With the return of the Premier League this week comes the return of proper soccer betting. Sure, we’ve been betting the 2019 Women’s World Cup and the Copa Libertadores, but let’s be honest, we’re all happy the Premier League is back.
With this column, I’m going to break down the best ways to bet all 20 Premier League teams across a wide range of futures markets.
Only a select few teams will be in line to potentially lift Premier League silverware come season’s end and odds reflect that. As I sit here putting this together, Manchester City is the favorite at -200 while Liverpool is +280 in outrights at [custom:bovada-link]. After that, there’s a big drop-off to the trio of Tottenham (+2000) and Chelsea and Manchester United at +2800.
But soccer betting lends itself to a myriad of ways to wager team and/or player futures. And that’s the point of this column. We know someone like Bournemouth isn’t going to win the league, but what’s the best way to bet them for those looking at season-long options?
Well, you’ve come to the right place.
Let’s get right into it going alphabetically down the league starting with that team I hate oh so much.
Highest Scoring Team (+2000)
First off, let me say that those 20/1 odds are not the theme of this article, but the value is too good to pass up with this.
This is an interesting period for Arsenal. I grew up watching this club compete for – and win – titles, but as it stands right now, this team will struggle to get into Europa League.
Of the “Big Six” in the league, Arsenal might be fifth-best. Plus, teams like Everton, Wolves and Leicester are going to make a push at the Gunners if they aren’t careful.
One thing they will do, and potentially do better than any other side in England, is score damn goals. They already boast Alexandre Lacazette and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang but have since added Nicolas Pépé to form an attacking trio that is going to strike fear into the rest of the league.
That’s why for my first pick here, I’m gonna go with the Gunners to lead the Premier League in goals at that very, very appealing price of 20/1, which can be had at Bovada.
Arsenal won’t be able to defend a lick, but if they want to play in 5-4 games, they’ve built the squad for it.
Best Promoted Team (-111)
Villa returns to the Premier League for the first time since finishing rock-bottom in the 2015-16 season. While they earned promotion via the playoff after finishing fifth in the table, they have made several transfers to strengthen the squad and I like them to finish as the top promoted club in the Premier League this season.
Highlighting those incomings for the Villans is center-forward Wesley, a 22-year-old Brazilian who comes over from Belgian side Club Brugge to fill the void left by Tammy Abraham, who had a brilliant season on loan from Chelsea to help their promotion.
Yes, Norwich and Sheffield United finished 18 and 13 points respectively ahead of the Villans, but I feel like Villa, ever a Premier League mainstay before the aforementioned relegation, is the bigger club and will do everything it can to stay safely in the top flight.
Taking my chances here with this at -111 at online shop Sports Interaction.
Callum Wilson: OVER 10.5 Goals (-115)
Coming off his most prolific season in the Premier League with 14 goals, this is my favorite Bournemouth futures wager considering I believe this club is in store for an underwhelming season in 2019-20.
Bournemouth was able to score often last season. In fact, they were the top-scoring team outside the big six clubs. The Cherries managed 56 goals and while I expect more goalscoring from them, defense will often let them down again. This means the possibility of playing from behind and potentially never taking their foot off the gas.
As mentioned, Wilson managed 14 goals but also had 10 assists so he’s a big part of that decent Bournemouth attack. In just 30 Premier League appearances, mind you. I’ll happily buy into him breaking 10.5 this season, offered at -115 at [custom:bovada-link].
To Be Relegated: +155
Welcome to the first of the back-to-back “To Be Relegated” picks as I like Brighton to go down with a decent price of +155 at [custom:bovada-link].
Brighton was able to fend off relegation last year with 36 points, two ahead of 18th-placed Cardiff, which managed a win on the final day.
The side struggled to score goals (35) and has tried to address that by adding Neal Maupay from Brentford and winger Leandro Trossard from Belgian side Genk. These are nice additions but I don’t feel it’s enough to save Brighton from what looks to be an ultra-competitive season up and down the table.
It will be an adventure throughout 2019-20 and the odds of +155 reflect that. But not as much as my other pick.
To Be Relegated (+200)
Two years ago this team finished seventh with 54 points. Last season, however, was much different as a 14-point dip saw them finish in 15th – just six points above 18th-placed Cardiff.
The Clarets once prided themselves on being a tough nut to crack defensively, but Sean Dyche’s men allowed a whopping 68 goals last season. That number was easily the most since they were promoted back to the top flight for the 2016-17 campaign.
There are going to be several problems facing this team for 2019-20. Did they add anyone of note? Well, left back Erik Pieters gives them a bit of steel at the position and is a textbook Burnley type. But the likes of Jay Rodriguez doesn’t instill a ton of confidence in the attacking third.
Big season ahead for Burnley and the fight for Premier League survival will be real. But the way this is going, I don’t like this team to stay up. I’ll take my chances at 2/1 at [custom:bovada-link].
OVER 66.5 Points (-115)
I feel weird about this one. In fact, I wouldn’t blame you if you went the other way here. Frank Lampard is now the manager. They have a transfer ban. They lost Eden Hazard. So why take the OVER?
Well, the team is pretty talented and if they are going to eclipse this total, it basically hinges on how well Christian Pulisic adjusts to life in the Premier League. The American is basically filling the giant shoes left by Hazard, who’s moved on to Real Madrid.
Despite a rather “tumultuous” season under Maurizio Sarri, Chelsea finished third in the league with 72 points and won the Europa League. For some reason, Sarri was axed and replaced, for some reason, by club legend Lampard, formerly of Derby County, who failed to seal promotion.
Because of the decent performance last season with the fan outrage at “Sarri Ball” bubbling the whole time, I still think this team is able to leapfrog this number, which you can find at [custom:bovada-link].
Bottom 10 Finish: -330
Yes. I’m copping out here. So what?
Totally taking the chalky root with this team because, frankly, a lot hinges on whether Wilf Zaha is still on the team come deadline day.
Regardless, I think this team could potentially be relegation-bound and, whether Zaha stays or not, will not crack the top 10.
You’d think they’d move on from Roy Hodgson, but they haven’t. You’d think they’d spend some of the money they got for Wan-Bissaka, but they haven’t. I genuinely don’t know what the club’s goals are.
If Zaha leaves, hammer the crap out of this, which is -400 at some spots but -330 at [custom:bovada-link]. If he stays, still bet it even though it’s chalky as hell.
I’ll be rooting for this team to get relegated.
Top 6 Finish (+340)
I love Everton. LOVE them. The only thing that could make them better is if they signed that Brazilian winger Everton.
But seriously, being able to take future star Moise Kean from Juventus for below what he should have gone for has been great business and potentially one of the moves of the summer. Add him to an attack that features the likes of Richarlison et al. and the Toffees should be able to play some eye-catching football.
I’m writing this on the Wednesday before the transfer window shuts, and I strongly believe Everton still has a surprise or two up its sleeve. Regardless, I’m taking a shot at the Toffees to finish top six at +340, again at [custom:bovada-link] while it’s +300 elsewhere.
I see one of Arsenal, United or Chelsea taking a step back and the likes of Everton, Wolves and Leicester making a push. This one has some longer odds, but I’ll be a low-key Everton fan in 2019-20.
Oh, speaking of Leicester…
OVER 54.5 Points (-115)
I’m very excited about Leicester this season. A full campaign under manager Brendan Rodgers, a full season with midfielder Youri Tielemans and adding Ayoze Pérez to the mix makes Leicester an exciting team to watch and potentially an exciting team to bet on.
Leicester was a mixed bag last season, finishing ninth in the table with 52 points. They started to really click when Tielemans and Rodgers joined and injected some new life into a club that had been playing lackluster football.
So we have a much better and more stable side that is tabbed at 2.5 points higher than their finish last year? I look at Leicester as one of the threats to the top six. I’m backing the OVER.
Roberto Firmino: OVER 12.5 Goals (-115)
Bobby Chompers has eclipsed this number just once in his Premier League career (15 goals in 2017-18), but I’ll take my chances on him breaking that this season at [custom:bovada-link].
He did finish with a cool dozen one season ago as Liverpool finished with 89 goals, but sharing goalscoring duties with the likes of Mohamed Salah and Sadio Mané does make one worry if there are enough to go around.
Mané is sitting there with a number of 17.5 with Salah at a whopping 23.5. I sort of like the UNDER on both of those guys, so I expect an uptick in production from Firmino.
It’ll be an exciting wager to watch unfold throughout the season and while there is no shortage of goalscoring in Liverpool, expect this one to come down to the final few matchdays.
Top On Christmas Day (-111)
Tough to find any value on the best team in the league, so I’m gonna take a stab on this little future sitting at -111 at Sports Interaction.
Most books have City around -200 to win the league and while most (myself included) think that the league is a coin toss between the Citizens and Liverpool, this could turn out to be the best way to bet City in futures markets. Or one of them, at least.
City hasn’t really splashed the cash around this window, but has added midfielder Rodri and left back Angeliño, but if it ain’t broke, don’t fix it.
UNDER 67.6 Points (-105)
Frankly, this is a really good number. Frankly, this could easily go either way. Frankly, I think United is going to have problems this year. And frankly, I think Ole Gunnar Solskjaer might be one of the first managers sacked this season.
United finished with 66 points last season, ending the season with five losses and two draws among its final nine games, going out with more of a whimper and less of a bang.
We all remember that Jose Mourinho was sacked midway through the season and when Solskjaer took over, they started to win games. After Mourinho’s departure, United won 10 and drew two in the ensuing dozen Premier League games and they took on Solskjaer permanently.
He unleashed Paul Pogba and the midfielder seemed content in his new role. But the wheels fell off down the stretch with United losing five of its final nine league games.
They overspent on Harry Maguire.
I don’t need to add anything else to that.
Like I said, I think United underwhelms this season and Ole is gone by Christmas. I’ll take the UNDER, please.
Joelinton To Score 10+ Goals (+300)
Bit of a different one here with a player prop, but with Newcastle nothing more than a middling club at best, I’m gonna back their new striker Joelinton to score 10 or more goals, which is sitting there at 3/1 at BetWay.
The 22-year-old Brazilian comes over from Hoffenheim where he scored seven goals in the Bundesliga and 11 in all competitions in 2018-19. Essentially, Joelinton replaces the outgoing Ayoze Perez, who was offloaded to Leicester.
Joelinton joins the likes of Allan Saint-Maximin, Christian Atsu and Rolando Aarons in attack and while that certainly feels like it would make for a fun squad to use in FIFA 20, I don’t see how anyone other than Joelinton reliably scores goals.
Gimme the new Magpie for OVER 10 this season.
To Stay Up (-120)
The Canaries won the Championship title last season, finishing five points up on Sheffield United, and lost only six of their 46 games. It was a great showing for a club that was eager to get back into the Premier League.
It’s rare that all three promoted clubs get relegated back down to the Championship and with returning Premier League clubs like Burnley, Crystal Palace and Brighton not looking too sharp with the season starting, I like the Canaries’ chances of sticking around.
The season is going to be a thrilling one for many reasons, but I think Norwich does the job and sticks around for ’20-21. This can be had at -120 at BetWay.
Lowest Scoring Team (+300)
While the Blades finished second in the Championship to secure automatic promotion to the Premier League, it was largely due to very good defensive play as opposed to banging goals.
That said, they were able to score in that league and had the fourth-most goals in 2018-19 (78), but it was their league-low 41 against (tied with Middlesbrough) where the squad really glistened.
But adding strikers like Lys Mousset to the fray don’t really instill any confidence that they will score a ton in their first season back up in the big league.
Obviously, promoted teams will find it the most difficult to score goals in that first season up, so at 3/1 at [custom:bovada-link], I’ll back the Blades to finish bottom in this category.
Top Southern Club (+162)
You could say that Southampton was a bit lucky to survive relegation last season, but they were exponentially better after sacking the boring Mark Hughes and nabbing Ralph Hasenhüttl to take over on the touchline.
Finishing as the top southern club will be a difficult one considering they are competing against Bournemouth, whom they will be very close to points-wise more than likely, but with this at +162 at BetWay, I’ll take my chances.
The Saints finished with just 39 points last season, which was three more than their drab 2017-18 campaign and a far cry from the 46 they posted in 2016-17. But, I like them to have a stronger showing with a full season under Hasenhüttl.
The Cherries finished six points above their southern rival last year but with neither club making a game-changing splash in the transfer market (yet), I’ll back the Saints to pip the Cherries come season’s end.
Without Man City & Liverpool (+140)
Note for new readers: Hi. My name is Andrew and I’m a massive Tottenham fan.
OK. Now that we’re clear on that, I strongly believe my beloved Spurs will be the top club in the table without the two big boys – Manchester City and Liverpool – and that +140 at [custom:bovada-link] is looking pretty good.
If you don’t feel super-hot about this one, you can try a Tottenham to be the top team in London at +125-ish. That would involve them finishing ahead of the likes of Chelsea and Arsenal, but why not take the better price and exclude City and Liverpool, who are more than likely 1-2 in some order.
With mere hours left in the transfer window, reports began circulating about one of, or both of, Paulo Dybala and Giovani Lo Celso potentially heading to Tottenham in a couple of major moves for the club. If that’s the case, then I’d feel really damn good about this at +140.
Even without any more incomings, Spurs are still probably ahead of the rest of the big boys.
Season Match Bet vs Crystal Palace (-115)
Crystal Palace was a bottom-half lock last season and hasn’t really done anything to bolster the squad. In fact, it’s been the opposite as they’ve lost RB Aaron Wan-Bissaka, who was sold to Manchester United in the summer window, and there’s a legit possibility that Wilfried Zaha follows him out the door.
So they’ve added Jordan Ayew? Rubbish.
While it needs to be mentioned that Watford finished just one point ahead of Palace last season, they did indeed play the superior football and are guided by the vastly superior manager of the two, Javi Gracia.
As I type this on a Wednesday, hours before the transfer deadline, I’d like to see some more additions by Watford to feel like this is a sure shot, but without Wan-Bissaka and potentially without Zaha, Palace is poised for a big letdown this season.
Top Half Finish (+105)
Not gonna lie. I like what West Ham has done in the transfer market. Bringing in exciting young playmaker Pablo Fornals, formerly of Villarreal, and breaking the bank for striker Sébastien Haller from Frankfurt were both excellent moves.
I like the plus-money price here on West Ham to finish in the top half in 2019-20, much like they did last season finishing 10th with 52 points.
Sure, gone is Marko Arnautovic, but I think that alone is addition by subtraction. Arnautovic, for a few years the talismanic figure at the club, was little more than a problem child that banged home the odd goal. With him out of the picture, I feel like this could be a shot in the arm chemistry-wise for the club.
This one is no gimme considering the depth in the league, but at plus-money, I like my chances of making money here at BetWay.
Over 50.5 Points (-120)
While most felt as if Wolves’ fantastic season came out of nowhere, I had them in this very column for a top-10 finish at EVEN money last year. This team is flat-out talented and will certainly be taken more seriously by Premier League opponents and bettors in 2019-20.
Wolves finished seventh in the league with 57 points and with this season’s total set at 50.5, I’m very happy with the OVER at -120 at [custom:bovada-link].
Added to a squad that already boasts the likes of Rúben Neves, João Moutinho, Diogo Jota and Raúl Jiménez, Wolves has added even more depth with the likes of Patrick Cutrone from AC Milan, Jesús Vallejo on loan from Real Madrid, as well as taking a shot with youngsters like Pedro Neto and Bruno Jordão from Lazio.
Wolves scored some huge wins against top clubs last season and don’t expect that swashbuckling style of counter-attacking football to go anywhere. This team is ready to compete for the top six and the “bigger” clubs better watch out.
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