A new Liga MX champion will be crowned when Club León and Tigres UANL face off at the Nou Camp in the second leg of the 2019 Liga MX Clausura final on Sunday. The first 90 minutes of this match ended 1-0 in favor of Tigres, who were unlucky not to go into the second leg with a bigger advantage.
- Tigres UANL has just one defeat in its last eight matches across all competitions.
- Tigres UANL’s last five Liga MX matches have gone UNDER the total.
- Club León’s last three Liga MX matches have gone UNDER the total.
Club León vs Tigres UANL Game Center
Good news and bad news for León backers
Club León is down but not out. La Fiera were thoroughly outplayed in the first leg but will now return to the state of Guanajuato where they will hope to overturn a 1-0 deficit. It is fair to say that León has struggled through the course of the last three games, and if you’ve been a León backer for the last few weeks, you might be starting to feel a little worried. The good news is León has been a difficult team to beat at the Nou Camp, where apart from last week’s defeat to Club América they have been destroying teams. In fact, last week’s defeat to Las Águilas was León’s first defeat in its last 10 Liga MX home matches, eight of which were León victories.
In terms of what this all means for León’s championship aspirations is a different story. The most noticeable worry from La Fiera during their last three matches is just how much their offense has dried up. We are talking about a León squad that finished the regular season as the highest-scoring team in the whole tournament. The fact that they haven’t been able to crack the two-goal mark in their last three games should at least make León fans nervous, especially considering they will need at least two goals to overturn the tie.
Tigres are getting results while not playing very well
Meanwhile, to say that Tigres have played to the best of their abilities during the Liguilla would be a severe exaggeration. That said, Ricardo “Tuca” Ferretti’s men played arguably their best game of the Liguilla in the first 90 minutes of this final. Prior to Thursday’s game, Tigres had narrowly edged both Pachuca in the quarterfinals and Monterrey in the semifinals.
But while esthetically Tigres have not been a fun team to watch, their statistics paint a whole different picture. We are talking about a Tigres team that has only lost once in its last 10 Liga MX matches. The bottom line is Tigres might not be crushing opponents like León was earlier in the season, but they are getting the job done.
The UNDER is the only bet you need
For a moment it looked like the first leg of this final had the allure of a back-and-forth affair that would finish with several goals. However, the end result was a 1-0 win for Tigres. Odds are we are going to get another low-scoring affair in this match and that’s because the UNDER has featured heavily for both of these teams in the Liguilla. In the case of León, perhaps surprisingly, their last three matches have finished with a total in the UNDER. Similarly, all of Tigres’ matches in this Liguilla have also finished with a total in the UNDER. With Tigres in particular, eight of their last nine matches across all competitions have finished in the UNDER.
My take on the game...
If it wasn’t obvious already, the UNDER seems to be a surefire bet. In terms of what the final result of this match will be, a draw seems like a reasonable result. Under Ricardo “Tuca” Ferretti, Tigres have shown time and time again they are not afraid of defending leads, and here, they seem to be in the perfect scenario to just sit back and defend for the title.
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