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Totals go OVER When the Pens Hit the Road

Claude Julien and the Boston Bruins finally got back on the winning track a couple of nights ago but will face a Pittsburgh Penguins team this evening that blew them out not even a week ago. Although the Pens had their roll slowed by the Blues on Monday, they’ll bring a 7-1-2 record in their last 10 games against the B’s and opened as a small favorite.

  • The Penguins are 18-5 SU in their last 23 games after losing as a favorite.
  • The Bruins are 1-4 SU and 0-5 on the puckline in their last 5 games with a day off.
  • The total has gone OVER in 10 of the Penguins' last 13 games on the road.

Pittsburgh has done most of its productive work at the PPG Paints Arena this season and with a 10-12 straight-up road record could be in trouble at the TD Garden tonight. The Bruins and Pens are the two highest shot-producing teams in the league so tonight should come down to whichever goalie has the better game. That said, Matt Murray – the Pens’ probable starter – has made two starts against the Bruins this year and is 2-0 with a .955 save percentage.

Tuukka Rask, however, has a .905 save percentage at the Garden this year and was in net for both of the Bruins’ losses to Pittsburgh. He’s had some struggles recently and has a brutal .873 save percentage in his last five starts.

Given how these teams shoot the puck, you’re probably good for an OVER bet. I’m a little cautious, though, as the last three or four OVERs I’ve been hot on have flopped.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Betting fans looking to back the visiting Pittsburgh Penguins before puck drop in this match found them as -120 moneyline favorites at 5Dimes. They saw an opening total of 5.5, according to BetOnline.

Odds Shark score prediction models pick a 4-1.6 result in favor of the Penguins today. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NHL matchups here.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Boston Bruins Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

Supporters of the Pittsburgh Penguins have seen them go 30-12-5 so far this season, while the Bruins are at 24-21-6. In totals betting, the Boston Bruins are 22-24-5, while the Penguins are 30-13-4. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Boston vs Pittsburgh injuries news.

This game matches up the No. 8 (Boston Bruins) and the No. 1 (Pittsburgh Penguins) teams according to our current NHL Power Rankings.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Boston Bruins No. 24-ranked offense (2.49 goals per game) against a Pittsburgh Penguins defense that ranks No. 20 at 2.91 goals per game allowed. The Bruins powerplay has clicked at a 17.2% rate while the Penguins have a 78.88% rate on the penalty kill.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

In their last action, Pittsburgh was a 3-0 loser at home against the Blues. Bettors on St. Louis at +172 on the moneyline collected their winnings from that game, while the total score (3) sent UNDER bettors home happy as well.

In their last action, Boston was a 4-3 winner at home against the Red Wings. Bettors on Boston at -217 on the moneyline collected their winnings from that game, while the total score (7) sent OVER bettors home happy as well.

Betting Trends
  • Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 18 of Pittsburgh's last 25 games
  • Pittsburgh is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 10 of Pittsburgh's last 13 games on the road
  • Boston is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games
  • Boston is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Pittsburgh home to Nashville, Tuesday, January 31st
Boston at Tampa Bay, Tuesday, January 31st