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Lightning have had the edge at home vs Leafs

The Tampa Bay Lightning will look to further their lead in the Eastern Conference standings when they host the Toronto Maple Leafs tonight. The Lightning have won 10 of their last 13 games and have done well in their barn when hosting Toronto, winning six of the last eight meetings in Tampa. The Bolts opened as -149 favorites to hold home serve vs the Leafs.

  • The total has gone OVER in four of Toronto’s last five games on the road.
  • Tampa Bay is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games at home.
  • Nikita Kucherov leads the NHL with 93 points.

The Buds are aiming for their fifth straight win but haven’t been a reliable bet on the road recently, dropping four of their last five away games. The Leafs will still be without superstar Auston Matthews and defenseman Nikita Zaitsev, which could prove problematic vs a Lightning team that they’ve lost two of three games to this season. This is the final matchup between these divisional foes and bettors should know Toronto is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games vs Atlantic Division teams.

Tampa, meanwhile, is one of two teams in the NHL (Nashville is the other) to have clinched a playoff spot and owns the second-best home record in the league. The Lightning are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games at home vs their division and rank fifth in goals per game in March (3.75). The Bolts dropped back-to-back games at home vs Ottawa and Boston before bouncing back for a victory over the Oilers and are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games at Amalie Arena. If bettors are considering the Lightning puckline, they may want to reconsider as Tampa is 0-8 ATS in its last eight games vs divisional teams.

The total opened at 6 and the OVER may be the profitable angle when these two teams meet. The OVER has hit in 16 of Tampa’s last 22 games with an average combined score of 7.1. On the Leafs side, the OVER has hit in five of their last six games with an average combined score of 7.33. Factoring in that both teams rank in the top five in goals per game in March, this should be a barnburner in Tampa.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

49-19-4 Tampa Bay battles the Maple Leafs, currently with a 43-22-7 mark. The OVER/UNDER records, important for totals bettors, are 45-26-1 for the Lightning and 35-32-5 for the Maple Leafs. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Tampa Bay vs Toronto injuries news.

The NHL Power Rankings at OddsShark show the No. 2-rated Maple Leafs taking on the No. 7-rated Lightning in this contest.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Tampa Bay's No. 1-ranked offense, averaging 3.61 goals per game, against a Maple Leafs defense that ranks No. 12 at 2.83 goals allowed. The Lightning power play is averaging 24.08% while the Maple Leafs defense kills off 82.27% of their penalties.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Toronto was a 4-0 winner in its last match at home against the Canadiens. They won as favorites, while the total score of 4 made winners of UNDER bettors.

In their last action, Tampa Bay was a 3-1 winner at home against the Oilers. Bettors on Tampa Bay at -217 on the moneyline collected their winnings from that game, while the total score (4) sent UNDER bettors home happy as well.

Betting Trends
  • Toronto is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
  • Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games
  • Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • Tampa Bay is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games
  • Tampa Bay is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 16 of Tampa Bay's last 22 games
  • Tampa Bay is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Toronto at Nashville, Thursday, March 22
Tampa Bay at New York, Thursday, March 22