The Toronto Maple Leafs aim to win their fourth game in a row tonight when they host the league-leading Tampa Bay Lightning. The Leafs are 7-1 SU in their last eight games and have won four straight at home. Toronto, sitting eight points back of Tampa in the Atlantic Division, opened as the favorite to knock off the Bolts.
- The total has gone UNDER in the Lightning’s last four games vs the Maple Leafs.
- The Maple Leafs are 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS in their last seven games vs divisional opponents.
- Nikita Kucherov leads the NHL with 69 points this season.
Toronto has been electric on the offensive end lately and has scored 16 goals in its last three games. Mitch Marner notched five points on Saturday vs Ottawa and if the young guns of Marner, William Nylander and Auston Matthews are rolling, the Leafs are tough to beat.
Not to be outdone, the Lightning are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games and have a three-point lead on Vegas for the NHL’s best record. Steven Stamkos has had a huge bounce-back year for the Bolts with 64 points and has scored six points in his last four games. Bettors should be salivating at the opportunity to place a wager on the Lightning in this matchup as Tampa has only been an underdog six times this season and is 5-1 SU in those games.
The total opened at 6 and trends are pointing toward an OVER. The OVER has hit in Tampa’s last five games and seven of its last eight. The Lightning and Leafs both rank in the top five in scoring so an offensive explosion could easily be in the cards in this matchup.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
If you're backing the visiting Tampa Bay Lightning in this one, they were listed earlier today as underdogs of +100 at most sportsbooks, including Sportsbook. Those OVER/UNDER total betting saw the number open in the area of 6, depending on the book.
OddsShark computer prediction formulas pick a 4.1-1.8 win for the Maple Leafs on Monday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NHL matchups here.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Matchup
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
The Toronto Maple Leafs sport a record of 33-19-5 heading into this matchup, while the Tampa Bay Lightning sit at 38-14-3 on the season. The OVER/UNDER records are 24-28-5 for the Maple Leafs and 34-21 for the Lightning. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Toronto vs Tampa Bay injuries news.
This game matches up the No. 10 (Toronto) and the No. 15 (Tampa Bay) teams according to our current NHL Power Rankings.
Statistical Matchup
Offensively, the game matches up the Toronto Maple Leafs' No. 4-ranked offense (3.3 goals per game) against a Tampa Bay Lightning defense that ranks No. 5 at 2.64 goals per game allowed. The Maple Leafs power play has clicked at a 20.5% rate while the Lightning have a 78.57% rate on the penalty kill.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
Tampa Bay was a 4-3 Sportsbook in its last match at home against the Kings. They won as favorites, while the total score of 7 made Sportsbooks of OVER bettors.
Toronto was a 6-3 Sportsbook in its last match at home against the Senators. They won as favorites, while the total score of 9 made Sportsbooks of OVER bettors.
- Tampa Bay is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
- Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
- Tampa Bay is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
- Toronto is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
- Toronto is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games
- Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games
Next Betting Matchups
Tampa Bay at Buffalo, Tuesday, February 13
Toronto home to Columbus, Wednesday, February 14
