England and Italy square off in what could potentially be an absolutely stellar Euro 2020 final at Wembley Stadium in London on Sunday, July 11.
England is a slight favorite in 1X2 betting markets at online shop Bovada at +160, with Italy at +200 and the draw at +205. The total is at 2 with a price of -110 on either side.
Taking extra time and penalties into account, England is -120 in Cup winner markets with Italy at EVEN money.
Italy defeated Spain on penalties in their semifinal while England dispatched Denmark 2-1 but also needed extra time to do so.
England was much more convincing in their win than the Italians were in theirs. In fact, you can make a case that Spain was the better team in defeat than Italy was in victory.
Regardless, we’ve got our final and considering how well both of these teams have played since the beginning of Euro 2020, it’s a deserved final.
We’ve got a couple of bets for the final to close out the tournament, so let’s get right into it.
Cup Winner: England (-120)
Sure, +160 is a fine-looking price for England to win this inside 90 minutes, but at -120 with the extra insurance of covering extra time and/or penalties, it’s still very solid value.
England’s defending has been very stout and, save for a few miscues in the semifinal against Denmark, keeper Jordan Pickford has been dependable as well.
But it’s Harry Kane who will be the difference-maker here.
Kane began the tournament slowly, seldom getting a touch and not being able to have any impact whatsoever. But as Euro 2020 has progressed, he’s evolved and become, expectedly, England’s best player.
Kane has bagged four goals in his last three games and scored the winning goal against Denmark after having his penalty stopped by Kasper Schmeichel.
Italy has had a great tournament and certainly deserves to be here after beating some of the top teams in the world, but the void on the left with the injury to Spinazzola and a Ciro Immobile who has looked quite poor in the last two games will hurt against England.
Once again: this tournament was set up for England to win. With the semifinal and final played in London, England will have played every game at home except for the quarterfinal against Ukraine. Plus, the stadium capacity has been increased.
With all this in mind and especially England playing at Wembley, surely it is indeed coming home.
UNDER 2.0 (-110)
Italy has played some sublime football in the midfield and on the flanks but has always lacked a killer pass in the final third.
England has been playing at its best in attack when Kane drops a bit and picks out a pass to the wingers or overlapping fullbacks to help springboard an attack.
Regardless, both of these teams have some weaknesses in attacking play but are fairly solid defensively. Still, a single moment of brilliance from a Federico Chiesa or a Kane could open this one up.
This game, however, will be won or lost in the midfield as Jorginho, Marco Verratti and Nicolo Barella meet the two-headed wrecking ball of Declan Rice and Kalvin Phillips.
It should make for an interesting chess match but I think we could be in store for a cagey one and UNDER 2.0 could be in the cards.
This could mimic either of the semifinal matchups that were 1-1 at the end of 90 and require extra time.
In fact, eight of the last nine Euro finals have seen exactly two goals or fewer through 90 minutes, with the outlier being the 4-0 thrashing Spain handed the Italians in 2012.
Both teams defend expertly, both keepers have been good and both midfields are great. It’s going to be a great final to cap what has been an extraordinarily entertaining tournament.
Looking to Bet on Euro 2020?
If you’re new to soccer betting and want to wager on your own Euro Cup soccer predictions, the first thing you’ll need to do is read up on everything you need to know about betting soccer. We’ve got you covered with our How to Bet on Soccer page.
Next up, you’ll need to find a sportsbook that fits what you’re looking for. You can check out our Sportsbook Review page to weigh the pros and cons of online sportsbooks.
We’ll also be covering the tournament at length here at Odds Shark. We’ve got articles up on Euro 2020 Futures odds and Euro 2020 Top Goalscorer Odds and you’ll want to bookmark our Euro 2020 home page as information and odds will be updated as the tournament draws closer and certainly after it begins.
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Odds Shark Staff Tue, Mar 1, 12:43pm