season – 5.37 in October, 5.31 in November, 5.31 in December, 5.07 in January – and the OVER was a cash cow for hockey bettors.

Leading the charge were the Dallas Stars. The high-scoring Stars cashed the OVER in 10 of their 14 games during the month. Despite Dallas’ high-scoring ways, it was in equal part due to the ineptitude on the defensive end that fueled a lot of the OVERS. Opponents scored an average of 3.64 goals per game against Dallas during the month and reached seven (Boston) and six (Winnipeg) goals in a couple of games.

The top UNDER wager was the New York Islanders, who went 5-8 O/U in the month. Not the most one-sided totals record you’ll ever see, but with the month so goal-heavy, it’s no surprise that the best UNDER wager cashed at a rate of just 61.5 percent.

Overall during the month, NHL games went 101-79-19 O/U.

Best OVER Teams in February
  • Stars 10-4 (71.4%)
  • Senators 9-4 (69.2%)
  • Wild 9-2-3 (64.3%)
Best UNDER Teams in February
  • Islanders 5-8 (61.5%)
  • Red Wings 5-8-1 (57.1%)
  • Predators 4-7-2 (64.3%)

Biggest Upsets of February

At this point, several NHL teams have established themselves as “horrible”, “awful” or whatever term you want to throw in to describe the worst of the worst. Still, there is value to be had in picking upsets in the NHL because moneyline odds can be so dramatically skewed. Plus, the Sabres and Leafs have to win at some point, right?

Biggest Upsets of February
DateAwayHomeAway ScoreHome ScoreAway MoneyHome Money
Feb 26, 2016SabresSharks31+210-235
Feb 24, 2016CanadiensCapitals43+203-227
Feb 12, 2016AvalancheRed Wings32+175-195
Feb 25, 2016JetsStars64+169-188
Feb 2, 2016Maple LeafsBruins43+159-176

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