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Capitals are Heavily Favored on Home Ice in Game 5

After leveling the series at two games apiece with a decisive win on Wednesday, the Capitals headed home to D.C. to prepare for the swing game. Despite it now being a best-of-three, oddsmakers have pegged the Capitals as -260 favorites to move past the Maple Leafs and given that Washington has lost just 10 games at the Verizon Center since the start of the 2016-17 campaign, that seems about right.

  • The Capitals are 12-0 SU in their last 12 games at home after losing their most recent home game.
  • The Maple Leafs are 1-8 SU in their last 9 games on the road against the Capitals.
  • The Capitals allowed just 1.63 goals per game at the Verizon Center in the regular season.

That being said, the young Buds have hung around this series and they nearly erased a three-goal deficit in Game 4, just barely failing to send the contest to a fourth consecutive overtime. Toronto outshot the Caps by seven in the game but they simply gave the Presidents’ Trophy winners too many good looks at the other end. Washington capitalized on several odd-man rushes and were two steps ahead of the Leafs all night long.

As for Game 5, the Caps opened as -215 favorites and books are fairly confident they’ll get it done Friday, exposing themselves to a juicy +180 moneyline for the Leafs.

I’ve touted the Capitals’ ML tonight parlayed with the UNDER 5.5 as I think Barry Trotz finally gets the boys tightened up at the blue line. Washington limited opponents to just 26 shots per game at the Verizon Center and Braden Holtby faced an average of just 4.35 five-on-five high-danger shots per game in his 37 home starts in the regular season.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The visiting Toronto Maple Leafs opened as 186 moneyline underdogs in this one at most online sportsbooks tracked at Odds Shark, including BetOnline. The total opened at 5.5 for those preferring over under betting, watch for the line updates during the day at Bovada.

Odds Shark prediction models pick the Maple Leafs to win this game 3.2-2.8. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NHL matchups here.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

Supporters of the Toronto Maple Leafs have seen them go 42-28-16 so far this season, while the Capitals are at 57-19-10. In totals betting, the Washington Capitals are 39-32-15, while the Maple Leafs are 40-44-2. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Washington vs Toronto injuries news.

The NHL Power Rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Washington Capitals rated this week at No. 3 and the Toronto Maple Leafs sitting at No. 8.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Washington's No. 2-ranked offense, averaging 3.22 goals per game, against a Maple Leafs defense that ranks No. 26 at 2.98 goals allowed. The Capitals power play is averaging 23.55% while the Maple Leafs defense kills off 82.26% of their penalties.

Recent Outings Betting Recap


Betting Trends
  • Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games
  • Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • Washington is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Washington is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
  • Washington is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games at home
  • Washington is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Toronto home to Washington, Sunday, April 23rd