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Senators looking for third win in a row vs pesky Penguins

The Ottawa Senators welcome the Pittsburgh Penguins to the Canadian Tire Centre for a rematch of the 2017 Eastern Conference final. The Sens have picked up where they left off last season and will be looking for some payback against the Pens after dropping Game 7 in the East final. Pittsburgh opened as a -108 favorite and is 0-4 SU and 2-2 ATS on the road in the last four games.

  • Pittsburgh is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road.
  • Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last six games against Ottawa.
  • Ottawa is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games against Pittsburgh.

Pittsburgh has been having a hard time staying in Stanley Cup form. The Penguins are allowing an uncharacteristic 3.6 goals per game and are currently the only potential playoff team with a negative goal differential at -17. While this team can usually flip the switch with the talent it has, it’s troubling for Pens backers when you take into account that they’re 1-7 SU in their last eight on the road and 4-11 ATS in their last 15.

Ottawa, on the other hand, just returned from Sweden and won both of its games there against Colorado. The Senators haven’t been a great puckline pick at home for bettors at 3-8 ATS and will be a home dog for the first time this season. The good news for Ottawa is they’re expected to welcome back Bobby Ryan from injury and could potentially pair him on a line with recently acquired Matt Duchene. For those reasons, bettors should stick with the Ottawa moneyline, which opened at +100.

The total opened at 5.5 and the OVER may be the best pick in this matchup. The total has gone OVER in Ottawa’s last four games on the road and in 11 of their 16 games this season. As I mentioned about Pittsburgh allowing a ton of goals this season, the total has gone OVER in eight of Pittsburgh’s 13 road games this season. Expect a scoring explosion for this barnburner.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Betting fans looking to side with the Ottawa Senators in this one found them earlier as +103 underdogs on the NHL moneyline at Bet365. Betting the OVER/UNDER total instead? It was hovering near 5.5 at its open earlier today at BetOnline and may have moved.

Prediction-scoring formulas run on this game pick a potential 3.2-2.4 result in favor of the Senators. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NHL matchups here.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Ottawa Senators Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

Ottawa will face the 10-7-3 Penguins. In totals betting, the Senators are 11-5 in OVER/UNDER betting so far this season while the Pittsburgh Penguins are 11-9. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Ottawa vs Pittsburgh injuries news.

The Senators sit at No. 10 in the current NHL power poll here at OddsShark, while the Penguins sit at No. 18 on the same chart.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Ottawa Senators' No. 3-ranked offense (3.69 goals per game) against a Pittsburgh Penguins defense that ranks No. 28 at 3.6 goals per game allowed. The Senators power play has clicked at a 22.22% rate while the Penguins have a 77.5% rate on the penalty kill.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Last time out for Pittsburgh, they were a 5-4 winner as they battled the Sabres at home. Moneyline bettors who got the Penguins at -235 were rewarded, while the 9 combined goals moved the game OVER for totals bettors.

Ottawa was a 4-3 winner in its last match at home against the Avalanche. They won as favorites, while the total score of 7 made winners of OVER bettors.

Betting Trends
  • Pittsburgh is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games
  • Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
  • Pittsburgh is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
  • Pittsburgh is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
  • Ottawa is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Ottawa's last 7 games
  • Ottawa is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Pittsburgh home to Chicago, Saturday, November 18
Ottawa home to Arizona, Saturday, November 18