Odds Shark https://www.oddsshark.com/ en <a href="/nfl/super-bowl/futures" hreflang="en">Super Bowl 57 Odds: Bills Still Favorites Despite Week 3 Loss</a> https://www.oddsshark.com/1531232 <p>The NFL machine never stops, and with Week 3 in the books, there’s still plenty of time to get some value in Super Bowl odds as we look ahead to Super Bowl 57 in Glendale, Arizona.</p> <p>Oddsmakers at Bovada have updated their odds to win Super Bowl 57, and the Buffalo Bills still lead the way after Week 3 with +400 odds to win the big game at State Farm Stadium on February 12, 2023.</p> <p></p><div class="block block-oddsshark-operator block-operator"> <div class="top-3-cta"> <div class="content"> <figure class="figure-list"><ul class="list"> <li class="list__item"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="wrapper-link" aria-label="Betonic Sportsbook" rel="nofollow"></a> <div class="logo"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" rel="nofollow"> <img width="220" height="60" src="/sites/default/files/images/sportsbook-reviews/logos/betonic_review_0.png" alt="Betonic Sportsbook" /> </a> </div> <div class="bonus-offer"> <div class="bonus-offer-label">Bonus:</div> <span>100% Up To $150</span> </div> <div class="review-wrapper"> <a href="/review/betonic-sportsbook-review" hreflang="en">Review</a> </div> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="join-button button button--solid-play button--thick" rel="nofollow">Play Now</a> </li> </ul></figure> </div> </div> </div> <p><em>New to betting on football? Check out our <a href="https://www.oddsshark.com/nfl/how-to-bet">How to Bet on the NFL</a> page for tips and strategy. Or check out our <a href="https://www.oddsshark.com/nfl">NFL page</a> for articles on <a href="/nfl/offensive-player-of-the-year-odds">Offensive</a> and <a href="/nfl/nfl-defensive-player-year-betting-odds">Defensive Player of the Year</a> odds, <a href="https://www.oddsshark.com/nfl/mvp-odds">MVP odds</a> and much more.</em></p> <p>Here’s a look at the Super Bowl 57 odds with some of our best bets and predictions:</p> <p>Jump to:</p> <figure class="figure-list"><ul class="list"> <li class="list__item"><a href="#Best Long Shot Bets">Best Long Shot Bets</a></li> <li class="list__item"><a href="#Best Bet">Best Bet Pick</a></li> </ul></figure> <h2>Bills Top Latest 2023 Super Bowl Odds</h2> <div class="table-wrapper"><table class="table table--striped" class="table table--striped"> <caption>Odds to Win Super Bowl 57</caption> <thead> <tr> <th>Team</th> <th>Opening Odds</th> <th>Odds</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>Buffalo Bills</td> <td>+750</td> <td>+450</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Kansas City Chiefs</td> <td>+750</td> <td>+800</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Philadelphia Eagles</td> <td>+4000</td> <td>+850</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Tampa Bay Buccaneers</td> <td>+1600</td> <td>+900</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Green Bay Packers</td> <td>+2200</td> <td>+1000</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Los Angeles Rams</td> <td>+1100</td> <td>+1400</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Baltimore Ravens</td> <td>+2000</td> <td>+1600</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Miami Dolphins</td> <td>+5000</td> <td>+1800</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Cincinnati Bengals</td> <td>+1600</td> <td>+2000</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Los Angeles Chargers</td> <td>+2500</td> <td>+2000</td> </tr> <tr> <td>San Francisco 49ers</td> <td>+1800</td> <td>+2000</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Minnesota Vikings</td> <td>+4000</td> <td>+2500</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Denver Broncos</td> <td>+1200</td> <td>+2800</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Dallas Cowboys</td> <td>+1200</td> <td>+3300</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Indianapolis Colts</td> <td>+2500</td> <td>+3300</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Cleveland Browns</td> <td>+3000</td> <td>+5000</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Jacksonville Jaguars</td> <td>+10000</td> <td>+5000</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Arizona Cardinals</td> <td>+4000</td> <td>+6600</td> </tr> <tr> <td>New Orleans Saints</td> <td>+5000</td> <td>+6600</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Tennessee Titans</td> <td>+2000</td> <td>+6600</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Las Vegas Raiders</td> <td>+2200</td> <td>+8000</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Detroit Lions</td> <td>+15000</td> <td>+8000</td> </tr> <tr> <td>New England Patriots</td> <td>+3500</td> <td>+10000</td> </tr> <tr> <td>New York Giants</td> <td>+5000</td> <td>+10000</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Pittsburgh Steelers</td> <td>+6600</td> <td>+12500</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Carolina Panthers</td> <td>+5000</td> <td>+15000</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Washington Commanders</td> <td>+4000</td> <td>+15000</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Chicago Bears</td> <td>+6600</td> <td>+20000</td> </tr> <tr> <td>New York Jets</td> <td>+5000</td> <td>+25000</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Atlanta Falcons</td> <td>+15000</td> <td>+30000</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Seattle Seahawks</td> <td>+4000</td> <td>+40000</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Houston Texans</td> <td>+15000</td> <td>+50000</td> </tr> </tbody> </table></div> <p class="content-text-promo-add-info alt-1">Odds as of October 1 at Bovada</p> <h2>What Are The Champs’ Chances In Super Bowl Odds?</h2> <p class="text-align-center"><a class="button button--solid-primary button--arrow-right" href="/nfl/sites">Place Your Super Bowl Bets Now!</a></p> <p>The Rams have a great chance to come out of the NFC again with Matthew Stafford and Sean McVay still in place. The team did lose some key pieces in Odell Beckham Jr., Robert Woods, Von Miller, starting cornerback Darious Williams and two starting offensive linemen, but they added Bobby Wagner, Allen Robinson and a few others.</p> <p>Top to bottom, the Rams roster isn’t quite as good as their championship team, but the champs still have only five teams above them in Super Bowl odds.</p> <p>Don’t let L.A.’s Week 1 performance against the Bills fool you too much. They are better than they looked and are a value at +1500 (down from +1200) in Super Bowl odds. There were more encouraging signs of them shaking off the Super Bowl hangover with wins over Atlanta and Arizona in Weeks 2 and 3. </p> <p><a name="Best Long Shot Bets" id="Best Long Shot Bets"></a></p> <h3>Best Super Bowl Long-Shot Bets</h3> <p></p><div class="block block-oddsshark-operator block-operator"> <div class="top-3-cta"> <div class="content"> <figure class="figure-list"><ul class="list"> <li class="list__item"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="wrapper-link" aria-label="Betonic Sportsbook" rel="nofollow"></a> <div class="logo"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" rel="nofollow"> <img width="220" height="60" src="/sites/default/files/images/sportsbook-reviews/logos/betonic_review_0.png" alt="Betonic Sportsbook" /> </a> </div> <div class="bonus-offer"> <div class="bonus-offer-label">Bonus:</div> <span>100% Up To $150</span> </div> <div class="review-wrapper"> <a href="/review/betonic-sportsbook-review" hreflang="en">Review</a> </div> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="join-button button button--solid-play button--thick" rel="nofollow">Play Now</a> </li> </ul></figure> </div> </div> </div> <h3>Baltimore Ravens (+1800)</h3> <p>It feels like a lot of people are forgetting how good the Ravens have been in recent years. They always have a good defense and have one of the best 10 or so quarterbacks in the league in former MVP Lamar Jackson.</p> <p>The Ravens were decimated by injury last season and still managed an 8-9 record, and I think with some health luck they should easily be in the mix in the AFC. </p> <p>The Ravens and Jackson (who is a legitimate <a href="/nfl/mvp-odds">NFL MVP odds</a> candidate) looked good in their Week 1 road win against the Jets and were incredible (at least offensively) in Weeks 2 and 3 despite their loss to Miami in Week 2.</p> <p>If the Ravens can figure out some of their coverage issues, they have the offense to compete with anyone. We’re losing a bit of value on this bet with each passing week as the Ravens were sitting at +2000 just before Week 1. I still like them at +1800.</p> <h3>Cincinnati Bengals (+3000)</h3> <p>Joe Burrow and the Bengals had a rough Week 1, and arguably an even worse Week 2. Burrow threw four interceptions, took seven sacks and did everything in his power to throw their Week 1 game away and he was running for his life all afternoon against <a href="/nfl/defensive-player-of-the-year-odds">Defensive Player of the Year odds </a>candidate Micah Parsons and the Cowboys defense. </p> <p>There’s definitely a part of me that wonders whether this team simply ran hot for a few months last year and isn’t the Super Bowl contender they appeared to be. But they turned it around in Week 3 by soundly beating the Jets on the road. Burrow picked apart the Jets D and didn’t throw a pick. He also only took two sacks.</p> <p>I still believe in the talent on this team and think that if they can find a way to protect Burrow consistently, they should be OK. The offensive line has a lot of new faces, so it could take them a few weeks to jell.</p> <p>But for now I see the Bengals as a good value at +3000.</p> <h3>Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1000)</h3> <p>It isn’t quite a long shot, but these are the best odds we’ve seen on the Bucs in months. There are questions already starting to pop up about Tom Brady’s commitment, his ability and his personal life that have some analysts writing off the GOAT just three weeks into the season despite his team being 2-1.</p> <p>I’m buying the dip on that negativity based on a look at the situation around Brady right now. He was missing his top three receivers, top two left tackles, top left guard and starting center in Week 3 and still almost tied the game on the last play against a far healthier Green Bay team with Super Bowl aspirations.</p> <p>The Bucs will be healthier at some point soon and the second half of their schedule is a lot lighter than the first. There are concerns, but this is still one of the best teams in the NFL when at full force.</p> <p class="text-align-center"><a class="button button--solid-primary button--arrow-right" href="/nfl/sites">Visit Our Recommended NFL Sportsbooks</a></p> <p><a name="Best Bet" id="Best Bet"></a></p> <h2>Best Bet: Kansas City Chiefs (+750)</h2> <p>There’s an old cliche in football that you’re never as bad as you look and never as good as you look, so if we’re going to be optimistic about teams like Cincinnati, we have to take the Chiefs’ big win over Arizona in Week 1 with a grain of salt, too.</p> <p>But it’s a very small grain of salt. This team is good.</p> <p>There will be hiccups for the Chiefs this season (Week 3 loss to Indy) as they play in probably the best division in football, and there were some legitimate questions about how the Chiefs offense would look without superstar wideout Tyreek Hill. But it seems like the answer should have been clear all along: Patrick Mahomes makes people better.</p> <p>Great quarterbacks elevate their teammates, and Mahomes did just that with his five touchdown passes in Week 1 and another strong game against the rival Chargers in Week 2. Combined with an elite offensive line, great coach and good-enough defense, there’s no reason this team can’t win it all this year and you’re getting them here at a pretty good price relative to the other top teams.</p> <p></p><div class="block block-oddsshark-operator block-operator"> <div class="top-3-cta"> <div class="content"> <figure class="figure-list"><ul class="list"> <li class="list__item"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="wrapper-link" aria-label="Betonic Sportsbook" rel="nofollow"></a> <div class="logo"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" rel="nofollow"> <img width="220" height="60" src="/sites/default/files/images/sportsbook-reviews/logos/betonic_review_0.png" alt="Betonic Sportsbook" /> </a> </div> <div class="bonus-offer"> <div class="bonus-offer-label">Bonus:</div> <span>100% Up To $150</span> </div> <div class="review-wrapper"> <a href="/review/betonic-sportsbook-review" hreflang="en">Review</a> </div> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="join-button button button--solid-play button--thick" rel="nofollow">Play Now</a> </li> </ul></figure> </div> </div> </div> <hr /> <p>When it comes to betting on the <a href="/nfl">NFL</a>, odds are available before teams take their first regular-season snaps. You can even bet on a potential Super Bowl winner in August. Certain squads will always be contenders, especially if they won the previous year.</p> <p>When bookmakers set the lines, they look at offseason roster moves, coaching changes and past on-field performance. To bet on Super Bowl odds, you’d make a <a href="/nfl/odds/futures">futures </a>bet.</p> <h2>What Is An NFL Futures Bet?</h2> <p class="sblv-title">This is a bet in which you would look at the Super Bowl odds, weeks or sometimes months in advance of the big game, and decide which team you think will win. Let’s say you want to make a<a href="/sports-betting/future-betting-lines"> futures bet </a>today. At your <a href="/nfl/sites">sportsbook</a> of choice, the Super Bowl odds might look something like this:</p> <div class="list-container"> <figure class="figure-list"> <ul class="list"> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">Kansas City Chiefs -300</li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">New Orleans Saints +550</li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">Green Bay Packers +900</li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">Buffalo Bills +1000</li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1100</li> </ul></figure> </figure> </div> <p>If this were a <a href="/sports-betting/betting-money-line">moneyline bet</a>, you’d be able to see which team is the clear favorite because it would have a minus sign beside its moneyline odds (-). For Super Bowl futures, the team with the lowest Super Bowl odds is favored to win the NFL championship, and the rest are underdogs.</p> <p>Let’s say you feel strongly about the Saints and believe they’re going to win it all. If you were to bet $100 on them and they did triumph, you’d get a payout of $650 – your original $100 is returned along with your winnings of $550. Our Super Bowl <a href="/tools/odds-calculator">Odds Calculator</a> will show you how much you’d win based on the odds and amount bet.</p> <p></p><div class="block block-oddsshark-operator block-operator"> <div class="top-3-cta"> <div class="content"> <figure class="figure-list"><ul class="list"> <li class="list__item"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="wrapper-link" aria-label="Betonic Sportsbook" rel="nofollow"></a> <div class="logo"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" rel="nofollow"> <img width="220" height="60" src="/sites/default/files/images/sportsbook-reviews/logos/betonic_review_0.png" alt="Betonic Sportsbook" /> </a> </div> <div class="bonus-offer"> <div class="bonus-offer-label">Bonus:</div> <span>100% Up To $150</span> </div> <div class="review-wrapper"> <a href="/review/betonic-sportsbook-review" hreflang="en">Review</a> </div> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="join-button button button--solid-play button--thick" rel="nofollow">Play Now</a> </li> </ul></figure> </div> </div> </div> <p>The Super Bowl odds change throughout the season as key players get injured, trades happen and coaches get fired. Line movements for NFL futures happen weekly, so if you see Super Bowl odds you like, it’s best to bet on them ASAP. The Packers may be +900 to win the Super Bowl in October but after a surge in November their Super Bowl odds could jump to +400 and you’ll make less money than you would if you’d bet them at +900.</p> Sat, 01 Oct 2022 12:45:00 -0400 Super Bowl 57 Odds: Bills Still Favorites Despite Week 3 Loss 1531232 <a href="/ufc/dern-vs-yan-odds-betting-picks" hreflang="en">Dern vs Yan Odds & Picks: Dern’s Jiu-Jitsu Will Be X Factor</a> https://www.oddsshark.com/2145698 <p>Two top-notch female UFC fighters will be in the spotlight when strawweights Mackenzie Dern (12-2) and Xiaonan Yan (15-3) share the Octagon on October 1. The five-round main event will take place at the Apex in Las Vegas.</p> <p>UFC Vegas 61 will begin with prelim fights at 4 p.m. ET with the main card to start at 7 p.m. Dern is currently the -250 favorite in the Dern vs Yan odds.</p> <p>Bodog has you covered for all Dern vs Yan betting and other <a href="/ufc/odds">UFC odds</a>.</p> <h2>Dern vs Yan Betting Notes</h2> <p>The women’s strawweight belt is very much up for grabs. Dern, the fifth-ranked 115-pounder, and Yan, the sixth-ranked strawweight, are vying to push themselves out of the division’s middle tier and into title contention. </p> <p>Dern, a jiu-jitsu specialist, has fought in the UFC since 2017, amassing a 7-2 company record. The 29-year-old has won five of her last six bouts, including three by submission victory. Seven of her pro wins have come via submission and five have come via decision.</p> <p>Yan is looking to end a two-fight losing skid after dropping a decision to Marina Rodriguez at UFC 272 and losing to now-champion Carla Esparza by technical knockout at UFC Vegas 27. “Nine” has seven stoppage wins on her pro record but has never scored a finish since joining the UFC in 2017. </p> <h2>UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Yan Odds</h2> <p>Bodog lists Dern as the -250 favorite and Yan as the +195 underdog. The biggest underdog on the card is featherweight Don Shainis (+650) in his fight vs Sodiq Yusuff (-1100).</p> <p>The tightest odds of the event come in a prelim women’s featherweight bout between Julija Stoliarenko (-120) and Chelsea Chandler (-103).</p> <p>Hoping to make some money on the Dern vs Yan odds but don’t know how to do it? No worries! Check out our <a href="/ufc/how-to-bet">How to Bet on UFC guide</a> to get in on all the action. Also, feel free to visit our many <a href="/ufc/sites">UFC betting sites</a>, as well as our main <a href="/ufc">UFC betting news page</a> for all the latest news from inside the Octagon.</p> <p class="text-align-center"><a class="button button--solid-primary button--arrow-right" href="/ufc/sites">Bet On UFC Fight Night Here</a></p> <h2>UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Yan Betting Odds &amp; Fight Card</h2> <div class="list-container"> <figure class="figure-list figure-list--has-caption"> <figcaption class="figure-list__caption">UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Yan Betting Lines And Fight Card</figcaption> <ul class="list"> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item"><strong>Main Card</strong></li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">Women’s Strawweight – Mackenzie Dern (-250) vs Xiaonan Yan (+195)</li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">Welterweight – Randy Brown (-350) vs Francisco Trinaldo (+255)</li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">Bantamweight – Raoni Barcelos (-250) vs Trevin Jones (+200)</li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">Featherweight – Sodiq Yusuff (-1100) vs Don Shainis (+650)</li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">Bantamweight – John Castenada (-193) vs Daniel Santos (+153)</li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">Lightweight – Mike Davis (-185) vs Viacheslav Borshchev (+150)</li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item"><strong>Prelims</strong></li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">Heavyweight – Aleksei Oleinik (+145) vs Ilir Latifi (-185)</li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">Women’s Strawweight – Jessica Penne (+176) vs Tabatha Ricci (-220)</li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">Bantamweight – Joaquim Silva (-145) vs Jesse Ronson (+120)</li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">Middleweight – Brendan Allen (-105) vs Krzysztof Jotko (-123)</li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">Light Heavyweight – Maxim Grishin (-176) vs Philipe Lins (+141)</li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">Women’s Featherweight – Julija Stoliarenko (-120) vs Chelsea Chandler (-103)</li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">Bantamweight – Randy Costa (-325) vs Guido Cannetti (+240)</li> </ul></figure> </figure> </div> <p class="content-text-promo-add-info alt-1">Odds as of October 1 via Bodog</p> <div class="list-container"> <figure class="figure-list figure-list--has-caption"> <figcaption class="figure-list__caption">UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Yan Broadcast Information</figcaption> <ul class="list"> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item"><strong>Date/Time:</strong> October 1, 4 p.m. ET</li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item"><strong>Location:</strong> Las Vegas, Nevada</li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item"><strong>Arena:</strong> UFC Apex</li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item"><strong>Where to Watch:</strong> ESPN+, UFC Fight Pass, Cable Provider</li> </ul></figure> </figure> </div> <p></p><div class="block block-oddsshark-operator block-operator"> <div class="top-3-cta"> <div class="content"> <figure class="figure-list"><ul class="list"> <li class="list__item"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="wrapper-link" aria-label="Betonic Sportsbook" rel="nofollow"></a> <div class="logo"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" rel="nofollow"> <img width="220" height="60" src="/sites/default/files/images/sportsbook-reviews/logos/betonic_review_0.png" alt="Betonic Sportsbook" /> </a> </div> <div class="bonus-offer"> <div class="bonus-offer-label">Bonus:</div> <span>100% Up To $150</span> </div> <div class="review-wrapper"> <a href="/review/betonic-sportsbook-review" hreflang="en">Review</a> </div> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="join-button button button--solid-play button--thick" rel="nofollow">Play Now</a> </li> </ul></figure> </div> </div> </div> <h2>Mackenzie Dern vs Xiaonan Yan Odds &amp; Pick</h2> <div class="table-wrapper"><table class="table table--striped" class="table table--striped"> <thead> <tr> <th>Fighter</th> <th>Odds</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>Mackenzie Dern</td> <td>-250</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Xiaonan Yan</td> <td>+195</td> </tr> </tbody> </table></div> <p>-250 isn’t the most chalk Dern has seen in her UFC career, but it’ll be her heaviest favorite status since a bout vs Hannah Cifers in May 2020. The American has fought well enough in her career to get the nod from most sportsbooks, but it’s worth noting her two UFC losses – to Amanda Ribas and Rodriguez – came while she was favored by -185 and -195, respectively. In fact, Dern has been the favorite in all but one of her UFC bouts (+105 vs Nina Nunes, where Dern won by SUB).</p> <p>Yan has been favored in six of her eight UFC fights, including her loss to Esparza at UFC Vegas 27. After opening as a +230 ‘dog vs Rodriguez at UFC 272, Yan will fight as a back-to-back underdog for the first time in her career when she takes on Dern. </p> <p>Looking at the Dern vs Yan odds, our <a href="/tools/odds-calculator">sports betting calculator</a> tells us Dern’s -250 status gives her an implied win probability of 71.43 percent. Yan’s +195 odds represent an implied win probability of 66.10 percent. That means a successful $10 bet on the favorite pays out $14, while the same wager on the underdog pays $29.50.</p> <div class="list-container"> <figure class="figure-list figure-list--has-caption"> <figcaption class="figure-list__caption">Dern: Need to Knows</figcaption> <ul class="list"> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">The 29-year-old is of Brazilian descent and has trained in jiu-jitsu since she was a child, eventually earning her a prestigious black belt. With her submission skill set, Dern is as skilled as any female fighter, making her a menace on the mat. She is ferociously creative in the way she sinks kneebars and armbars especially, having secured 58 percent of her pro wins by submission. Yan will be utterly outclassed if this fight hits the canvas.</li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">As is the case when fighting any jiu-jitsu specialist, Yan will need to be cautious about engaging Dern, even if the American is knocked down or laying on her back. It’s an easy trap for a fighter like Yan to hunt a ground-and-pound KO and get overexcited, ultimately walking into a bottom-mount submission such as an inverted triangle. Randa Markos walked into a submission against Dern at UFC Vegas 11 doing that exact thing. Dern isn’t a super skilled striker, so it’s tempting to engage at all times, but watch for her to lay plenty of traps from bottom position.</li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">Dern’s last three fights were against Tecia Torres (win – split decision), Rodriguez (loss – unanimous decision) and Nunes (win – submission).</li> </ul></figure> </figure> </div> <div class="list-container"> <figure class="figure-list figure-list--has-caption"> <figcaption class="figure-list__caption">Yan: Need to Knows</figcaption> <ul class="list"> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">Yan made her come-up in the UFC as an aggressive striker who loves forward pressure. The Chinese fighter has a strong chin, often getting in tight for dirty boxing exchanges. She’s so aggressive that she’ll often be happy taking damage in close since she knows she’ll be close enough to fire back. At distance, Yan is also very dangerous. She has no problem selling out for hook kicks or spinning backfists to put on a show. </li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">Dern’s last loss to Rodriguez offered a good blueprint for how to beat the BJJ expert. Rodriguez barely survived some suffocating spots on the mat, but was much better on the feet. Rodriguez kept Dern at distance with leg kicks and front kicks. When things got in tight, she went to her Muay Thai toolbox. That’s how Yan can win. If she keeps the distance – though that’s not Yan’s style – and pushes Dern away, she’ll hold a significant advantage. It remains to be seen if Yan’s fear of going to the mat stifles her aggressiveness, however. </li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">Yan’s last three fights were against Rodriguez (loss – split decision), Esparza (loss – technical knockout) and Claudia Gadelha (win – unanimous decision).</li> </ul></figure> </figure> </div> <h3>Pick: Dern by submission (-121)</h3> <p></p><div class="block block-oddsshark-operator block-operator"> <div class="top-3-cta"> <div class="content"> <figure class="figure-list"><ul class="list"> <li class="list__item"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="wrapper-link" aria-label="Betonic Sportsbook" rel="nofollow"></a> <div class="logo"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" rel="nofollow"> <img width="220" height="60" src="/sites/default/files/images/sportsbook-reviews/logos/betonic_review_0.png" alt="Betonic Sportsbook" /> </a> </div> <div class="bonus-offer"> <div class="bonus-offer-label">Bonus:</div> <span>100% Up To $150</span> </div> <div class="review-wrapper"> <a href="/review/betonic-sportsbook-review" hreflang="en">Review</a> </div> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="join-button button button--solid-play button--thick" rel="nofollow">Play Now</a> </li> </ul></figure> </div> </div> </div> <h2>Randy Brown vs Francisco Trinaldo Odds &amp; Pick</h2> <div class="table-wrapper"><table class="table table--striped" class="table table--striped"> <thead> <tr> <th>Fighter</th> <th>Odds</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>Randy Brown</td> <td>-350</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Francisco Trinaldo</td> <td>+255</td> </tr> </tbody> </table></div> <p>The co-main event features a welterweight fight between Randy Brown (15-4) and Francisco Trinaldo (28-8).</p> <div class="list-container"> <figure class="figure-list figure-list--has-caption"> <figcaption class="figure-list__caption">brown: Need to Knows</figcaption> <ul class="list"> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">“Rude Boy” surprised everyone with his performance vs Khaos Williams at UFC 274. Brown survived two knockdowns, but frustrated Williams with a quick jab and enough movement to avoid Khaos’ deadly overhands and hooks. The improvement in fight IQ was a welcome step in Brown’s progression, as the 32-year-old has now won three fights in a row. He looks more mature in the Octagon, fighting smarter instead of fighting harder. The latter strategy saw him end up on the receiving end of some tough KOs earlier in his career.</li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">While Brown is powerful and can put guys out, we see this bout as a point fight waiting to happen. The New York native is a balanced fighter, which is reflected in his stoppage wins (6 KO/5 SUB), but Trinaldo isn’t easy to put out. The Brazilian has dropped five of his eight losses via decision. He has three submission losses to his record, but the latest came at the hands of an excellent wrestler in Kevin Lee. We don’t anticipate Brown submitting Trinaldo.</li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">Brown’s last three fights have come against Williams (win – split decision), Jared Gooden (win – unanimous decision) and Alex Oliveira (win – submission). </li> </ul></figure> </figure> </div> <div class="list-container"> <figure class="figure-list figure-list--has-caption"> <figcaption class="figure-list__caption">Trinaldo: Need to Knows</figcaption> <ul class="list"> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">At 44 years of age, Trinaldo and Aleksei Oleinik share the honor of being the oldest fighter on the UFC’s active roster. The Brazilian debuted way back at UFC 147 and has amassed 18 wins (50 percent finish rate) over his 10-year career inside the Octagon. </li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">Brown will hold a massive eight-inch reach advantage over Trinaldo. We expect that will help Brown keep his distance and wail on Trinaldo’s chin with quick left jabs. That said, the Brazilian, fighting southpaw, should still be able to defend himself. Eight of Trinaldo’s last 10 fights have gone the distance. </li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">Trinaldo’s last three fights were against Danny Roberts (win – unanimous decision), Dwight Grant (win – split decision) and Muslim Salikhov (loss – unanimous decision).</li> </ul></figure> </figure> </div> <h3>Pick: Brown by decision (+129)</h3> <p></p><div class="block block-oddsshark-operator block-operator"> <div class="top-3-cta"> <div class="content"> <figure class="figure-list"><ul class="list"> <li class="list__item"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="wrapper-link" aria-label="Betonic Sportsbook" rel="nofollow"></a> <div class="logo"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" rel="nofollow"> <img width="220" height="60" src="/sites/default/files/images/sportsbook-reviews/logos/betonic_review_0.png" alt="Betonic Sportsbook" /> </a> </div> <div class="bonus-offer"> <div class="bonus-offer-label">Bonus:</div> <span>100% Up To $150</span> </div> <div class="review-wrapper"> <a href="/review/betonic-sportsbook-review" hreflang="en">Review</a> </div> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="join-button button button--solid-play button--thick" rel="nofollow">Play Now</a> </li> </ul></figure> </div> </div> </div> <h2>Sodiq Yusuff vs Don Shainis Odds &amp; Pick</h2> <div class="table-wrapper"><table class="table table--striped" class="table table--striped"> <thead> <tr> <th>Fighter</th> <th>Odds</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>Sodiq Yusuff</td> <td>-1100</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Don Shainis</td> <td>+650</td> </tr> </tbody> </table></div> <p>A fun, albeit lopsided bout between featherweights Sodiq Yusuff (12-2) and Don Shainis (13-3) will also take place on the main card.</p> <div class="list-container"> <figure class="figure-list figure-list--has-caption"> <figcaption class="figure-list__caption">Yusuff: Need to Knows</figcaption> <ul class="list"> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">Yusuff was expected to fight Giga Chikadze at UFC Vegas 60 but was pushed to this event after Chikadze withdrew. The change also comes with a drop in competition as “Super” now faces a much lesser opponent in Shainis. Yusuff has fought as the favorite in all six of his UFC fights, although he’s never been as heavily chalked as he is vs Shainis (-1000).</li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">The 29-year-old is a physical phenom, possessing equal parts cardio and strength. He also moves very methodically, keeping a narrow stance and a high guard before exploding for wild hook combos. He’s a high-volume puncher (5.22 significant strikes landed per minute) who doesn’t absorb as much as he throws (3.63 significant strikes absorbed per minute). Yusuff has shared the cage with far more experienced and intimidating opponents than Shainis. We expect the Nigerian to finish this fight.</li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">Yusuff’s last three fights have come against Alex Caceres (win – unanimous decision), Arnold Allen (loss – unanimous decision) and Andre Fili (win – unanimous decision).</li> </ul></figure> </figure> </div> <div class="list-container"> <figure class="figure-list figure-list--has-caption"> <figcaption class="figure-list__caption">Shainis: Need to Knows</figcaption> <ul class="list"> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">“Shameless” will be making his UFC debut, which only makes it harder to defeat a stone-cold killer like Yusuff. The odds for this bout originally opened with Shainis as a +425 underdog but have now shifted to him as the +600 ‘dog.</li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">Shainis obviously isn’t known at the UFC level, but he’s been a menace in MMA for a little while. The 31-year-old had an excellent run in the Cage Titans promotion, working his way to becoming the featherweight champion. He’s on a five-fight win streak, with four of those wins finishing UNDER 2.5 rounds. He’s a big-time striker, as is Yusuff. Someone is going out. </li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">The American’s last three fights were against Brice Picaud (win – knockout), Cody Pfister (win – knockout) and Jay Ellis (win – knockout). </li> </ul></figure> </figure> </div> <h3>Pick: Yusuff by KO/TKO/DQ (-200)</h3> <p></p><div class="block block-oddsshark-operator block-operator"> <div class="top-3-cta"> <div class="content"> <figure class="figure-list"><ul class="list"> <li class="list__item"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="wrapper-link" aria-label="Betonic Sportsbook" rel="nofollow"></a> <div class="logo"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" rel="nofollow"> <img width="220" height="60" src="/sites/default/files/images/sportsbook-reviews/logos/betonic_review_0.png" alt="Betonic Sportsbook" /> </a> </div> <div class="bonus-offer"> <div class="bonus-offer-label">Bonus:</div> <span>100% Up To $150</span> </div> <div class="review-wrapper"> <a href="/review/betonic-sportsbook-review" hreflang="en">Review</a> </div> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="join-button button button--solid-play button--thick" rel="nofollow">Play Now</a> </li> </ul></figure> </div> </div> </div> Sat, 01 Oct 2022 10:59:12 -0400 Dern vs Yan Odds & Picks: Dern’s Jiu-Jitsu Will Be X Factor 2145698 <a href="/ncaaf/prop-bets" hreflang="en">College Football Prop Bets: Conference Contests </a> https://www.oddsshark.com/1530440 <p><a href="/ncaaf">College football</a> is already heading into Week 5 and the excitement doesn’t stop. This week features conference battles and other crucial matchups where an AP Poll ranking is on the line, where some can turn its <a href="/ncaaf/odds-to-break-into-college-football-rankings">odds to break in the top 10</a> into a reality. </p> <p>This page is dedicated to Odds Shark’s college football prop bets of the week, breaking down the top college football game props and specific wagers to bring you some weekly cash. Come back every week for updated <a href="/ncaaf/computer-picks">picks</a> and <a href="/ncaaf/how-bet-college-football">betting breakdowns</a>.</p> <p class="text-align-center"><a class="button button--solid-primary button--arrow-right" href="/ncaaf/sites"> See Our Best Football Betting Sites</a></p> <h2>Today’s NCAAF Props And Picks:</h2> <p>Below are our best college football prop bets for this weekend.<strong> </strong>All of our selected props can be found at Bodog.</p> <h2><b>Prop #1: Northwestern vs Penn State – Kaytron Allen Touchdown (-115)</b></h2> <p><b>The Game: </b>October 1, 3:30 p.m. ET <b>The Prop: </b>Will Kaytron Allen Score A Touchdown?</p> <p>With a No. 11-ranking decorating its name, the <a href="/stats/team/football/ncaaf/8645">Penn State Nittany Lions</a> are currently favored to be the next team to break into the top 10 rankings. With a 4-0 record and scoring at least 33 points per contest, this could be the week they do it. </p> <p>Penn State hasn't gotten too much credit and that's what happens when you share the same conference as the No. 3 <a href="/stats/team/football/ncaaf/8633">Ohio State Buckeyes</a> and No. 4 <a href="/stats/team/football/ncaaf/8618">Michigan Wolverines</a> -- but, a few more wins could turn some heads. </p> <p>Senior QB Sean Clifford is looking to have the most successful season of his career, with 890 passing yards and eight touchdowns. He's built some chemistry with new faces on the team, preparing to pass on the torch. One of those faces is RB Kaytron Allen.</p> <p>Allen has improved from his newbie freshman status to looking like a reliable performer, earning three touchdowns in his last two performances. Last week, his stats took a leap when he rushed for 111 yards on 13 attempts. </p> <p>Penn State hasn't seen the <a href="/stats/team/football/ncaaf/8538">Northwestern Wildcats</a> (1-3) since 2017. But, the Nittany Lions have the numbers being 7-3 overall in the last 10 meetings. Penn State knows breaking into the top 10 turns you into a threat, they won't want to drop this easier win and I think it'll be a group effort. </p> <p>According to our <a href="https://www.oddsshark.com/tools/odds-calculator">Odds Calculator</a>, a $100 bet would pay out $148.78, which is a $48.78 profit.</p> <p><b>The Pick: </b>Kaytron Allen Anytime Touchdown Scorer <strong>(</strong><b>ODDS -115</b><strong>)</strong></p> <p></p><div class="block block-oddsshark-operator block-operator"> <div class="top-3-cta"> <div class="content"> <figure class="figure-list"><ul class="list"> <li class="list__item"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonline.php" class="wrapper-link" aria-label="BetOnline Sportsbook" rel="nofollow"></a> <div class="logo"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonline.php" rel="nofollow"> <img width="220" height="60" src="/sites/default/files/images/sportsbook-reviews/logos/bet-online-ag-light-220x60.png" alt="BetOnline Sportsbook" /> </a> </div> <div class="bonus-offer"> <div class="bonus-offer-label">Bonus:</div> <span>50% Up To $1000</span> </div> <div class="review-wrapper"> <a href="/review/betonline-sportsbook-review" hreflang="en">Review</a> </div> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonline.php" class="join-button button button--solid-play button--thick" rel="nofollow">Play Now</a> </li> </ul></figure> </div> </div> </div> <h2><b>Prop #2:  NC State vs Clemson – Will Shipley Touchdown (-205)</b></h2> <p><b>The Game: </b>October 1, 7:30 p.m. ET<br /> <b>The Prop: </b>Will Will Shipley Score A Touchdown?</p> <p>On the other side of things is the <a href="/stats/team/football/ncaaf/8559">NC State Wolfpack</a> (4-0), who will desperately try to hold onto the number 10 spot as they kick off against the stiff competition in the rebounding <a href="/stats/team/football/ncaaf/8572">Clemson Tigers</a> (4-0).</p> <p>The Tigers disappointed in 2021, missing the <a href="/ncaaf/college-football-playoff-odds">CFP</a> for the first time in six years. In their 10-3 overall record last season, one of those losses was courtesy of the Wolfpack -- who took the September match 27-21.</p> <p>But, determined Clemson has been successful so far in redeeming itself. Being 8-2 against the last 10 annual meetings against NC State, I think they'll want to sort out last year's loss too. </p> <p>RB Will Shipley has been a leader on the field. The sophomore has earned seven touchdowns, tying him for third-most with fellow rushers in the nation. I expect QB DJ Uiagalelei to continue looking for Shipley as they compete against the highest-ranked opponent yet. </p> <p>According to our <a href="/ncaaf/consensus-picks">consensus data</a>, Clemson has a 54 percent likelihood to cover the -7 spread.</p> <p><b>The Pick: </b>Will Shipley Anytime Touchdown Scorer <strong>(</strong><b>ODDS -205</b><strong>)</strong></p> <h2><b>Prop #3: Iowa State vs Kansas – Jalon Daniels Touchdown (-143)</b></h2> <p><b>The Game: </b>October 1, 3:30 p.m. ET<br /> <b>The Prop: </b>Will Jalon Daniels Score A Touchdown?</p> <p>There's a battle in the Big 12 as the <a href="/stats/team/football/ncaaf/8579">Iowa State Cyclones</a> (3-1) visit the <a href="/stats/team/football/ncaaf/8646">Kansas Jayhawks</a> (4-0), who currently top the conference standings. </p> <p>Though the Cyclones are a dominant 9-1 in its last 10 contests with the Jayhawks, I'm expecting Kansas to put an end to Iowa State's seven-game win streak against them. </p> <p>It's the first time since 2009 that the Jayhawks have opened the season undefeated after the first four weeks and QB Jalon Daniels plays a large role in it. </p> <p>After last week's 35-27 win over the Duke Blue Devils, the junior leaped into head coach Lance Leipold's arms, shrieking with excitement about the program's new era. </p> <p>Daniels currently ranks first in the nation with a 98.0 QBR, and aside from passing stats, he also leads his team with 320 rushing yards. He has pocketed 11 touchdowns, including four in Week 4's victory.</p> <p>To me, this is a prime opportunity for the quarterback to showcase just how improved this new era is. Daniels is a leader, so I expect it to show on the field this week. </p> <p>According to our Odds Calculator, wagering $100 on the bet will result in a payout of $169.93, which would represent a $69.93 profit for your pocket.</p> <p><b>The Pick: </b>Jalon Daniels Anytime Touchdown Scorer <strong>(ODDS -143)</strong> </p> <hr /> <h2>What Is An NCAAF Prop Bet?</h2> <p>A college football prop bet is a wager that has no direct impact on the outcome of a football game.</p> <p>A prop bet can be referred to as a “proposition” wager, and though these bets are often for entertainment purposes, they also give opportunity to home in on specific statistics or trends to profit off tiny bits of information.</p> <p>NCAAF prop bets can range from player props, game trends or even more niche bets like the result of the coin toss or length of the national anthem.</p> <p>At your <a href="/nfl/sites">online betting site of choice</a>, NCAAF prop bets could be something like:</p> <div class="list-container"> <figure class="figure-list"> <ul class="list"> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">• Will either team score 3 unanswered times in the game?</li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">• Will the first turnover be a fumble? OVER/UNDER 1.5</li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item">• Will Oklahoma commit a first-drive offensive penalty? YES +110</li> </ul></figure> </figure> </div> <p>Find a complete breakdown of NCAAF betting tactics at our <a href="/ncaaf">College Football betting hub</a>, and calculate exact profits using <a href="/tools/odds-calculator">Odds Shark’s sports betting calculator</a>.</p> <p class="text-align-center"><a class="button button--solid-primary button--arrow-right" href="“/ncaaf/sites">Bet On College Football Here</a></p> Fri, 30 Sep 2022 13:10:57 -0400 College Football Prop Bets: Conference Contests 1530440 <a href="/casino/blog/benjamin-ecksteins-battle-business" hreflang="en">Benjamin Eckstein's Battle Business</a> https://www.oddsshark.com/2146970 <p>LAS VEGAS - WAR!!!</p> <p>Not talking tanks, mortars and bullets, but cards. Went down to a dealer’s school yesterday to do a little research, and found out that the <a href="/casino">casinos</a> now have my favorite <a href="/casino/games">card game</a> from childhood, WAR! Yea, that war. You remember. Sit down and each player gets half the deck, then you start turning over cards. When you match, it’s WAR BAABBBEEE! Then you bury three cards, turn up the fourth, and whoever is higher wins. CLASSIC! Well, it’s kinda the same deal at the casino. With a few tweaks. If your card is higher than the dealer, obviously, you win. If the dealer is higher, they win. But when you match, there are two options. The player can surrender, in which case you lose half the bet. Or, you can go to WAR, but you have to double your bet. If you wanna go to war, there are rules. The dealer burns three cards before dealing out another to the player and themselves. If your card is higher than the dealer, you win, but only the original amount of your wager. If the dealer is higher, you lose it all. If it’s a tie, than you win it all. And when you sit down on your couch, lemme tell you there is a sweet little side bet where you can wager on a tie at 10/1 odds. As the great Edwin Starr sang, ‘War, What is it good for? Absolutely nothing.’ LOVE Edwin, but have to disagree. Casino War is absolutely worth going to battle!</p> <p>WINNERS ONLY!!!</p> <p>First up a little afternoon baseball for you. As long as he doesn’t cut his hair, we’re gonna roll with <a href="/mlb/cincinnati-chicago-odds-september-30-2022-1599241">Adrian Sampson and the Cubs over the Reds</a>. Sampson has been quite a find for the Cubbies and one of the reasons that they’ve won eight of the last nine. In particular, Sampson’s last four starts have been close to perfection. He threw 24 innings and allowed only three earned runs for a svelte 1.13 ERA. We love the way Chicago is closing the season, but can’t say the same about Cincy. The Reds have dropped six of their last seven, and 16 of the last 20. Heard a rumor that their golf clubs are already in the clubhouse. Cash is down hard on the Cubbies. We were gonna take an extended look at the Blue Jays with Alek Manoah tonight, but when the Orioles lost yesterday, the Jays clinched a Wild Card spot. Since they might start to rest some players, we’ll take a pass.</p> <p>Looking to keep the winning streak going, stepping into the college football world and will roll with <a href="/ncaaf/iowa-state-kansas-odds-october-1-2022-1634241">Kansas +3.5 points over Iowa State</a>. When you look at the Kansas record, 4-0 straight up and against the spread, you might think, like Dorothy in the ‘Wizard of Oz,’ “Toto, I’ve a feeling we’re not in Kansas anymore.” If you had Kansas at FOUR &amp; OH before the season started, bravo. I did not. However, the new regime led by Lance Leipold, has started to rock. Who is this guy Leipold? I’ll tell ya. He was the head coach at Wisconsin-Whitewater from 2007 to 2014, and posted a SICK 109-6 record. That’s ONE HUNDRED NINE &amp; SIX in case you didn’t hear me. He won FIVE Division III National Championships and turned around a lousy Buffalo program before leaving for Lawrence. Sure he was only 2-10 last season, but he inherited, as we say around my house, BUPKIS! Which means nothing, or, something totally worthless. But the new Kansas kids have scored 194 points in four games. You know who else has that many? Only Michigan (200), Ohio State (195), Tennessee (194) and Alabama (193) live in that neighborhood. Rock Chalk, Jayhawk baabbbeee!!!</p> <p><em>Benjamin Eckstein is a nationally syndicated sportswriter/oddsmaker. His column, America’s Line, with the Ecks &amp; Bacon appetizer, has run in the New York Daily News and over 100 other papers since 1988. You can follow him online at <a href="http://www.americasline.com">www.americasline.com</a>. He is beloved by most, when he picks winners, and detested by others, when he picks the occasional loser. If you wanna piece of Eck, hit his email... <a href="mailto:ben@americasline.com">ben@americasline.com</a>.</em></p> Fri, 30 Sep 2022 12:56:47 -0400 Benjamin Eckstein's Battle Business 2146970 <a href="/ncaaf/college-football-parlay" hreflang="en">Week 5 College Football Parlay Picks: The Texas Three Step Parlay</a> https://www.oddsshark.com/2122673 <p>Hitting that juicy parlay is every college football bettor’s dream, getting amazing plus money for picking just a few correct bets. While they may not hit every week, luckily for us we have an entire college football season to nail a few of these elusive parlays.</p> <p></p><div class="block block-oddsshark-operator block-operator"> <div class="top-3-cta"> <div class="content"> <figure class="figure-list"><ul class="list"> <li class="list__item"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="wrapper-link" aria-label="Betonic Sportsbook" rel="nofollow"></a> <div class="logo"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" rel="nofollow"> <img width="220" height="60" src="/sites/default/files/images/sportsbook-reviews/logos/betonic_review_0.png" alt="Betonic Sportsbook" /> </a> </div> <div class="bonus-offer"> <div class="bonus-offer-label">Bonus:</div> <span>100% Up To $150</span> </div> <div class="review-wrapper"> <a href="/review/betonic-sportsbook-review" hreflang="en">Review</a> </div> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="join-button button button--solid-play button--thick" rel="nofollow">Play Now</a> </li> </ul></figure> </div> </div> </div> <p>Every week, we’re going to outline our best college football parlay picks below, giving you a three- to five-leg NCAAF parlay to ride with. If you just want the thrill of the parlay without having to grind the numbers or find your bets, tail along and let’s make some money.</p> <p class="text-align-center"><a class="button button--solid-primary button--arrow-right" href="/ncaaf/sites">Lock In Your College Football Parlay Today</a></p> <p>If you’re looking for other ways to get in on the <a href="/ncaaf">college football betting</a> action, check out our <a href="/ncaaf/odds-win-heisman-trophy">Heisman Trophy odds</a> and our updated <a href="/ncaaf/college-football-national-championship-odds">national championship odds.</a> You can find all the college football parlay pick odds below at Bovada.</p> <h2>Week 5 College Football Parlay: +567 Parlay</h2> <div class="table-wrapper"><table class="table table--striped" class="table table--striped table--sortable"> <caption>This Week’s <span style="font-size: 1.25rem; letter-spacing: 0.0625rem;">College football parlay picks</span></caption> <thead> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td><strong>Team and Line</strong></td> <td><strong>Odds</strong></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Houston -2.5</td> <td>-115</td> </tr> <tr> <td>UTSA -4.0</td> <td>-110</td> </tr> <tr> <td>UTEP -3.0</td> <td>-115</td> </tr> <tr> <td><strong>TOTAL</strong></td> <td><b>+567</b></td> </tr> </tbody> </table></div> <hr /> <h3 class="alt-one">Week 5 Parlay Pick #1: Houston -2.5 vs Tulane</h3> <p>Houston is “only” 2-2, and neither of their wins have come against amazing teams. But, I think this Cougars schedule has been a lot harder than we think. Their only losses, to Texas Tech and Kansas, have come against two of the most surprising teams this college football season, with the Jayhawks cracking the Top 25 and Texas Tech shocking Texas last week.</p> <p>This week against Tulane is a great opportunity for the Cougars to get back on track and prove they’re better than their record. Aside from shocking Kansas State in Week 3, the Green Wave haven’t showed much this year. They’re trending in the wrong direction and Houston will take advantage at home. Houston is 8-1 in its last nine games when playing at home against Tulane.</p> <h3 class="alt-one">Week 5 Parlay Pick #2: UTSA -4.0 vs Middle Tennessee</h3> <p>This has letdown game written all over it, so we’re going to bet on the right side of that letdown. Middle Tennessee embarrassed Miami last week, beating the Hurricanes 45-31, but it wasn’t in a sustainable way.</p> <p>The Blue Raiders got 408 yards through the air on just 16 completions, blowing up for big play after big play all game. The Middle Tennessee win was more reliant on Miami mistakes than anything the Blue Raiders were doing, and UTSA can contain those big plays for a big win this weekend.</p> <h3 class="alt-one">Week 5 Parlay Pick #3: UTEP -3.0 vs Charlotte</h3> <p>UTEP flashed a refined game plan last week against Boise State. Taking the ball out of QB Gavin Hardison’s hands allowed the Miners to be more efficient both running and passing. Hardison was 10-for-11 passing and three different UTEP rushers had 40-plus yards on the ground.</p> <p>If they can bring that same attack against a Charlotte team that’s allowed 40-plus points in <em>every</em> game this year, the Miners should put up enough points to run away with this one.</p> <p>Lock in your college football parlays with these odds over at Bovada!</p> <p></p><div class="block block-oddsshark-operator block-operator"> <div class="top-3-cta"> <div class="content"> <figure class="figure-list"><ul class="list"> <li class="list__item"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="wrapper-link" aria-label="Betonic Sportsbook" rel="nofollow"></a> <div class="logo"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" rel="nofollow"> <img width="220" height="60" src="/sites/default/files/images/sportsbook-reviews/logos/betonic_review_0.png" alt="Betonic Sportsbook" /> </a> </div> <div class="bonus-offer"> <div class="bonus-offer-label">Bonus:</div> <span>100% Up To $150</span> </div> <div class="review-wrapper"> <a href="/review/betonic-sportsbook-review" hreflang="en">Review</a> </div> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="join-button button button--solid-play button--thick" rel="nofollow">Play Now</a> </li> </ul><em class="figure-list__text">Find full odds at Bovada</em></figure> </div> </div> </div> <hr /> <h3>What Is A College Football Parlay?</h3> <p>A college football parlay, or any betting parlay, is a combination of multiple bets. If you have four different NCAAF parlay picks, you could bet those individually for lesser individual outcomes, or you could parlay them together for better odds. The trick to a parlay is once you combine your bets, you need every bet to hit for the parlay payout.</p> <p>At your <a href="/nfl/sites">online betting site of choice</a>, you could parlay any number of college games — the more games or events you parlay together, the higher total odds will be. Head over to our<a href="/tools/parlay-calculator"> Parlay Calculator</a> to find the college football parlay odds that you want to lock in. If you want to learn more, read our <a href="/sports-betting/parlay-betting">Parlay Bets And Odds, Explained</a> page.</p> <p class="text-align-center"><a class="button button--solid-primary button--arrow-right" href="/ncaaf/sites">See Our Best College Football Betting Sites</a></p> Thu, 29 Sep 2022 23:43:46 -0400 Week 5 College Football Parlay Picks: The Texas Three Step Parlay 2122673 <a href="/ncaaf/college-football-expert-picks" hreflang="en">College Football Expert Picks: Week 5 Locks</a> https://www.oddsshark.com/1530509 <p>We’re back for another season of college football betting and ready to make some money.</p> <p>Surveying an entire college football slate, picking out FBS and FCS value plays, and cashing a profit on college football week over week can be difficult. So, we’re doing all the research and hard work for you.</p> <p>On this page, we pick out weekly NCAA football best bets with <a href="/ncaaf/trends">betting trends</a>, roster news and specific stats to back up our picks. We’ll track the success of our best college football bets so you can come back every week to help educate your college football money-making endeavors.</p> <p>All of the below best college football bets and picks feature odds from our top college football betting sites, including <a href="/sites/all/links/betonline.php">BetOnline Sportsbook</a>, Bovada and <a href="/sites/all/links/betus.php">BetUS</a>. Below, find our <strong>Week 5 picks:</strong></p> <p><strong style="font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Segoe UI&quot;, Roboto, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Arial, sans-serif, &quot;Apple Color Emoji&quot;, &quot;Segoe UI Emoji&quot;, &quot;Segoe UI Symbol&quot;, &quot;Noto Color Emoji&quot;; font-size: 1rem;">Current Season Record: 5-6</strong></p> <p><em>New to the college football scene? Check out our handy <a href="/ncaaf/how-bet-college-football">college football betting guide </a>to help you get in the action. Also, keep an eye on our <a href="/ncaaf/odds">college football odds page</a> for the latest up-to-date betting lines.​</em></p> <p><span style="font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Segoe UI&quot;, Roboto, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Arial, sans-serif, &quot;Apple Color Emoji&quot;, &quot;Segoe UI Emoji&quot;, &quot;Segoe UI Symbol&quot;, &quot;Noto Color Emoji&quot;; font-size: 1rem;"><div class="block block-oddsshark-operator block-operator"> <div class="top-3-cta"> <div class="content"> <figure class="figure-list"><ul class="list"> <li class="list__item"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="wrapper-link" aria-label="Betonic Sportsbook" rel="nofollow"></a> <div class="logo"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" rel="nofollow"> <img width="220" height="60" src="/sites/default/files/images/sportsbook-reviews/logos/betonic_review_0.png" alt="Betonic Sportsbook" /> </a> </div> <div class="bonus-offer"> <div class="bonus-offer-label">Bonus:</div> <span>100% Up To $150</span> </div> <div class="review-wrapper"> <a href="/review/betonic-sportsbook-review" hreflang="en">Review</a> </div> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="join-button button button--solid-play button--thick" rel="nofollow">Play Now</a> </li> </ul></figure> </div> </div> </div> </span></p> <h2>College Football Expert Pick #1: Kansas +2.5</h2> <p><strong style="font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Segoe UI&quot;, Roboto, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Arial, sans-serif, &quot;Apple Color Emoji&quot;, &quot;Segoe UI Emoji&quot;, &quot;Segoe UI Symbol&quot;, &quot;Noto Color Emoji&quot;; font-size: 1rem;">The Game: </strong>Iowa State vs Kansas <span style="font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Segoe UI&quot;, Roboto, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Arial, sans-serif, &quot;Apple Color Emoji&quot;, &quot;Segoe UI Emoji&quot;, &quot;Segoe UI Symbol&quot;, &quot;Noto Color Emoji&quot;; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: 400;">- Oct. 1</span></p> <p>We bet on Kansas last week, and they won and covered. So we’re going back to the well.</p> <p>Just like we said before, this Kansas football team is for real, and giving them plus points against a mediocre squad like Iowa State just makes no sense. The Jayhawks have covered in eight straight games since beating Texas last season, and they aren’t stopping yet.</p> <p><em>Place this bet at one of our top <a href="/ncaaf/sites">college football betting sites</a>:</em></p> <p class="text-align-center"><a class="button button--solid-primary button--arrow-right" href="/ncaaf/sites">See Our Recommended College Football Betting Sites</a></p> <h2>College Football Expert Pick #2: Washington -3</h2> <p><strong style="font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Segoe UI&quot;, Roboto, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Arial, sans-serif, &quot;Apple Color Emoji&quot;, &quot;Segoe UI Emoji&quot;, &quot;Segoe UI Symbol&quot;, &quot;Noto Color Emoji&quot;; font-size: 1rem;">The Game: </strong>Washington vs UCLA <span style="font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Segoe UI&quot;, Roboto, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Arial, sans-serif, &quot;Apple Color Emoji&quot;, &quot;Segoe UI Emoji&quot;, &quot;Segoe UI Symbol&quot;, &quot;Noto Color Emoji&quot;; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: 400;">- Sept. 30</span></p> <p>Sure, UCLA’s 4-0 record and some big blowouts look good on the resume, but they haven’t been against anyone worth anything. After beating up on the early cupcakes, this will be the first tough task for UCLA.</p> <p>Washington, on the other hand, has a more respectable 4-0 start, with wins over Stanford, Michigan State and Kent State. Michael Penix looks like the real deal at QB, and he’ll be too much for UCLA to handle.</p> <h2>College Football Expert Pick #3: Navy/Air Force OVER 37.5</h2> <p><strong style="font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Segoe UI&quot;, Roboto, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Arial, sans-serif, &quot;Apple Color Emoji&quot;, &quot;Segoe UI Emoji&quot;, &quot;Segoe UI Symbol&quot;, &quot;Noto Color Emoji&quot;; font-size: 1rem;">The Game: </strong>Navy vs Air Force <span style="font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Segoe UI&quot;, Roboto, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Arial, sans-serif, &quot;Apple Color Emoji&quot;, &quot;Segoe UI Emoji&quot;, &quot;Segoe UI Symbol&quot;, &quot;Noto Color Emoji&quot;; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: 400;">- Oct. 1</span></p> <p>People love to take the service academy UNDERs, but not when Air Force is involved. The Falcons have scored 40 points by themselves in three of their four games this season, so a total line sitting at 37.5 just doesn’t make sense.</p> <p>Navy presents a solid defensive challenge but Air Force’s passing game has taken off this season, and they’ll do more than their part to get to this OVER.</p> <hr /> <h2>How To Place The Best College Football Bets</h2> <p>At any of our top <a href="/ncaaf/sites">NCAA Football betting sites</a>, you will find college football odds that look like the following:</p> <p><em>Penn State: +5.5<br /> Wisconsin: -5.5<br /> OVER/UNDER: 58.5</em></p> <p>The odds listed above are lines for the spread and total for a fictional Penn State/Wisconsin game. The plus (+) and minus (-) lines represent the spread, a line set by the books that a team must “cover” in order to win. In this circumstance, the minus (-) favorites, Wisconsin, must win by more than 5.5 points to win a bet. Penn State, the plus underdogs, can lose by five points or less.</p> <p>The OVER/UNDER is as simple as it sounds. In this example, you choose if there will be OVER or UNDER 58.5 total points scored in the Badgers-Nittany Lions game.</p> <p>Use our college football expert picks to help you choose your pick for a few NCAAF games every weekend, and use our resources below to help enhance your college football betting skills.</p> <h3>More College Football Expert Picks And Betting Resources: </h3> <div class="list-container"> <figure class="figure-list"> <ul class="list"> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item"><a href="/ncaaf/computer-picks">College football picks</a></li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item"><a href="/ncaaf/odds/futures">College football futures</a></li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item"><a href="/ncaaf/scores">College football scores</a></li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item"><a href="/ncaaf/trends">Betting trends</a></li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item"><a href="/ncaaf/power-rankings">Power rankings</a></li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item"><a href="/ncaaf/consensus-picks">College football consensus picks</a></li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item"><a href="/ncaaf/national-championship-game-prop-bets">National championship prop bets</a></li> </ul></figure> </figure> </div> Thu, 29 Sep 2022 22:35:16 -0400 College Football Expert Picks: Week 5 Locks 1530509 <a href="/ncaaf/upsets-of-the-week" hreflang="en">College Football Upset Picks: Best Week 5 Underdogs</a> https://www.oddsshark.com/2133440 <p>Betting on favorites all day isn’t that much fun. Sure, some people choose to bet spreads to make their college football wagering a bit more interesting, but what’s more fun than banking on some upsets?</p> <p></p><div class="block block-oddsshark-operator block-operator"> <div class="top-3-cta"> <div class="content"> <figure class="figure-list"><ul class="list"> <li class="list__item"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="wrapper-link" aria-label="Betonic Sportsbook" rel="nofollow"></a> <div class="logo"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" rel="nofollow"> <img width="220" height="60" src="/sites/default/files/images/sportsbook-reviews/logos/betonic_review_0.png" alt="Betonic Sportsbook" /> </a> </div> <div class="bonus-offer"> <div class="bonus-offer-label">Bonus:</div> <span>100% Up To $150</span> </div> <div class="review-wrapper"> <a href="/review/betonic-sportsbook-review" hreflang="en">Review</a> </div> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="join-button button button--solid-play button--thick" rel="nofollow">Play Now</a> </li> </ul></figure> </div> </div> </div> <p>Below, we break down our top college football upset picks and underdogs to tail. These picks will give you a pretty payout with their underdog status, even if just one of them hits!</p> <p class="text-align-center"><a class="button button--solid-primary button--arrow-right" href="/ncaaf/sites">Bet on College Football Upsets Today</a></p> <p>If you’re looking for other ways to get in on the <a href="/ncaaf">college football betting</a> action, check out our <a href="/ncaaf/odds-win-heisman-trophy">Heisman Trophy odds</a> and our updated <a href="/ncaaf/college-football-national-championship-odds">national championship odds.</a> You can find all the college football upset pick odds below at Bovada.</p> <h2>Week 5 College Football Upset Alert</h2> <p>Below are our best Week 5 college football upset picks this week. While this is where we keep our top upset picks, we also compile a <a href="/ncaaf/underdog-betting-report">college football underdog betting report </a>with all the top upset trends to know.</p> <h3>Underdog Pick #1: Kansas (+135) vs Iowa State</h3> <p>Hop on the Kansas bandwagon and let’s make some Jayhawks money. After years of being a college football laughingstock, Kansas is now 4-0 and sits atop the Big 12. With wins over West Virginia and Houston, Kansas isn’t just racking up easy victories either. The Jayhawks’ resume ranks sixth in all of college football, per ESPN’s Power Index, up with the likes of Alabama, Ohio State, USC and Tennessee.</p> <p>But still, despite all that, they aren’t favored this week against a middling Iowa State squad. If they keep giving us plus money to bet on Kansas, we’re going to keep taking it until they lose.</p> <h3>Underdog Pick #2: NC State (+215) vs Clemson</h3> <p>We picked an upset against Clemson last week and nearly got it. Wake Forest had chances late in the game and in OT to snatch the underdog victory but couldn’t get it done. So, for the same reasons we bet on the Demon Deacons last week, we like NC State in Week 5.</p> <p>Wolfpack QB Devin Leary has passed for four touchdowns in two of his last three games, and that offensive capability could be a problem for a beat-up Clemson secondary. Clemson’s top cornerback and strong safety were out last week against Wake, and the Deacons lit up the backup DBs for some huge plays in the air. If NC State can take advantage of some similar holes, they’ll have upset potential against the Tigers this week.</p> <p>Lock in your college football underdog bets with these odds over at Bovada!</p> <p></p><div class="block block-oddsshark-operator block-operator"> <div class="top-3-cta"> <div class="content"> <figure class="figure-list"><ul class="list"> <li class="list__item"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="wrapper-link" aria-label="Betonic Sportsbook" rel="nofollow"></a> <div class="logo"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" rel="nofollow"> <img width="220" height="60" src="/sites/default/files/images/sportsbook-reviews/logos/betonic_review_0.png" alt="Betonic Sportsbook" /> </a> </div> <div class="bonus-offer"> <div class="bonus-offer-label">Bonus:</div> <span>100% Up To $150</span> </div> <div class="review-wrapper"> <a href="/review/betonic-sportsbook-review" hreflang="en">Review</a> </div> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="join-button button button--solid-play button--thick" rel="nofollow">Play Now</a> </li> </ul></figure> </div> </div> </div> <h2>The College Football Upset Parlay</h2> <p>If you parlay $100 on Kansas (+135) and NC State (+215) in Week 5, you would profit $640.25 for a total payout of $740.25. Not bad for a college football upset parlay.</p> <p>You can calculate your own parlay odds and picks at our <a href="/tools/parlay-calculator">Parlay Calculator</a>.</p> <h2>This Year’s Biggest College Football Upsets</h2> <p>Already this year there have been some massive college football upsets. Here are the three biggest underdogs to win outright so far in 2022:</p> <ol> <li class="list__item">Georgia Southern (+1400) over Nebraska</li> <li class="list__item">Marshall (+1100) over Notre Dame</li> <li class="list__item">Eastern Michigan (+800) over Arizona State</li> </ol> <h2>What Is A College Football Upset Pick?</h2> <p>A college football upset pick or a college football underdog pick is a wager on an NCAA football squad that is not expected to win, according to the odds. This means that the team is “plus money” or you’ll get a bigger payout if they do actually win, instead of a classic favorite.</p> <p>At your <a href="/nfl/sites">online betting site of choice</a>, you could bet on any number of college football underdogs. If you’re looking for more data to back up your college football upset bets, check out our<a href="/ncaaf/underdog-betting-report"> college football underdog betting report.</a></p> <p class="text-align-center"><a class="button button--solid-primary button--arrow-right" href="/ncaaf/sites">See Odds Shark’s Best College Football Betting Sites</a></p> Thu, 29 Sep 2022 21:31:55 -0400 College Football Upset Picks: Best Week 5 Underdogs 2133440 <a href="/nfl/parlay-picks" hreflang="en">Week 4 NFL Parlay Picks: Dogs, Birds and Nepotism, What Could Go Wrong?</a> https://www.oddsshark.com/1531151 <p>Ah, parlays. Equal parts euphoric and nausea-inducing, the parlay is one of the best ways to get a sweat going without even leaving your couch.</p> <p>In this article, we will break down three parlays you can tee up for Week 4 of the <a href="/nfl">NFL </a>season, one lower-risk, one medium- and one high-risk, with a bit of a twist.</p> <p><strong>Jump to the parlays below:</strong></p> <figure class="figure-list"><ul class="list"> <li class="list__item"><a href="#Parlay 1">Week 4 NFL Parlay #1: The Dogs Are Barking</a></li> <li class="list__item"><a href="#Parlay 2">Week 4 NFL Parlay #2: Birds Of A Feather Win Together</a></li> <li class="list__item"><a href="#Parlay 3">Week 4 NFL Parlay #3: Team Nepotism!</a></li> </ul></figure> <p></p><div class="block block-oddsshark-operator block-operator"> <div class="top-3-cta"> <div class="content"> <figure class="figure-list"><ul class="list"> <li class="list__item"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="wrapper-link" aria-label="Betonic Sportsbook" rel="nofollow"></a> <div class="logo"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" rel="nofollow"> <img width="220" height="60" src="/sites/default/files/images/sportsbook-reviews/logos/betonic_review_0.png" alt="Betonic Sportsbook" /> </a> </div> <div class="bonus-offer"> <div class="bonus-offer-label">Bonus:</div> <span>100% Up To $150</span> </div> <div class="review-wrapper"> <a href="/review/betonic-sportsbook-review" hreflang="en">Review</a> </div> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="join-button button button--solid-play button--thick" rel="nofollow">Play Now</a> </li> </ul></figure> </div> </div> </div> <h2>NFL Parlay Picks: Week 4</h2> <p>All of our selected NFL parlay picks can be found at Bodog by clicking the button below and you can see how much you would win using our handy <a href="/tools/parlay-calculator">Parlay Calculator</a> tool.</p> <p>Also make sure to check out our<a href="/nfl/prop-bets"> NFL Week 4 player props</a> page, <a href="/nfl/nfl-expert-picks ">Week 4 Expert Picks</a>, <a href="/nfl/super-bowl/futures">Super Bowl odds</a> and <a href="/nfl/mvp-odds">NFL MVP odds</a> pages.</p> <p><a name="Parlay 1" id="Parlay 1"></a></p> <h2>Week 4 NFL Parlay #1 - The Dogs Are Barking</h2> <div class="table-wrapper"><table class="table table--striped"> <caption>Week 4 Parlay Picks</caption> <thead> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td><strong>Team and Line</strong></td> <td><strong>Odds</strong></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Cleveland Browns vs <strong>Atlanta Falcons ML</strong></td> <td>EVEN</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Buffalo Bills vs <strong>Baltimore Ravens +3</strong></td> <td>-110</td> </tr> <tr> <td><strong>Los Angeles Rams +1.5</strong> vs San Francisco 49ers</td> <td>-110</td> </tr> <tr> <td><strong>TOTAL:</strong></td> <td><b>+629</b></td> </tr> </tbody> </table></div> <p class="alt-one">We’ll start off by picking a parlay with three underdogs I like this week.</p> <p class="alt-one">The Falcons are a scrappy bunch who are playing well on offense. I like them at home here against a Browns team that will be without Myles Garrett while still starting Jacoby Brissett at quarterback.</p> <p class="alt-one">I also like the Ravens at home against the banged-up Bills. Buffalo has a staggering injury list and is coming off a game where the offense ran 90 plays in scorching heat. They’re staying on the road here against a good Ravens team. I think Baltimore keeps it close and maybe even wins outright.</p> <p class="alt-one">Lastly, it’s hard to fathom why the defending champs are underdogs against the 49ers after what we saw from the Niners in Week 3. Now missing star left tackle Trent Williams, I don’t think the Niners will score much and I believe the Rams are just the better team. Recent history be damned.</p> <p></p><div class="block block-oddsshark-operator block-operator"> <div class="top-3-cta"> <div class="content"> <figure class="figure-list"><ul class="list"> <li class="list__item"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="wrapper-link" aria-label="Betonic Sportsbook" rel="nofollow"></a> <div class="logo"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" rel="nofollow"> <img width="220" height="60" src="/sites/default/files/images/sportsbook-reviews/logos/betonic_review_0.png" alt="Betonic Sportsbook" /> </a> </div> <div class="bonus-offer"> <div class="bonus-offer-label">Bonus:</div> <span>100% Up To $150</span> </div> <div class="review-wrapper"> <a href="/review/betonic-sportsbook-review" hreflang="en">Review</a> </div> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="join-button button button--solid-play button--thick" rel="nofollow">Play Now</a> </li> </ul><em class="figure-list__text">Find full odds at Bodog</em></figure> </div> </div> </div> <p><a name="Parlay 2" id="Parlay 2"></a></p> <h2>Week 4 NFL Parlay #2 - Birds Of A Feather Win Together</h2> <div class="table-wrapper"><table class="table table--striped"> <caption>Week 4 Parlay Picks</caption> <thead> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td><strong>Team and Line</strong></td> <td><strong>Odds</strong></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Cleveland Browns vs <strong>Atlanta Falcons +1</strong></td> <td>-110</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Buffalo Bills vs <strong>Baltimore Ravens +3</strong></td> <td>-110</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Jacksonville Jaguars vs <strong>Philadelphia Eagles ML</strong></td> <td>-280</td> </tr> <tr> <td><strong>Arizona Cardinals +1</strong> vs Carolina Panthers </td> <td>-105</td> </tr> <tr> <td><strong>TOTAL:</strong></td> <td><b>+866</b></td> </tr> </tbody> </table></div> <p> </p> <p>Hopefully this parlay will have you quacking some champagne on Sunday evening. </p> <p>With apologies to the Seahawks, I can’t stop raven about the bird teams this week. </p> <p>I already mentioned why I like the Falcons, and I think we’re robin the sportsbooks by getting them +1 at home.</p> <p>And getting the Ravens at +3, considering the injuries on Buffalo, should be ill eagle. </p> <p>Philly at home against the Jaguars is probably the safest bet in this Week 4 NFL parlay. I’m just hoping the Jags don’t leave a fowl taste in our mouths come Monday after how well they’ve played this season.</p> <p>And lastly, I think the Cardinals are better than the Panthers, so getting them at plus money is eggciting. I just hope their defensive woes don’t come home to roost this week. As PFF’s No. 32 defense, it could get a little hawkward if the lowly Panthers offense puts up a bunch of points.</p> <p>There are a couple long shots here, but if they hit, we’re looking at poultry in motion, folks.</p> <p></p><div class="block block-oddsshark-operator block-operator"> <div class="top-3-cta"> <div class="content"> <figure class="figure-list"><ul class="list"> <li class="list__item"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="wrapper-link" aria-label="Betonic Sportsbook" rel="nofollow"></a> <div class="logo"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" rel="nofollow"> <img width="220" height="60" src="/sites/default/files/images/sportsbook-reviews/logos/betonic_review_0.png" alt="Betonic Sportsbook" /> </a> </div> <div class="bonus-offer"> <div class="bonus-offer-label">Bonus:</div> <span>100% Up To $150</span> </div> <div class="review-wrapper"> <a href="/review/betonic-sportsbook-review" hreflang="en">Review</a> </div> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="join-button button button--solid-play button--thick" rel="nofollow">Play Now</a> </li> </ul><em class="figure-list__text">Find full odds at Bodog</em></figure> </div> </div> </div> <p><a name="Parlay 3" id="Parlay 3"></a></p> <p><span style="font-family: &quot;Encode Sans&quot;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: calc(1.2875rem + 0.54435vw); font-weight: 700; letter-spacing: 0.03125rem;">Week 4 NFL Parlay #3 - Team Nepotism!</span></p> <div class="table-wrapper"><table class="table table--striped"> <caption>Week 4 Parlay Picks</caption> <thead> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td><strong>Team and Line</strong></td> <td><strong>Odds</strong></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Los Angeles Rams vs <strong>San Francisco 49ers ML</strong></td> <td>-120</td> </tr> <tr> <td><strong>New England Patriots +9.5</strong> vs Green Bay Packers</td> <td>-110</td> </tr> <tr> <td><strong>Denver Broncos +2.5</strong> vs Las Vegas Raiders </td> <td>-110</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Cleveland Browns vs <strong>Atlanta Falcons +1</strong></td> <td>-105</td> </tr> <tr> <td><strong>TOTAL:</strong></td> <td><b>+1205</b></td> </tr> </tbody> </table></div> <p> </p> <p>Nothing says NFL football like some old-fashioned American nepotism. Now, just because these guys are sons of coaches or employ their sons doesn’t mean they aren’t good at their jobs. In fact, I’m betting on them to win!</p> <p>That starts with San Fran head coach Kyle Shanahan, the son of Super Bowl-winning coach Mike “Snake Eyes” Shanahan. See?</p> <article class="align-center"> <div class="field field--name-field-media-image field--type-image field--label-visually_hidden"> <img loading="lazy" src="/themes/custom/os/src/images/bg-transparent.png" width="1200" height="1787" alt="Mike Shanhan" class="lazy" data-src="/sites/default/files/2022-09/Mike_Shanahan_OCT2021_%28cropped%29.jpg" /> </div> </article> <p>I’m taking sonny boy to get a win over fellow nepotism baby Sean McVay here on the moneyline.</p> <p>Second is Bill Belichick, another son of a coach (though not an NFL coach). Bill has embraced the NFL’s nepotism model and hired not one but TWO of his sons to prominent coaching positions. His son Stephen is a legend in his own right:</p> <blockquote class="twitter-tweet"> <p dir="ltr" lang="en" xml:lang="en" xml:lang="en">Steve Belichick’s faces are actually also the gargoyles above Gillette Stadium. <a href="https://t.co/1z5Irn2hsn">pic.twitter.com/1z5Irn2hsn</a></p> — Damon Amendolara (@DAonCBS) <a href="https://twitter.com/DAonCBS/status/1444859540726501377?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">October 4, 2021</a></blockquote> <script async="" src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script> <p>We’re taking the Belichick family to cover against the Packers here.</p> <p>Next is the Broncos +2.5 against the Raiders. Broncos coach Nathaniel Hackett is the son of former NFL coach Paul Hackett, who somehow never taught his son how to manage a game properly, when to call a timeout or whether attempting one of the longest field goals in NFL history is a better idea than going for a fourth-and-five. </p> <p>Either way, I’m taking little Hackett against the Raiders and head coach Josh McDaniels, who is, you guessed it, the son of a coach! McDaniels’ dad Thom is described as a “legend” of Ohio high school football, but he didn’t even make it to the NFL. Advantage Hackett fam.</p> <p>Lastly, I like the Falcons again here at +1 over the Browns. Did you know Falcons coach Arthur Smith is the son of the FedEx founder and CEO??</p> <p>OK, he’s not the son of a coach, but this is a guy who could be sipping Mai Tais on a Mediterranean yacht while watching his brutal team on the biggest screen in Malta! But instead he’s CHOOSING to coach for the love of the game. He’s gotta be good.</p> <p></p><div class="block block-oddsshark-operator block-operator"> <div class="top-3-cta"> <div class="content"> <figure class="figure-list"><ul class="list"> <li class="list__item"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="wrapper-link" aria-label="Betonic Sportsbook" rel="nofollow"></a> <div class="logo"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" rel="nofollow"> <img width="220" height="60" src="/sites/default/files/images/sportsbook-reviews/logos/betonic_review_0.png" alt="Betonic Sportsbook" /> </a> </div> <div class="bonus-offer"> <div class="bonus-offer-label">Bonus:</div> <span>100% Up To $150</span> </div> <div class="review-wrapper"> <a href="/review/betonic-sportsbook-review" hreflang="en">Review</a> </div> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="join-button button button--solid-play button--thick" rel="nofollow">Play Now</a> </li> </ul><em class="figure-list__text">Find full odds at Bodog</em></figure> </div> </div> </div> <hr /> <h3>What Is An NFL Parlay?</h3> <p>An NFL parlay, or any betting parlay, is a combination of multiple bets. If you have four different NFL parlay picks, you could bet those individually for lesser individual outcomes, or you could parlay them together for better odds. The trick to a parlay is once you combine your bets, you need every bet to hit for the parlay payout.</p> <p>At your <a href="/nfl/sites">online betting site of choice</a>, you could parlay any number of games. The more games or events you parlay together, the higher total odds will be. Finding a parlay that works for you is a bit of a risk/reward tradeoff. Like with any bet, the higher odds (or more parlay legs) you bet, the higher the payout but the lower chance of hitting.</p> <p>Check out <a href="/tools/parlay-calculator">Odds Shark’s Parlay Calculator</a> to find the parlay odds for any combination of games, bets or events. For a complete explanation of how NFL parlay picks work, read our <a href="/sports-betting/parlay-betting">Parlay Bets And Odds, Explained</a> page.</p> <p><a class="button button--solid-primary button--arrow-right" href="/nfl/sites">See Odds Shark’s Best NFL Betting Sites</a></p> <div class="list-container"> <figure class="figure-list figure-list--has-caption"> <figcaption class="figure-list__caption">NFL Parlay Picks Odds And Wagering Resources</figcaption> <ul class="list"> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item"><a href="/nfl/over-under-win-total-odds">NFL OVER/UNDER Win Totals Odds</a></li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item"><a href="/nfl/playoff-odds">NFL Playoff Odds</a></li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item"><a href="/nfl/mvp-odds">NFL MVP Odds</a></li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item"><a href="/nfl/offensive-rookie-of-the-year-odds">NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds</a></li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item"><a href="/nfl/nfl-defensive-player-year-betting-odds">NFL Defensive Player of the Year Odds</a></li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item"><a href="/nfl/nfl-defensive-rookie-year-betting-odds">NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year Odds</a></li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item"><a href="/nfl/nfl-coach-year-betting-odds">NFL Coach of the Year Odd</a>s</li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item"><a href="/nfl/odds-win-nfl-comeback-player-year-award">NFL Comeback Player of the Year Odds</a></li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item"><a href="/nfl/free-agency-predictions-offseason-odds">NFL Free Agent Odds</a></li> <li class="list__item oslist-first-item"><a href="/nfl/trade-deadline-betting-odds">NFL Trade Deadline Odds</a></li> </ul></figure> </figure> </div> Thu, 29 Sep 2022 17:00:00 -0400 Week 4 NFL Parlay Picks: Dogs, Birds and Nepotism, What Could Go Wrong? 1531151 <a href="/nfl/nfl-expert-picks" hreflang="en">NFL Expert Picks: Rams, Packers Good Bets In Week 4</a> https://www.oddsshark.com/1531166 <p>It’s hard to say what I love most about the <a href="/nfl">NFL </a>season. Is it the pre-kickoff game of catch played with a loved one on a crisp autumn morning? Is it the smell of beer and caramelizing meat on a grill at 10 a.m.? Or is it the 10-plus hours of couch time mostly spent with a hand in a bag of chips, where the only break is for another meal between the late games and the Sunday nighter?</p> <p>Again, tough to say, really.</p> <p>All I know is if you’re trying to reach me on a Sunday between now and February 12, don’t bother.</p> <p></p><div class="block block-oddsshark-operator block-operator"> <div class="top-3-cta"> <div class="content"> <figure class="figure-list"><ul class="list"> <li class="list__item"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="wrapper-link" aria-label="Betonic Sportsbook" rel="nofollow"></a> <div class="logo"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" rel="nofollow"> <img width="220" height="60" src="/sites/default/files/images/sportsbook-reviews/logos/betonic_review_0.png" alt="Betonic Sportsbook" /> </a> </div> <div class="bonus-offer"> <div class="bonus-offer-label">Bonus:</div> <span>100% Up To $150</span> </div> <div class="review-wrapper"> <a href="/review/betonic-sportsbook-review" hreflang="en">Review</a> </div> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="join-button button button--solid-play button--thick" rel="nofollow">Play Now</a> </li> </ul></figure> </div> </div> </div> <p>But if you’re reading this, you will likely be in the same place as me for the next few months worth of Sundays. So, why don’t we try to stuff a little bit of extra cash in those sweatpants and make that Sunday barbecue sauce taste a little bit sweeter.</p> <p><strong>Jump to Week 4 picks:</strong></p> <figure class="figure-list"><ul class="list"> <li class="list__item"><a href="#Cardinals">Cardinals +1.5 at Panthers</a></li> <li class="list__item"><a href="#Bills">Bills vs Ravens UNDER 53</a></li> <li class="list__item"><a href="#Packers">Patriots at Packers -9.5</a></li> <li class="list__item"><a href="#Rams">Rams +2 at 49ers</a></li> <li class="list__item"><a href="#Bucs">Chiefs vs Buccaneers UNDER 45.5</a></li> </ul></figure> <p>After a chaotic Week 1, I got back on track in Week 2 and had a good Week 3, going 4-1. Here’s how I did:</p> <p><strong>✓</strong> <strong>-</strong> Ravens -3 vs Patriots</p> <p><strong>✓ - </strong>Lions +6 vs Vikings</p> <p><strong>✓ - </strong>Chiefs vs Colts UNDER 50</p> <p><strong>✓ - </strong>Eagles -6.5 vs Commanders</p> <p><strong>X</strong> <strong>-</strong> Saints -2.5 vs Panthers</p> <p>The Ravens, Eagles and Lions all did their job and covered for us while the Chiefs-Colts game was predictably low-scoring. My only miss came on the Saints, who were awful offensively and unable to pull off a win on the road against Carolina.  </p> <p>Let’s try to keep rolling in what looks like a difficult Week 4. All but five of the games on the slate are projected to be within a field goal, and just one team (Green Bay) is favored by a touchdown or more. Good luck!</p> <p class="text-align-center"><a class="button button--solid-primary button--arrow-right" href="/nfl/sites">Visit Our Recommended NFL Betting Sites</a></p> <p>Check out our Week 4 NFL expert picks below and follow along all season as we try to find the best <a href="/nfl/odds">sides and totals</a> over at Bodog.</p> <p>If you want to make weekly <a href="/nfl/prop-bets">player prop bets</a> or want to bet on anything from <a href="/nfl/super-bowl/futures">Super Bowl odds</a> to<a href="/nfl/mvp-odds"> NFL MVP odds</a> to <a href="/nfl/offensive-player-of-the-year-odds">Offensive</a> and <a href="/nfl/nfl-defensive-player-year-betting-odds">Defensive Player of the Year odds</a>, we’ve got you covered.</p> <p>Here’s this week’s picks:</p> <p><em><strong>2022-23 Record: 7-7-1 (50.0%)</strong></em></p> <h2>Odds Shark’s NFL Expert Picks: Week 4</h2> <p><a name="Cardinals" id="Cardinals"></a></p> <h3>Arizona Cardinals (+1.5) at Carolina Panthers</h3> <p>This pick is a little scary because I don’t think the Cardinals are very good. They have PFF’s 32nd-ranked defense and 17th-ranked offense and are an overtime fumble return TD from possibly being 0-3 to start the year. </p> <p>But I don’t think the Panthers are much better. And I don’t think Baker Mayfield is better than Kyler Murray.</p> <p>Cards coach Kliff Kingsbury is also 14-3-2 against the spread as a road underdog since joining the team, and Panthers coach Matt Rhule is 1-7 ATS as a home favorite. </p> <p>In a slate full of extremely tight lines, I’m holding my nose and clicking on this one.</p> <p><strong>The Pick: Cardinals +1.5 (-110)</strong></p> <p></p><div class="block block-oddsshark-operator block-operator"> <div class="top-3-cta"> <div class="content"> <figure class="figure-list"><ul class="list"> <li class="list__item"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="wrapper-link" aria-label="Betonic Sportsbook" rel="nofollow"></a> <div class="logo"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" rel="nofollow"> <img width="220" height="60" src="/sites/default/files/images/sportsbook-reviews/logos/betonic_review_0.png" alt="Betonic Sportsbook" /> </a> </div> <div class="bonus-offer"> <div class="bonus-offer-label">Bonus:</div> <span>100% Up To $150</span> </div> <div class="review-wrapper"> <a href="/review/betonic-sportsbook-review" hreflang="en">Review</a> </div> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="join-button button button--solid-play button--thick" rel="nofollow">Play Now</a> </li> </ul></figure> </div> </div> </div> <p><a name="Bills" id="Bills"></a></p> <h3>Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens UNDER 53</h3> <p>An UNDER in a game with two NFL MVP candidates at quarterback?? </p> <p>I could very well be crazy but I think this line is too high. The Bills have sustained a ton of injuries to key players across their roster, and I don’t think we have seen the Ravens play the way they really want to yet this season.</p> <p>Baltimore is a run-first team by nature and I think there’s a good chance that with running back J.K. Dobbins now back from injury, they run it a ton – and successfully – against the battered Bills.</p> <p>Buffalo’s staggering injury list leaves them vulnerable to the run and less likely to put up huge points offensively.</p> <p>I don’t see a 13-10 type of game, but 53 points is a line that assumes these teams are at full strength, which they aren’t. This line is already moving down at some books.</p> <p><strong>The Pick: UNDER 53 (-110)</strong></p> <p></p><div class="block block-oddsshark-operator block-operator"> <div class="top-3-cta"> <div class="content"> <figure class="figure-list"><ul class="list"> <li class="list__item"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="wrapper-link" aria-label="Betonic Sportsbook" rel="nofollow"></a> <div class="logo"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" rel="nofollow"> <img width="220" height="60" src="/sites/default/files/images/sportsbook-reviews/logos/betonic_review_0.png" alt="Betonic Sportsbook" /> </a> </div> <div class="bonus-offer"> <div class="bonus-offer-label">Bonus:</div> <span>100% Up To $150</span> </div> <div class="review-wrapper"> <a href="/review/betonic-sportsbook-review" hreflang="en">Review</a> </div> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="join-button button button--solid-play button--thick" rel="nofollow">Play Now</a> </li> </ul></figure> </div> </div> </div> <p><a name="Packers" id="Packers"></a></p> <h3>New England Patriots vs Green Bay Packers (-9.5) </h3> <p>The Patriots will likely be starting veteran journeyman quarterback Brian Hoyer for this game, a situation I don’t see being too pretty for the visiting team.</p> <p>The Packers have one of the better defenses in the league, are at home and their passing game seems to be rounding into form a bit. </p> <p>Aaron Rodgers and company moved the ball easily at times against an elite Buccaneers secondary in Week 3, and though the Bucs ended up slowing Rodgers later in the game, I don’t see the Pats having that same kind of success.</p> <p>9.5 points is a lot to cover in an NFL game, but I’m confident the Pats won’t score much, so Green Bay might only need to put up around 20 points to cover. I don’t think I would bet this line at 10 or more, however.</p> <p><strong>The Pick: Packers -9.5 (-110)</strong></p> <p></p><div class="block block-oddsshark-operator block-operator"> <div class="top-3-cta"> <div class="content"> <figure class="figure-list"><ul class="list"> <li class="list__item"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="wrapper-link" aria-label="Betonic Sportsbook" rel="nofollow"></a> <div class="logo"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" rel="nofollow"> <img width="220" height="60" src="/sites/default/files/images/sportsbook-reviews/logos/betonic_review_0.png" alt="Betonic Sportsbook" /> </a> </div> <div class="bonus-offer"> <div class="bonus-offer-label">Bonus:</div> <span>100% Up To $150</span> </div> <div class="review-wrapper"> <a href="/review/betonic-sportsbook-review" hreflang="en">Review</a> </div> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="join-button button button--solid-play button--thick" rel="nofollow">Play Now</a> </li> </ul></figure> </div> </div> </div> <p><a name="Rams" id="Rams"></a></p> <h3>Los Angeles Rams (+2) vs San Francisco 49ers</h3> <p>This line is already moving down and a lot of books have this set to Rams +1, but if you can find a line at +2, I like the Rams here as road dogs.</p> <p>I’m a little afraid of Kyle Shanahan’s recent dominance over Sean McVay and the Rams (the Niners have won six of the last seven meetings), but I see the Rams as the better team with the better quarterback getting points. </p> <p>The Niners offense looked broken against the Broncos in Week 3 and now they’ve lost star left tackle Trent Williams to injury. </p> <p>It wouldn’t exactly be surprising if the 49ers won this game, but I think the Rams, PFF’s third-ranked team, are a good bet as underdogs.</p> <p><strong>The Pick: Rams +2 (-110)</strong></p> <p></p><div class="block block-oddsshark-operator block-operator"> <div class="top-3-cta"> <div class="content"> <figure class="figure-list"><ul class="list"> <li class="list__item"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="wrapper-link" aria-label="Betonic Sportsbook" rel="nofollow"></a> <div class="logo"> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" rel="nofollow"> <img width="220" height="60" src="/sites/default/files/images/sportsbook-reviews/logos/betonic_review_0.png" alt="Betonic Sportsbook" /> </a> </div> <div class="bonus-offer"> <div class="bonus-offer-label">Bonus:</div> <span>100% Up To $150</span> </div> <div class="review-wrapper"> <a href="/review/betonic-sportsbook-review" hreflang="en">Review</a> </div> <a href="/sites/all/links/betonic.php" class="join-button button button--solid-play button--thick" rel="nofollow">Play Now</a> </li> </ul></figure> </div> </div> </div> <p><a name="Bucs" id="Bucs"></a></p> <h3>Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers UNDER 45.5</h3> <p>There’s a good chance this game gets moved to a neutral site (reportedly to Minneapolis at the Vikings’ stadium) with hurricane Ian currently barreling into parts of Florida.</p> <p>But whether this game is played in Tampa or Minnesota, I like the UNDER here with two struggling offenses and strong defenses.</p> <p>The Bucs offense is getting star receiver Mike Evans back from suspension this week but will likely still be without Chris Godwin, Julio Jones and a host of starting offensive linemen. </p> <p>Meanwhile, the Chiefs are a fluky defensive touchdown from being 1-2 and are coming off a terrible performance against what looks like a pretty bad Colts team. </p> <p>Two struggling offenses and two good defenses makes for a low-scoring game in most instances. </p> <p><strong>The Pick: UNDER 45.5 (-110)</strong></p> <p class="text-align-center"><a class="button button--solid-primary button--arrow-right" href="/nfl/sites">Add Another NFL Sportsbook Today</a></p> <hr /> <div class="card card--secondary"> <div class="card__content"> <h3 class="card__title">Looking For More Free NFL Picks?</h3> <p class="card__body">See what Odds Shark’s Super Computer is choosing for every side and total to help you make NFL football picks and place your best bets. </p> <p class="text-align-center"><a class="button button--solid-primary button--arrow-right" href="/nfl/computer-picks">Get Free NFL Picks</a></p> </div> </div> Thu, 29 Sep 2022 16:30:00 -0400 NFL Expert Picks: Rams, Packers Good Bets In Week 4 1531166 <a href="/nhl/nhl-betting-guide-xgf-good-handicapping" hreflang="en">NHL Betting Guide: Is xGF% Good For Handicapping?</a> https://www.oddsshark.com/2146778 <p>The <a href="/nhl">NHL </a>season is almost upon us. So it's time to get your betting strategy in order. We're all not only getting ready for the season to start but to start making money from those games. Heer's a tool to add to your NHL betting guide.</p> <p>So how do you go about making money from betting on the NHL? When it comes to handicapping NHL games do fancy stats help?</p> <p><em>New to betting on hockey? We have a great <a href="/nhl/how-does-nhl-moneyline-work">NHL betting tutorial</a> to assist you in placing a wager on <a href="/nhl/stanley-cup-futures">Stanley Cup odds</a>. To find the sportsbook that’s right for you to get some money down on the ice, head over to our <a href="/sportsbook-review">Sportsbook Review page</a>.</em></p> <p class="text-align-center"><a class="button button--solid-primary button--arrow-right" href="/nhl/sites">Find The Right NHL Sportsbook For You</a></p> <h2>NHL Handicapping: Corsi or xGF?</h2> <p>You've already gone through your standard NHL betting checklist; you've looked for who's at home, what team is on the second leg of a back-to-back, and you’ve checked to see how much ground either team has traveled before the game. Hey, you might have even gone as far as looking at who’s in the net for both teams.</p> <p>Great. But maybe you're still not clear as to who to wager on. Are there other tools that might help and how helpful might be those tools?</p> <p>You've probably been told to use advanced analytics to help you handicap your NHL picks. Corsi was the <em>stat-du-jour </em>for a while. Corsi measures shots on goals, shots that missed the net, and shots that were blocked. The idea is that if a team had the puck on its stick for a shot that team was, clearly, in possession of the puck, and puck possession is what mattered most.</p> <p>But Corsi has been replaced as the advanced stat to use when handicapping. Expected goals-for (xGF%) is what bettors look at now. Expected goals are seen as more accurate in predicting future success because it doesn’t simply look at the number of shots (like Corsi), but the quality of those shots. Where shots are taken matters, the closer to the slot and the net the better. Quality matters more than quantity.</p> <p class="text-align-center"><a class="button button--solid-primary button--arrow-right" href="/nhl/sites">Place Your NHL Bets Here</a></p> <h2>NHL Handicapping: Does xGF% lead to profits?</h2> <p>As bettors, we're worried about profitability. Is xGF% a key to unlocking more profits when betting on the NHL?</p> <p>Note that when I’m talking about xGF% I’m talking about xGF% in 5on5 situations and not all situations. So that doesn't count the power play or when on the penalty kill.</p> <p>When looking at things broadly there's a strong correlation between winning and xGF%. Teams that ranked high in the NHL standings also ranked high when it comes to xGF%. The correlation rate is 0.77. For all you non-math heads out there, that’s what we call a “strong relationship”.</p> <p>That is of course a little diluted when looking at the top five teams in terms of profitability and cross-referencing their xGF% rank. Here are the top five teams for profits and their xGF% rank in the NHL:</p> <div class="table-wrapper"><table class="table table--striped" class="table table--striped"> <caption>NHL Profitability and xGF% Correlation</caption> <thead> <tr> <th scope="col">Team</th> <th scope="col">Profitability</th> <th scope="col">xGF% Rank</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td><a href="/stats/team/hockey/nhl/16596">Minnesota Wild</a></td> <td>$1,432.16</td> <td>6</td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href="/stats/team/hockey/nhl/16593">Florida Panthers</a></td> <td>$1,181.99</td> <td>2</td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href="/stats/team/hockey/nhl/16586">New York Rangers</a></td> <td>$1,176.07</td> <td>24</td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href="/stats/team/hockey/nhl/16600">Carolina Hurricanes</a></td> <td>$657.00</td> <td>4</td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href="/stats/team/hockey/nhl/16599">St. Louis Blues</a></td> <td>$449.37</td> <td>23</td> </tr> </tbody> </table></div> <p>So while Minnesota, Florida and even Carolina were quite profitable in 21-22 and even ranked high for xGF% so did the New York Rangers and St. Louis Blues, two teams that were near the bottom of the NHL’s xGF% table.</p> <p>But when zooming in and looking at profitability, the correlation between solid xGF% numbers (above 50%) and profits is admittedly weak. A correlation factor of 0.16. You could say there's no relationship at all between the two.</p> <p>So is xGF% in and of itself a good tool when it comes to handicapping individual NHL games? On its own, it is not. But when used more generally, as in factoring what team is better it is a useful tool.</p> <p>So as you go about making your NHL bets keep xGF% in mind.</p> <p>You can find xGF% from most of the advanced NHL stat providers, but my favorite place to go is <a href="http://www.naturalstattrick.com">NaturalStatTrick.com</a>.</p> Thu, 29 Sep 2022 15:46:32 -0400 NHL Betting Guide: Is xGF% Good For Handicapping? 2146778