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Russia looks to extend winning streak at expense of Sweden in UEFA Nations League

Denis Cheryshev Russia vs Sweden Betting Odds Preview UEFA Nations League

After an excellent showing at the World Cup earlier this summer, Russia has built on that momentum as we head into the UEFA Nations League. The Russians have made a winning start to the new tournament and on Thursday night will take on Sweden, a side that is desperately trying to stop the rot after making a losing start to the European tournament.

  • Russia has won three of its last four matches (one on penalties).
  • Sweden has lost its last three matches in a row.
  • Sweden has won three, and Russia two, of the last eight meetings between these two teams.

Russian good form continues

It took a penalty shootout to eliminate Russia from the World Cup this summer, beaten finalists Croatia eventually getting the better of them. But they have not let their heads drop and have used that momentum to carry on into the autumn, beating Turkey away in their UEFA Nations League opener before thrashing the Czech Republic 5-1 in a friendly match.

Sweden, by way of comparison, looks to be struggling for both confidence and form. Having been defeated by England in the World Cup, the Swedes have now lost their last three matches, including a disastrous 3-2 home defeat by Turkey in the UEFA Nations League.

It is perhaps unsurprising therefore that it is indeed the home side Russia that comes into this match as the favorite to take all three points. You can back the Russians to do so at a price of just +100, with an out-of-sorts Sweden outfit at +320 to pick up its first win since June. A draw is priced in the middle at +210, and that may well be the best that the visitors can hope for.

Sweden needs to get back on track

Sweden looked in good nick at the World Cup but has failed to recover from its defeat to England in the quarterfinals. The Swedes topped their group with wins over South Korea and Mexico, before edging out Switzerland 1-0 in the Round of 16.

But now they look seriously out of form and are up against a side brimming with confidence. That is why we are backing a Russia win, although it should still be a closely fought affair.

Predicting exact scores can be a thankless task, but that is part of the reason the odds are priced so competitively. For example, a 2-1 win for Russia comes in at +800, a possible outcome which would then allow you to also back OVER 2.5 goals in the game, at +130, and both teams to score, which is at much shorter odds of -110.

You can also try to increase your winnings by combining possible outcomes. A good example of such a choice would be backing a Russia win and both teams to score, which is priced at +375.

Russia to make home advantage count

As proven at the World Cup, Russia is apt when it comes to making home advantage count. Furthermore, we saw ample evidence of that in their last encounter in front of their home fans, when they mauled the Czech Republic 5-1.

In that match the Russians took the lead inside the first 10 minutes before adding two more before the half-hour mark, effectively killing the game off as a contest. While this should be a more competitive match, we expect Russia to try to use the same tactics of pressing from the off.

You can therefore back OVER 0.5 goals in the first 10 minutes at a price of +400, while Russia is at double that (+800) to be ahead inside the first 10 minutes. In addition, Russia is at -188 to win either half, while you can back them at +240 to score in both halves – just like they did against the Czech Republic.

A win here will all but guarantee promotion to Group A for Russia, so expect them to start this match at a frenetic pace. With Sweden still looking to rediscover the golden touch, this should be another night of celebration for the Russians.