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Italy Shorthanded Versus Surging Germans

Graziano Pelle Italy Euro 2016

With just eight teams remaining, Germany is now the favorite to win Euro 2016 after coming off its most impressive win in the tournament to date. Next up is Italy, who has looked great in getting this far, but must overcome some big potential absences from the starting 11 in their quarterfinal clash Saturday.

  • Germany has four wins, one draw and one loss in its last six matches.
  • Each team has one win, one loss and three draws in the last five meetings.
  • Germany has yet to concede a goal at Euro 2016.

Germany gets the nod as the +115 favorite in moneyline markets at online book Bovada while Italy is +290 and the draw is +205. In spread betting, this game is tabbed as a Pick with Germany at -200 and Italy +165. As far as the total is concerned, OVER 2 goals is EVEN odds while UNDER is presently -125.

Italy is coming off a 2-0 win over Euro holders Spain but will be without midfielder Thiago Motta for the match as he serves his suspension for picking up his second yellow card in the win over the Spanish.

The issues in midfield do not end there as veteran Daniele De Rossi and scoring threat Antonio Candreva could miss out due to injury. The loss of De Rossi certainly means a lack of bite in the Italian midfield and a move to the middle for Marco Parolo and possible start for Stefano Sturaro.

Gli Azzurri will be bolstered by the fact that they have never lost to Germany in a major tournament as they have two wins and two draws in four head-to-head battles. The last meeting between these two football titans, however, was a 4-1 Germany win in a friendly back in March of this year.

Germany, the World Cup champion, is rounding into form at the right time and is the +275 favorite to win the trophy in France. They are coming off their best performance at the tournament in that 3-0 win over Slovakia and have gotten goals from many different players.

One player who has yet to score is Thomas Müller. If the Bayern Munich star finds his scoring boots, it will mean lights out for the rest of the competition as he is one player that has yet to leave a real impact.