It’s another international break for the Premier League after this weekend’s fixtures that will see Crystal Palace pounded even further into the ground by Manchester United and Chelsea host Manchester City in a massive top-of-the-table bout.
Gameweek 7 looks fairly bland beyond that match at Stamford Bridge but that doesn’t mean it’s not a slate ripe for wagering. Andrew Avery and Rob Trites have gone through the board with a fine-tooth comb and picked out their favorite sides, totals and props for the upcoming weekend.
Here’s what they’ve landed on.
Rob: Tottenham -1.5 (+110)
As a fan, I tend to go Spurs heavy in this column but I’m confident in this pick and I love the juice it’s offering. David Wagner is a breath of fresh air and I enjoy the tenacity of this Huddersfield side but they’ve yet to face a quality club in the Prem and Tottenham is in fine form right now – especially away from Wembley.
In their five road fixtures in all competitions this season, Tottenham has five wins and they’ve beaten their opponents by an aggregate score of 15-3. The offense is clicking for the cocks of late and while the Terriers have been good defensively, it’s difficult to see them stopping the three-headed dragon that is Harry Kane, Dele Alli and Christian Eriksen.
This is purely anecdotal but it also seems like Spurs really enjoy playing that early stand-alone Saturday game. I don’t know if it’s to reward me for getting out of bed at the crack of dawn to watch them but I truly appreciate it and am pre-emptively raising my glass to yet another emphatic Tottenham victory this weekend.
Andrew: Stoke City (+190)
This is more of a fade on Southampton for the play on the Potters here. I like that they’re at home and I love the price attached to it.
Neither side has looked particularly strong out of the gates and on paper, these two are fairly evenly matched. That said, I like what Stoke is able to bring to the attacking third with players like Jesé, Xherdan Shaqiri and Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting. The latter especially showed some class when he scored a brace against Manchester United.
Both of these teams are better than what we’ve seen through six matches and I’ll give Stoke the edge here since they are at home.
Rob: Chelsea vs Man City OVER 2.5 (-140)
A battle for supremacy atop the table ensues on Saturday when Chelsea hosts an unbeaten Man City side and I’m praying we see some fireworks. Setting the OVER 2.5 at -140, the books are anticipating goals so I might just get my wish.
Looking at City, they’ve been just steamrolling everything in their path, winning their last six fixtures in all competitions by an aggregate score of 24-1. Chelsea will offer Pep Guardiola his stiffest competition so far but it’s not likely they keep the Sky Blues’ dynamic attack from scoring.
This is a match that I can see getting out of hand once one team opens the floodgates. If Chelsea scores first, City will open up and throw everything they have at Antonio Conte’s defense. If City scores first, Chelsea will battle and try to grind out a win in the way they did all last season.
I’m predicting a 2-1 result for either team in this one.
Andrew: Newcastle vs Liverpool OVER 3 (+105)
Goals are not too uncommon in this fixture with 19 goals scored in the previous six at St. James’ Park. Furthermore, four of Liverpool’s six games have eclipsed three combined goals.
Newcastle has been comfortable at home thus far and has bagged five goals of their own while only West Ham concedes as many goals as Liverpool on the road (10).
Liverpool has always been a free-scoring side and this season has been no different. The Reds have scored a dozen in total while conceding 11. Plus, the great Sadio Mané is making his return after serving a three-match suspension so that just adds more bite to the already-lethal Liverpool attack.
Rob: Harry Kane to score 2 or more Goals (+220)
Stop me if you’ve heard this before but Harry Kane, he scores when he wants. Since the beginning of September, he has nine goals in five matches and he’s netted two in each of his last two Premier League starts.
I’m betting on that trend to continue when Spurs travel to John Smith’s Stadium on Saturday by taking Hurricane Harry to score a brace or better at +220.
Andrew: Romelu Lukaku First Goal Scorer (+210)
Good value on one of the hottest strikers in Europe bagging the opener so I’m going to jump all over this one at the +210 price.
The big Belgian has scored in all but one of Manchester United’s six Premier League matches so far this season and is coming off a brace against CSKA Moscow in Champions League action mid-week.
This week, Lukaku and United get to face the worst team in the league, Crystal Palace, and considering Palace hasn’t found the back of the net yet, it’s not like they are going to open the scoring. Furthermore, Lukaku has opened the scoring in two of United’s six league games, including last time out against Southampton.
Anything involving Lukaku scoring that might be priced around the +200 range is worth a look at the rate he’s scoring.
Bet on the Premier League today at Bovada
Doc's Picks Service
Need more winning picks? Get $60 worth of premium member picks from Doc’s Sports – a recognized leader and trusted name in sports handicapping since 1971.