Copa America Expert Picks: Venezuela vs Canada

Copa América 2024 Expert Picks Today: Venezuela vs. Canada Quarterfinal Preview

Canada battles Venezuela in an exhilarating July 5 Copa América quarterfinal matchup. Can the Reds shut down the dangerous La Vinotinto attack?

Let's dive into all the odds and Friday's Copa América expert picks.

Venezuela vs. Canada Copa América Odds

Venezuela+164+199Over 2 Goals (-124)-0 (-126)
Canada+213 Under 2 Goals (+110)+0 (+114)

Odds as of July 5

Nick Holz's Pick: OVER 2 Goals (-124)

These teams have surrendered a grand total of 3 goals this tournament, with two of those coming in Canada's first match against title holders Argentina. But, both will be desperate to secure their place in the next round.

No team in this tournament has made more tackles than Jesse March's Reds. They'll likely look to sit in a midblock and hit out on the counter against a passionate Venezuelan side.

However, Fernando Batista's high press could cause the Canadians real problems. They have regained possession in the final third over five times per match so far, and at some point, those turnovers will turn into goals.

For that reason, we'll roll with the OVER 2 goals here. Expect a ton of end-to-end fast-paced action in Venezuela vs. Canada on Friday night.

Michel Anderson's Pick: Venezuela ML (+164)

The run ends here for Canada. While the odds suggest it's going to be a close match, Venezuela is the superior side. They swept a difficult group with Mexico and Ecuador scoring six goals but only allowing one. They've also been on an impressive run in qualifying for the 2026 World Cup with a 2-3-1 record and only allowing three goals in those six games.

Canada has shown glimpses of quality with a few chances against Argentina and holding a superior xG against Chile, but that quality rarely comes through in terms of actual goals. Les Rouges have scored once in their last five games (including two friendlies against the Netherlands and France).

Venezuela is just too good at the moment. They'll win in regulation.

Back to Top