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When betting on the NHL, it can sometimes be hard to find value in a team that’s either heavily favored or is a major underdog on the moneyline. Luckily for us, most sportsbooks give us a puckline, which is the same idea as a point spread in sports such as football and basketball. The difference, of course, is that scores in hockey are much lower and the spread is almost always set at 1.5. This means that in order to cash a spread bet, a favorite must win by two or an underdog must not lose by more than one.

Each week I will update every team’s puckline records and profits as we progress through the 2016-17 season. Below is an analysis of some of the best puckline trends in the NHL and a table containing every team’s puckline record.

Here's one team to target and one team to fade during the final week of regular-season play.

Team to Target

Toronto Maple Leafs: Although not the most profitable puckline team in the league, the Maple Leafs have one of the best spread records in the league with 43 puckline victories. They have five games to play this week and they'll need to win almost every one to ensure a spot in the playoffs.

The games on their docket look tough on the surface as they'll see the Capitals, Lightning, Penguins and Blue Jackets but with all but one of those teams already clinching a postseason berth, the Leafs will likely face a fair share of backup goaltending down the stretch. 

Additionally, you'll be getting more than enough value in those games if the Leafs are deemed the favorite because the public will still bet on the big-market teams that have won all year.

Team to Fade

Pittsburgh Penguins: It's been well over a week since the Penguins earned a puckline win and I'm expecting they finish the regular season without another one. They'll be playing some desperate teams and they're a banged-up squad. 

At this point, it's unlikely they catch the Caps and their matchup with the Blue Jackets is all but locked in. They'd probably like to finish in second and get home-ice advantage for the first round but with Kris Letang still on the shelf, that might not be a possibility.

Note: This article was published on Monday, April 3, and will be updated each week during the regular season.

Best Puckline Records
Team Record Profit Record as Fave Record as Dog
Flames 42-37 (53.2%) 734.96 17-20 25-17
Capitals 34-44 (43.6%) 977.64 30-43 4-1
Wild 42-37 (53.2%) 1160.61 22-33 20-4
Penguins 35-43 (44.9%) 59.51 25-38 10-5
Lightning 40-38 (51.3%) 705.76 18-28 22-10
Bruins 38-41 (48.1%) 162.95 20-33 18-8
Predators 38-41 (48.1%) 369.57 19-32 19-9
Ducks 41-38 (51.9%) -6.83 16-29 25-9
Canadiens 42-36 (53.8%) 630.42 18-33 24-3
Oilers 42-36 (53.8%) 367.79 15-28 27-8
Maple Leafs 43-34 (55.8%) 629.97 13-25 30-9
Blue Jackets 40-38 (51.3%) 413.46 17-33 23-5
Blackhawks 40-39 (50.6%) 63.35 17-34 23-5
Blues 33-45 (42.3%) -560.74 17-34 16-11
Sharks 32-47 (40.5%) -772.7 20-43 12-4
Jets 39-40 (49.4%) -163.69 12-26 27-14
Rangers 38-41 (48.1%) -13.23 17-38 21-3
Sabres 48-30 (61.5%) -273.92 4-9 44-21
Islanders 43-35 (55.1%) -375.35 8-19 35-16
Kings 36-42 (46.2%) -633.64 14-34 22-8
Flyers 37-42 (46.8%) -914.87 10-25 27-17
Hurricanes 44-34 (56.4%) -112.54 9-24 35-10
Senators 42-35 (54.5%) -357.67 7-19 35-16
Red Wings 44-34 (56.4%) -634.53 5-15 39-19
Stars 31-48 (39.2%) -2176.66 8-26 23-22
Devils 42-36 (53.8%) -1189.13 3-11 39-25
Panthers 32-46 (41.0%) -2331.61 6-34 26-12
Coyotes 45-34 (57.0%) -720.36 1-6 44-28
Canucks 39-39 (50.0%) -1801.3 1-7 38-32
Avalanche 33-45 (42.3%) -2788.79 0-7 33-38