The biggest match of the 2019-20 Bundesliga season is on tap for Tuesday, May 26, when Borussia Dortmund hosts Bayern Munich in a battle between the German heavyweights.
- Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich (Matchup Report)
- Date/Time: May 26, 12:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund, Germany (no fans in attendance)
- Sportsbook Odds: Bayern Munich -105, Borussia Dortmund +250, Draw +280 | O/U 3.5 (Line History)
Sportsbook Odds Analysis
Sportsbook opened Bayern as the -105 favorite with Dortmund coming back as a +250 underdog and the draw priced at +280. On the spread, Bayern opened as the -1 fave. The total has held firm at 3.5 since the odds hit the board.
Sportsbook
Bayern Munich News & Notes
With a win in this match, an eighth straight Bundesliga title will be all but locked up for Bayern. Robert Lewandowski, who has 27 goals in 25 games this season, is hunting Gerd Müller’s all-time Bundesliga scoring record of 40 goals and will likely be once again relied on to carry the offensive load.
Philippe Coutinho and Corentin Tolisso have both recently had ankle operations and are ruled out for the contest. Thiago missed last weekend’s 5-2 victory over Eintracht Frankfurt and will not play vs Dortmund. Jérôme Boateng suffered a hip injury on the weekend but is expected to see the field on Tuesday.
Dortmund boasts the best home record in the Bundesliga (10-3-0), but Bayern have been road warriors in 2019-20, going 9-2-2 away from home. Oddsmakers are expecting Bayern to cruise to yet another title as they’re currently massive -900 favorites, according to our Bundesliga championship odds article. Dortmund is second on the list at +500.
The absence of fans due to the COVID-19 pandemic has had a clear betting impact on the league, as only three home teams have won straight up in 18 games. In that span, the OVER is 12-6.
Borussia Dortmund News & Notes
Given Bayern’s perennial Bundesliga dominance throughout the years, Dortmund is the clear-cut underdog in this match. Dortmund is a worthy opponent, however, and should present a tough test for Bayern.
Erling Haaland has had an otherworldly start to his Bundesliga career, as the striker has 10 goals in 10 games. Haaland’s presence should help continue an OVER trend between these teams – Dortmund and Bayern have combined to score at least three goals in nine of their past 10 meetings across all competitions.
Mats Hummels went off with an aggravated Achilles tendon in last weekend’s 2-0 triumph over Wolfsburg but is poised to lead Dortmund’s defense against his former club.
Coach Lucien Favre said the center-back is “99 percent there” in Monday’s press conference. Stars Jadon Sancho and Axel Witsel are also set to return from injury to face Bayern.
Betting Pick: OVER 3.5 Goals
Offensive fireworks tend to follow when Bayern and Dortmund get together, and I’m banking on the goal-fest continuing on Tuesday. In the past six clashes between the teams, they have combined for 29 goals. I like the OVER 3.5 to cash in this one.
- Dortmund is 6-0 SU in its last 6 matches.
- Bayern has won with at least a 2-goal margin in 11 of its last 13 matches.
- Bayern is 5-1 SU in its last 6 meetings with Dortmund.
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | -900 |
| Borussia Dortmund | +500 |
| RB Leipzig | +2500 |
| Bayer Leverkusen | +10000 |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | +30000 |
Odds as of May 25 at Sportsbook
For more information on how to wager on German soccer, visit our How to Bet the Bundesliga Page.
