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Bolivia in Tough Against Argentina

Bolivia has their work cut out for them against Argentina, the -125 tournament favorites, in their final match of group play at the Copa America. Lionel Messi, who has three goals in Argentina’s two Copa 2016 matches, has unsurprisingly had his way with the competition so far and is -200 to finish the tournament as the highest goal scorer. 

  • Argentina is unbeaten in 5 matches in 2016.
  • Since 2000, Boliva is 1-4-7 in their head-to-head games with Argentina.
  • The last time Argentina and Bolivia faced off at the Copa America, they played to a 1-1 draw.

These two teams last faced each other back in March in a qualifier for the 2018 World Cup and Argentina came away with the two-to-nil win. The Bovada moneyline for the match pretty much says it all – Argentina’s line has been set at -750, making Bolivia a +1800 underdog with a +700 line for a draw.

If you feel like there are some goals in this match, and the data suggests there may be, as the OVER of 3.5 is paying +105. Argentina has scored an average of 4.7 goals against Bolivia in their last three head-to-head matchups.

Argentina has already locked up their group and will most likely give some players, like Messi, a little rest in what is as close to a sure thing as it gets in soccer. This gives a player like Sergio Aguero who is +1600 to finish the tournament as the top goal scorer, a chance to add to his goal total.