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Leafs Open as Home Dogs Against Capitals Despite Their Heater

Toronto escaped Buffalo with two points yesterday and managed to avoid any major injuries in a scrappy affair. The Leafs blew the doors off the Sabres with three goals in 43 seconds in the first period and will look for that momentum to continue when they host the East-leading Capitals as the +120 home underdogs.

  • The Capitals are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games against the Maple Leafs.
  • The Maple Leafs are 2-0 SU in their last 2 home games on the 2nd half of a back-to-back.
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of the Capitals' last 8 games on the road.

The Leafs have nearly booked their ticket to the postseason for the first time since 2013 and with the remainder of their regular-season games being played at the Air Canada Centre, that idea is becoming more and more of a reality. Although they’ve struggled against the Capitals in recent years, the Buds have split the season series and should be good upset candidates this evening.

Winning seven of their last eight games, both teams come into this one on scorchers. Washington, however, suffered a 6-3 loss at the hands of the lowly ’Yotes on the last day of March as -320 favorites and although that doesn’t mean they’ll lose tonight, it’s a perfect example of why it’s a good idea to take the value when a home team is a big dog.

Before laying a bet tonight, though, make sure you know who’s starting in net for both teams. Curtis McElhinney has been good in relief for Freddy Andersen but Washington backup Philipp Grubauer really struggled in March.

Washington Capitals vs Toronto Maple Leafs Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

This season the Toronto Maple Leafs are 39-24-15 overall while the Washington Capitals are 52-18-8. As for the totals, Toronto is 36-40-2 on the OU, and Washington is 36-27-15. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Toronto vs Washington injuries news.

The NHL Power Rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Toronto Maple Leafs rated this week at No. 8 and the Washington Capitals sitting at No. 3.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Toronto's No. 5-ranked offense, averaging 3.1 goals per game, against a Capitals defense that ranks No. 1 at 2.28 goals allowed. The Maple Leafs power play is averaging 24.68% while the Capitals defense kills off 84.15% of their penalties.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Last time out for Washington, they were a 3-2 winner as they battled the Blue Jackets on the road. Moneyline bettors who got the Capitals at -115 were rewarded, while the 5 combined goals moved the game PUSH for totals bettors.

Last time out for Toronto, they were a 4-2 winner as they battled the Sabres on the road. Moneyline bettors who got the Maple Leafs at -163 were rewarded, while the 6 combined goals moved the game OVER for totals bettors.

Betting Trends
  • Washington is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games
  • Washington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 10 of Washington's last 14 games
  • Washington is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
  • Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games
  • Toronto is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games at home
  • Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Washington home to New York, Wednesday, April 5th
Toronto home to Tampa Bay, Thursday, April 6th