Republican Nomination Odds

2024 Republican Nominee Odds: Trump Locks It Up

Donald Trump has always been the favorite to win the Republican nomination for the 2024 US Presidential election. That's been the case since before he even declared his candidacy. And, after a decisive win on Super Tuesday, Trump has effectively won that nomination.

Check out Trump's likely Democratic opponent and his Democratic Nominee Odds.

2024 Republican Nominee Odds

With Trump having the only red hat in the race, there are no longer odds for the Republican Nominee.

2024 Republican Nominee Odds: Trump Dominance

Through the primary season, Trump holds 75% of the votes with 14 million. Now that Nikki Haley is out of the equation on the GOP ticket, Trump runs unopposed. Which means, that vote share is obviously going to rise as the final primaries are run.

Trump winning the Republican ticket was always going to be the case of course. The second he announced he was running for the Republican Nomination it was his to lose. 

Buuuut, Haley did pick up 21% of the vote in these primaries. Consider that four years ago Trump held 94% of the vote in the Republican primaries. We're looking at a significant drop-off in the votes received. His popularity might be waning in his own party.

That's going to be an important weakness for him as he seeks to return to the White House against a familiar opponent in Joe Biden.

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