In the world of soccer betting, there is no rest for the wicked and despite France’s still-fresh World Cup-winning run, it’s time to start thinking about betting the Premier League.
It’s been a very quick transition from cashing your World Cup betting slips to even beginning to think about betting the Premier League, but that’s why I’m here to help.
For this article, I’m going to take a look at the best futures bets for all 20 teams in the 2018-19 season that gets underway with Manchester United hosting Leicester on Friday, August 10. It’s crazy to think that the Prem starts up soon, but here we are.
We all know that only a select few clubs have the ability to win the title (Leicester City being a MASSIVE outlier), but there are plenty of ways to make money on season-long futures bets on all teams.
Without further ado, let’s look at the best ways to bet all 20 clubs in the Premier League, keeping decent betting value in mind.
Top Four on Christmas Day (+137)
After a few seasons of “Wenger Out!” banter, Arsenal has its new manager in Unai Emery and has done pretty well in the summer transfer market, bringing in pit-bull midfielder Lucas Torreira, centerback Sokratis and goalkeeper Bernd Leno. Plus, they get a full season out of the prolific Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and the oft-sublime Henrikh Mkhitaryan.
Do I think they finish top four come season’s end? Probably not. But don’t be surprised to see this club hanging around the top four in the first 20 weeks or so. Considering the talent on the squad, this wager at +137 at online shop BetWay has some great value.
Season Match Bet vs Southampton (+145)
So something you might notice in this article is that I’m not very high on Southampton this season and considering the value on this season match vs Bournemouth bet at BetOnline, I’m all over the Cherries here.
Bournemouth finished eight points ahead of the Saints last season and the Saints were actually lucky to avoid relegation, something they may have to face again this campaign.
Bournemouth potentially overpaid for Diego Rico and David Brooks in the transfer market this summer, but manager Eddie Howe and a familiar core of Nathan Aké, Josh King, Callum Wilson, Lewis Cook and so on should be enough to propel this team ahead of Southampton in 2018-19.
Top Club in the South (+220)
This futures bet involves Southampton and Bournemouth and the value on Brighton is too good to pass up at Bovada.
Brighton was right in between these two clubs last season with 40 points. Bournemouth finished with 44 points, Southampton had 36 and there was Brighton with 40.
It has been a very good transfer window for Brighton as the club has added Yves Bissouma from Lille, Bernardo from RB Leipzig, Florin Andone from Deportivo La Coruña and, most importantly, Alireza Jahanbakhsh from AZ Alkmaar where he led the Dutch league in goals with 21.
There are good players on this side and Chris Hughton is a very capable manager. I like the look of this team and considering the competition in this futures bet, +220 is lovely.
OVER 41.5 points (-105)
Sure, Burnley punched above its weight last season, finishing seventh with 54 points, but dropping them to 41.5 for the 2018-19 season feels a bit odd so I’m on OVER at BetOnline.
Perhaps no other manager in the league gets as much out of his squad as Sean Dyche and many were surprised to see the club reach Europa League. But the Clarets are organized, defend extremely well and are very good away from Turf Moor. For this to be a lock, the club could surely add more goals in the transfer market and a season where they improve on their 26 home points in 2017-18 would be great.
To Finish Bottom (+200)
No real shock here. Cardiff is the fave for relegation and for good reason. The Bluebirds are going to have a hell of a time surviving promotion to the Premier League as the other two promoted clubs, Fulham and Wolves, have brilliantly strengthened their clubs with splashy signings. Cardiff just doesn’t have the finances to compete.
They’ve added nice pieces like Josh Murphy and Bobby Reid, but that might not be enough. Plus, the last time Cardiff was in the Premier League after being promoted for the 2013-14 season, it finished dead last.
Hoping for a repeat with 2/1 odds at BetWay.
Top-Four Finish (-138)
Top four in the Premier League is always tough with the titans in the league, but odds of -138 at BetWay seem too good to be true for a Chelsea team that I can’t wait to watch.
Antonio Conte is out and the prized Maurizio Sarri is in. Sarri, formerly of Napoli, has brought in his midfield-lynchpin, Jorginho, to pull the strings in possession and if Chelsea doesn’t lose anybody (like Eden Hazard), this side is primed to play some eye-catching football if the personnel is quick to adopt Sarri’s 4-3-3. Napoli was renowned for its beautiful football and was a large threat to end Juventus’ scudetto run last season.
Rumors of an Eden Hazard exit are out there and that would hurt, but if the Belgian stays and operates out wide in Sarri’s system, he could have an incredible season. If Chelsea largely stays intact, the Blues are going to be good under Sarri.
UNDER 44.5 points (-125)
Forty-four points last season. Forty-one points in 2016-17. Forty-two points in 2015-16. Three straight seasons under that number and the threat of losing star-man Wilfried Zaha? I’ll take a shot at this right now before the value is gone on this prop at BetOnline.
If Zaha does leave (which looks likely) and the club doesn’t have time to make an impact signing before the window closes, Palace could be a contender for relegation. Manager Roy Hodgson could very well have his work cut out for him this season.
OVER 52.5 Points (-110)
OK. So, Everton splashed money last season on the likes of Gylfi Sigurdsson, Michael Keane, Jordan Pickford, Davy Klaassen and others and failed to live up to the hype. This window, they added the electric Richarlison in another rather large transfer in the blue half of Liverpool.
Klaassen and Wayne Rooney are gone and new manager Marco Silva is in. I was very high on this guy during his stints at Hull and Watford even though his results with the Hornets suffered, leading to his dismissal last season.
Despite a slow start last season, the Toffees still managed 49 points and a top-half finish. With Richarlison, Silva and another season for this group to get used to one another, I feel this is an attainable points haul with good value at Bovada.
Season Match Bet vs Crystal Palace (+125)
I’ve already explained what could very well happen to Palace, but I expect Fulham to be a pretty solid promoted side and one which should stay up come season’s end.
A lot of players have been rumored to end up at Craven Cottage this window and if some of those actually happen, this will be a very competitive side.
Jean Michaël Seri, André Schürrle and Aleksandar Mitrovic are confirmed and Alfie Mawson could join this week. Plus, the Cottagers own one of England’s top youngsters in Ryan Sessegnon. There’s a lot to like here. Especially in a season match bet at +125 vs Palace at online shop Bovada.
To Stay Up (-140)
A bit of chalk here, but I’m a massive David Wagner fan and I think the Terriers are poised for a Premier League stay so I’ll back this at Bovada.
Just four points clear from the relegation one season ago, Huddersfield has bolstered its squad with the additions of record-signing Terence Kongolo, Adama Diakhaby and Ramadan Sobhi with the latter pair brought to help an anemic goal tally of just 28 one season ago, joint-lowest with relegated Swansea.
Bottom-10 Finish (+110)
Miraculous Premier League champs in 2015-16, the Foxes plummeted to 12th in ’16-17 after the loss of the brilliant N’Golo Kanté. While the club managed to finish ninth one season ago, they now must cope with the loss of another brilliant player in Riyad Mahrez, who left for Manchester City.
Leicester has spent in this window, splashing money for James Maddison and Ricardo Pereira, but I think finishing in the top 10 of the table is going to be a tough task. At +110 at Bovada, I’ll take my chances on a bottom-half finish for the Foxes.
Mohamed Salah OVER 23.5 Goals (-125)
Salah took Liverpool – and the Premier League – by storm last season, scoring 32 league goals and a whopping 44 in all competitions. At these BetOnline odds for 23.5 in the upcoming Prem campaign? Yes please!
Seriously. Nothing else needs to be said.
OVER 86.5 Points (-110)
Yeah, why not? Most books have City around -150 to win the league but I’ll take a shot on this points total at Bovada.
Pep and the Citizens finished with a whopping 100 points last season and the teams Pep has managed have frequently finished above this points haul. All four seasons at Barcelona, two of three seasons at Bayern Munich and one of his two at City have all eclipsed that number.
Marcus Rashford OVER 7.5 Goals (-120)
At 20 years of age, Rashford is another one of England’s top young talents and through three seasons with the senior squad at Manchester United, he’s tallied 17 goals after scoring a high of seven last season. Odds of -120 at BetWay to eclipse that this year? Absolutely!
While United’s 68 goals were good enough for the club to finish second in the table, Jose Mourinho will certainly look for more and leaning on Rashford to get more minutes and more goals would be a great look in 2018-19.
UNDER 47.5 Points (-155)
Here lies the chalkiest play of this column but with most shops offering the Magpies at around 40.5 points, I’ll happily pay to have UNDER 47.5 at 5Dimes.
Newcastle finished 10th in the table on 44 points in their first season back in the Premier League since 2015-16, when they finished with 37.
Nothing has really been done to improve the squad, though the signing of Fabian Schär was a good piece of business. I doubt Newcastle is threatened with relegation, but 47.5 points is a tall order.
UNDER 44.5 points (-130)
Just reverting back to the fact that I don’t like Southampton particularly much this season, I’ll take a punt on this at -130 courtesy BetOnline.
In Southampton’s defense (pun intended), I like the signing of Jannik Vestergaard from Borussia Monchengladbach and I’ll need to see a bit more of Mohamed Elyounoussi, but again, this team finished on 36 points last season and was abhorrent at times. This team won one game from November 29 through April 19. Twenty-one games. One win.
Harry Kane OVER 24.5 goals (-105)
All. Day. Long.
Full disclosure, though: as a diehard Spurs fan, I love this bet. If you don’t care for Spurs or don’t pay much attention, maybe you need a bit of convincing.
A former one-season wonder, Kane has now bagged 105 goals in the last four seasons and he finished lower than 24.5 in just one of those seasons (2014-15). He had 30 goals last season and 29 in just 30 games two seasons ago. Spurs lean on this guy to score and score he does. Plus, the guy is coming off a Golden Boot run at the 2018 World Cup.
This is a lovely little wager courtesy BetOnline.
To Be Relegated (+185)
With odds of +185 at Bovada, definitely worth a shot here.
As stated above, Richarlison is a massive loss for the club and while Gerard Deulofeu coming back is certainly good, this side lacks the quality to stay up. There is still time in the transfer market, and Watford still has the cash from the Richarlison sale so keep an eye on their activity. As it stands, this team is destined for a return to The Championship.
Season Match Bet vs Leicester (+115)
Love this bet which can be found at BetOnline. West Ham has added some real quality to the squad in the likes of Felipe Anderson, Issa Diop, Andriy Yarmolenko and Jack Wilshere (on a free).
Oh. Plus former Premier League title-winning manager Manuel Pellegrini has been brought in to patrol the Hammers’ touchline in another bit of good business.
Plus-money in a season match bet up against Leicester is incredibly appealing.
Top-10 Finish (EVEN)
When I began writing this piece, Wolves were +110 at Bovada and are now EVEN money. So bettors are high on Wolves as well.
Their flashy transfer business is well documented, but this project in the West Midlands is an interesting one and this could be one of the better promoted clubs in years.
The Portuguese influence is obvious in manager Nuno Espírito Santo and players like Diogo Jota, João Moutinho, Rúben Neves and Rui Patrício and the club was fantastic in winning the Championship last season with 99 points.
Keep in mind that this is not a common feat. Only three promoted clubs in the past 10 seasons have finished in the top 10: Birmingham City (ninth 2009-10), West Ham (10th in 2012-13) and Newcastle last season.
Thanks for reading and be sure to let me know your favorite Premier League futures wagers in the comments section! Best of luck with your bets this season!
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