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Poland home underdog to Portugal in UEFA Nations League clash

Robert Lewandowski Poland vs Portugal Betting Odds Preview UEFA Nations League

Having put in a less than stellar showing at the World Cup this summer, Poland will be looking to make amends in the newly formed UEFA Nations League. On Thursday evening, they host current European champions Portugal with both sides in the hunt for three vital points.

  • Poland is unbeaten in its last three matches.
  • Portugal has lost just one of its last nine outings.
  • Portugal has won five of the last 11 meetings between these two teams.

Poles hope to put disappointing World Cup behind them

Poland was one of the first teams to be eliminated at the World Cup in Russia and will be hoping for a drastic improvement in European competition. Losses to Colombia and Senegal rendered a victory over Japan meaningless, and now they come up against the champions of Europe.

Jerzy Brzeczek is now in the hot seat, and once again Robert Lewandowski will be leading the line. With arguably the best centre forward in the game among their ranks, Poland will fancy their chances of scoring against just about anybody, particularly when playing in front of their own fans.

However, it is Portugal that comes into this game as the slight favorite to take the points. The Portuguese made a winning start to life in this new competition, beating Italy 1-0 last month, and they will be confident of maintaining their 100 percent start to the tournament.

Portugal is at just +155 to take the points while Poland, despite home advantage, comes in as the underdog at +180. A draw would look to be the least likely result, and is priced accordingly at +220 – and with Poland managing just two draws under their new boss, we are expecting Portugal to try to seize the initiative in this one.

Recent form encouraging for Portugal

After winning Euro 2016 in France, Portugal was eliminated at the Round of 16 stage at the World Cup this summer. That 2-1 reverse against Uruguay was their only loss in their last nine matches, however, and they are likely to come into this game in higher spirits than their hosts.

And while it is never easy trying to predict the exact scoreline of any given game, we like the look of a 2-1 away win for Portugal, which is priced competitively at +900. That in turn would also allow you to back both teams to score, which is priced short at -110, and OVER 2.5 goals in the game, which comes in at +130.

As always, do not forget about combo options, which can increase your winnings three- or four-fold, depending on the options taken. For example, you can back a Portugal win and both teams to score at +550, rather than just a win for the visitors.

You can do the same with goals in the game. A Portugal win and OVER 2.5 goals scored is priced at +375 and looks worth backing given the styles of play of both sides.

Portugal looks stronger – but only just

On paper these two teams do admittedly look evenly matched. In terms of technical quality, Portugal perhaps has the edge, and with morale on a low in the Polish camp we are expecting Portugal to seize its opportunity here.

For Poland, its main problem remains an overreliance on the brilliance of Robert Lewandowski. The Bayern Munich forward is at just +105 to score at any time during the game, while you can back him at +300 to score either the first or last goal of the game.

For the Portuguese, their biggest goal threat would look to be André Silva. The Sevilla striker is at +187 to find the back of the net during the 90 minutes, and at +500 to open or close the scoring for the night.

With Poland having scored in three of its last five matches, there should be goals on the cards in this one. Portugal, however, has scored in all five of its most recent outings and should carry that rich vein of form into this week’s competitive action. Having beaten Italy, Portugal should also get the better of Poland on the road.