Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins

Toronto
Maple Leafs
12 - 5 - 5
Pittsburgh
Penguins
11 - 7 - 3
November 26, 2022, 7:00 PM EST
 | PPG Paints Arena

Game Preview

Toronto
Maple Leafs
12 - 5 - 5
Pittsburgh
Penguins
11 - 7 - 3
November 26, 2022, 7:00 PM EST
 | PPG Paints Arena
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs (12-5-5) will try to extend their current win streak on the road to five games when they visit the Pittsburgh Penguins (11-7-3) in Saturday NHL action. The Maple Leafs continue a four-game road trip in Pittsburgh after eking out a 4-3 win in Minnesota on Friday, and have now picked up at least a point in 12 of their past 13 overall contests. The Penguins return home after skating to a 4-1 victory over the beleaguered Philadelphia Flyers on Friday evening to extend their current win streak to five games.

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    Maple Leafs vs Penguins Betting Preview
    • Date/Time: Saturday November 26th, 7:00 p.m. ET
    • Arena: PPG Paints Arena
    • TV Coverage: AT&T Sportsnet Pittsburgh, HNIC
    • Sportsbook Maple Leafs vs Penguins Odds: Penguins -122 | O/U 6.5
    • Maple Leafs vs Penguins Betting Matchup Report

    Maple Leafs vs Penguins Sportsbook Odds

    Sportsbook Odds

    The Penguins have climbed to -130 home favorites since Sportsbook as a -122 bet. Toronto has faded to a +110 underdog, while the total has held steady at 6.5. Saturday night’s matchup marks the third and final regular season meeting between these Eastern Conference rivals. These clubs split two contests played over the past two weeks, with each claiming a road win, capped by the Leafs’ 5-2 victory on November 15.

    While that snapped Pittsburgh’s three-game home win streak in head-to-head action, the Penguins still maintain the upper hand in recent dates with Toronto, winning five of eight, and have suffered consecutive losses to the Maple Leafs just once in 13 dates since December 2017. While each of their past eight matchups have been settled by multi-goal margins, the Pittsburgh have struggled at times to fill the net, scoring two or fewer goals in four of the past six.

    Get the best Maple Leafs vs Penguins odds and lines available from our recommended sportsbooks for your favorite picks of the night.

    • Best Spread
      -220
      +190
      TOR+1.5
      -1.5PIT
    • Best Moneyline
      +112
      -124
      TOR
      PIT
    • Best Total
      -118
      +107
      Over6.5
      6.5Under

    Leafs Blue Line Devastated by Injuries

    The Maple Leafs have avoided losing in regulation in seven straight contests, and have seen that run preserved by steady goaltending. The club has allowed just 2.29 goals per game during their current 5-0-2 run despite outshooting opponents on just two occasions over that stretch. Goaltender Matt Murray has particularly impressed since returning from injury, but things have not gone as well for Saturday’s expected starter Erik Kallgren, who has allowed 3.00 goals per game during a 1-1-2 run.

    Injuries on the blue line have also emerged as a massive concern. Morgan Rielly is the latest rearguard to suffer a serious injury that will sideline him indefinitely, joining Jake Muzzin and TJ Brodie in the clinic.

    Auston Matthews has also struggled on the road, failing to find the back of the net in eight of 10 away contests so far this season. However, the club has benefited from distributed scoring, with six different Leafs players lighting lamp over the past two games. John Tavares has led the way, scoring three times and tallying four assists during a four-game points streak.

    Supporting Cast Contributing to Pens’ Win Streak

    The Penguins have rediscovered their scoring touch during their current five-game win streak, averaging four points per game. However, goals have continued to come at a premium on home ice, with Pens shooters scoring just six total markers during their current 0-2-1 run on home ice.

    Sidney Crosby has led the recent resurgence, scoring five times and contributing seven helpers over his past six outings, and has also recorded a point in each of the team’s two previous meetings with Toronto this month.

    Sportsbook

    Backup goalie Brian Elliott took the loss last Saturday in a 6-2 defeat at the hands of the Pittsburgh Penguins after they closed as +150 dogs away from home.

    However, it was the supporting cast that fueled the Penguins’ assault in Friday’s win in Philly. Ryan Poehling sealed the victory with a pair of second-period markers, both of which were set up by Teddy Blueger, who ended the night with three assists.

    Maple Leafs Player Prop: Erik Kallgren OVER 30 Saves

    Considering the Maple Leafs blue line injury woes, and battle to contain opposing shooters, it is likely to be a busy night for goaltender Erik Kallgren, who sports attractive +102 odds at Sportsbook to make at least 30 saves against a Penguins squad that has averaged 32 shots on goal over their past eight outings.  

    Penguins Player Prop: Sidney Crosby 2 or More Points

    Sidney Crosby has found a higher gear during the Pens’ five-game win streak, tallying multiple points in three of those contests, and sports attractive +140 odds at Sportsbook to extend that trend on Saturday night.

    Maple Leafs vs Penguins Picks & Insights

    Maple Leafs: Keys To Victory

    With the blue line depth facing a severe test, all Maple Leafs skaters must responsibly tend to their defensive responsibilities to avoid needlessly handling the surging Penguins scoring opportunities. And when the defense experiences a letdown, the club needs Erik Kallgren to produce the big save that has been sometimes lacking during his trial of fire with the team this season.

    Penguins: Keys To Victory

    While the penguins have steadily produced on the road, they must keep their game simple in a bid to overcome their recent scoring drought on home ice. Continued contributions from up and down the lineup would go a long way in turning things around, as would a return to form by Evgeni Malkin, who has just one goal in six games.

    NHL Computer Picks: Maple Leafs +110

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    Shark Bites
    • Maple Leafs are 4-1 SU in their past five road games
    • The OVER is 9-2 in Penguins’ past 11 home games
    • Penguins are 1-5 SU in their past six versus Atlantic Division opponents

Odds

Saturday, November 26 Sat Nov 26


Opening
Current

Puckline
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
+1.5
-240
-101
o6.5
-115
-1.5
+200
-122
u6.5
-105
Puckline
Moneyline
O/U
Current
+1.5
-220
+112
o6.5
-118
-1.5
+190
-124
u6.5
+107

Edge Finder

2.90
Goals
3.60
30.33
Shots
33.55
26.47
PP/PK Percentage
17.91
2.90
Goals
3.60
0.95
1st Period
0.80
1.05
2nd Period
1.45
0.86
3rd Period
1.30
30.33
Shots
33.55
10.00
1st Period
9.05
10.95
2nd Period
12.95
9.14
3rd Period
11.25
3.24
Power Play Chances
3.35
0.86
Power Play Goals
0.60
26.47
PP/PK Percentage
17.91

Head To Head

TOR
Stat Type PIT
5-5-0
Record
5-5-0
4-6
O/U
4-6
2.70
Score
2.90
31.30
Shots
31.70
4.00
Power Play Goals
6.00
27.00
Number of Power Plays
26.00
14.81%
Power Play Percentage
23.08%
76.92%
Penalty Kill Percentage
85.19%
TOR
Stat Type PIT
2-1-0
Record
1-2-0
1-2
O/U
1-2
3.67
Score
2.33
30.67
Shots
35.33
2.00
Power Play Goals
0.00
6.00
Number of Power Plays
9.00
33.33%
Power Play Percentage
0%
100%
Penalty Kill Percentage
66.67%
Nov 15/22 (1 of 10)
TOR
Stat Type PIT
Away
Home
5
Score
2
6.5 o
O/U
6.5 u
33
Shots
37
0
Power Play Goals
0
1
Number of Power Plays
3
0%
Power Play Percentage
0%
100%
Penalty Kill Percentage
100%
Nov 11/22 (2 of 10)
TOR
Stat Type PIT
Home
Away
2
Score
4
6.5 o
O/U
6.5 u
30
Shots
23
1
Power Play Goals
0
3
Number of Power Plays
1
33.3%
Power Play Percentage
0%
100%
Penalty Kill Percentage
66.7%
Feb 17/22 (3 of 10)
TOR
Stat Type PIT
Home
Away
4
Score
1
6.5 o
O/U
6.5 u
29
Shots
46
1
Power Play Goals
0
2
Number of Power Plays
5
50%
Power Play Percentage
0%
100%
Penalty Kill Percentage
50%
Nov 20/21 (4 of 10)
TOR
Stat Type PIT
Home
Away
0
Score
2
5.5 o
O/U
5.5 u
26
Shots
31
0
Power Play Goals
0
4
Number of Power Plays
1
0%
Power Play Percentage
0%
100%
Penalty Kill Percentage
100%
Oct 23/21 (5 of 10)
TOR
Stat Type PIT
Away
Home
1
Score
7
6 o
O/U
6 u
29
Shots
33
0
Power Play Goals
1
3
Number of Power Plays
5
0%
Power Play Percentage
20%
80%
Penalty Kill Percentage
100%
Feb 20/20 (6 of 10)
TOR
Stat Type PIT
Home
Away
4
Score
0
6.5 o
O/U
6.5 u
30
Shots
24
1
Power Play Goals
0
3
Number of Power Plays
1
33.3%
Power Play Percentage
0%
100%
Penalty Kill Percentage
66.7%
Feb 18/20 (7 of 10)
TOR
Stat Type PIT
Away
Home
2
Score
5
6.5 o
O/U
6.5 u
36
Shots
24
0
Power Play Goals
3
4
Number of Power Plays
3
0%
Power Play Percentage
100%
0%
Penalty Kill Percentage
100%
Nov 16/19 (8 of 10)
TOR
Stat Type PIT
Away
Home
1
Score
6
6.5 o
O/U
6.5 u
33
Shots
38
0
Power Play Goals
1
2
Number of Power Plays
1
0%
Power Play Percentage
100%
0%
Penalty Kill Percentage
100%
Feb 2/19 (9 of 10)
TOR
Stat Type PIT
Home
Away
3
Score
2
6.5 o
O/U
6.5 u
34
Shots
30
0
Power Play Goals
1
2
Number of Power Plays
1
0%
Power Play Percentage
100%
0%
Penalty Kill Percentage
100%
Nov 3/18 (10 of 10)
TOR
Stat Type PIT
Away
Home
5
Score
0
6.5 o
O/U
6.5 u
33
Shots
31
1
Power Play Goals
0
3
Number of Power Plays
5
33.3%
Power Play Percentage
0%
100%
Penalty Kill Percentage
66.7%

Team Records

TOR
Record PIT
12-5-5
All
11-7-3
7-2-3
Home
4-2-1
5-3-2
Away
7-5-2
9-9-5
As Fav
9-7-3
3-0
As Dog
1-3
7-15
ATS
10-11
2-10
ATS Home
3-4
5-5
ATS Away
7-7
8-14
O/U
11-10
3-9
O/U Home
5-2
5-5
O/U Away
6-8
TOR
Record PIT
6-1-3
All
7-2-1
2-1-3
Home
1-2
4-0
Away
6-0-1
3-4-3
As Fav
5-2-1
3-0
As Dog
1-1
5-5
ATS
6-4
1-5
ATS Home
0-3
4-0
ATS Away
6-1
4-6
O/U
4-6
2-4
O/U Home
1-2
2-2
O/U Away
3-4
TOR
Record PIT
3-1
All
3-0
3-0
Home
0-0
0-1
Away
3-0
3-1
As Fav
3-0
0-0
As Dog
0-0
1-3
ATS
3-0
1-2
ATS Home
0-0
0-1
ATS Away
3-0
2-2
O/U
1-2
1-2
O/U Home
0-0
1-0
O/U Away
1-2
TOR
Record PIT
8-2-2
All
5-2-3
5-1-2
Home
1-1-1
3-1
Away
4-1-2
6-2-2
As Fav
4-1-3
2-0
As Dog
1-1
5-7
ATS
5-5
2-6
ATS Home
1-2
3-1
ATS Away
4-3
4-8
O/U
6-4
2-6
O/U Home
3-0
2-2
O/U Away
3-4
TOR
Record PIT
4-3-3
All
6-5
2-1-1
Home
3-1
2-2-2
Away
3-4
3-2-3
As Fav
5-3
1-0
As Dog
0-2
2-8
ATS
5-6
0-4
ATS Home
2-2
2-4
ATS Away
3-4
4-6
O/U
5-6
1-3
O/U Home
2-2
3-3
O/U Away
3-4

Injuries

Name Position Inj Desc
Ryan O'Reilly C IR (03/06), Hand
T.J. Brodie D IR (01/10), Ribs
Jake Muzzin D IR (10/17), Neck
Noel Acciari C Is "?" Tuesday vs NY Islanders, Undisclosed
Victor Mete D IR (12/27), Lower Body
Ilya Samsonov G Is "?" Tuesday vs NY Islanders, Undisclosed
Nicholas Robertson LW Is out indefinitely, Shoulder
Name Position Inj Desc
Dmitry Kulikov D Is out indefinitely, Lower Body
Nick Bonino C IR (03/18), Kidney
Jeff Petry D Is "?" Monday vs Ottawa, Upper Body
Jan Rutta D Is "?" Monday vs Ottawa, Undisclosed
Marcus Pettersson D Left last game, is "?" Monday vs Ottawa, Lower Body

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line SHOTS SA PP PK GOALIE
Nov 25, 2022 MIN 4-3 W -105 28 28 0/3 1/2 Marc-Andre Fleury
Nov 23, 2022 NJ 2-1 W +115 20 35 0/4 3/3 Vitek Vanecek
Nov 21, 2022 NYI 2-3 L -175 32 24 1/2 1/1 Ilya Sorokin
Nov 19, 2022 BUF 5-2 W -280 23 34 2/3 4/6 Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Nov 17, 2022 NJ 2-3 L -145 27 33 1/5 2/2 Vitek Vanecek
Nov 15, 2022 PIT 5-2 W -115 33 37 0/1 3/3 Casey DeSmith
Nov 12, 2022 VAN 3-2 W -170 34 29 1/2 3/4 Spencer Martin
Nov 11, 2022 PIT 2-4 L -150 30 23 1/3 1/1 Casey DeSmith
Nov 8, 2022 VGK 3-4 L -120 31 20 0/2 2/2 Logan Thompson
Nov 6, 2022 CAR 3-1 W +145 21 30 0/1 1/2 Frederik Andersen
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line SHOTS SA PP PK GOALIE
Nov 25, 2022 PHI 4-1 W -235 29 30 0/3 1/1 Carter Hart
Nov 23, 2022 CAL 2-1 W -130 39 34 0/3 3/3 Dan Vladar
Nov 20, 2022 CHI 5-3 W -225 25 32 0/2 4/4 Arvid Soderblom
Nov 19, 2022 WPG 3-0 W -125 32 32 0/2 2/2 Connor Hellebuyck
Nov 17, 2022 MIN 6-4 W -110 32 23 2/5 3/3 Filip Gustavsson
Nov 15, 2022 TOR 2-5 L -105 37 33 0/3 1/1 Matt Murray
Nov 12, 2022 MON 4-5 L -165 24 42 1/3 4/5 Jake Allen
Nov 11, 2022 TOR 4-2 W +130 23 30 0/1 2/3 Erik Kallgren
Nov 9, 2022 WAS 4-1 W -130 28 25 0/3 4/4 Darcy Kuemper
Nov 5, 2022 SEA 2-3 L -210 37 28 0/3 3/3 Martin Jones
View Game Logs