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Champions League Odds: Liverpool Favored to Lift Silverware Over Tottenham

Mauricio Pochettino Jurgen Klopp Tottenham Hotspur Liverpool Champions League Final

After what has to go down as the greatest semifinal round in Champions League history, the all-England final is set as Tottenham and Liverpool clash on June 1 in Madrid for European football’s biggest prize. To the surprise of nobody, Liverpool is the odds-on favorite to lift silverware and win its first Champions League trophy since that famous night in Istanbul in 2005.

At the time of publication, online shop Bovada has Liverpool at -200 to win the cup with Tottenham coming back at +165. As for 90 minute 1X2 betting odds, Liverpool is -115 money with Spurs +340 and the draw +260.

Liverpool had odds of +1200 when the group draw was made back on August 30, while Tottenham had odds of +2000. Both clubs survived tough group draws as Liverpool faced PSG, Napoli and Red Star while Spurs outlasted Barcelona, Inter and PSV.

En route to the final, Tottenham defied the odds against such European heavyweights as Borussia Dortmund, pre-tournament favorite Manchester City and, finally, Ajax, the darlings of the tournament who trumped Real Madrid and Juventus.

Speaking of defying odds, Tottenham lost the first leg against Ajax 1-0 in London and was down 2-0 (3-0 on aggregate) at halftime in Amsterdam in the second leg. Then, Lucas Moura happened and propelled the London club to the final with a second-half hat trick, including the winner in the fifth minute of injury time.

Liverpool advancing wasn’t without its own little slice of magic either. Down 3-0 after a vintage Lionel Messi performance at Camp Nou in the first leg, the Reds pulled a rabbit out of their hats with a 4-0 thumping at Anfield. Furthermore, Liverpool did it without arguably their two most important pieces in attack: Mohamed Salah and Roberto Firmino.

Domestically, Liverpool won both meetings this season by scores of 2-1. The most recent, back on March 31, was a thrilling affair that ended on a Toby Alderweireld own goal in the 90th minute after Lucas Moura pulled Spurs even in the 70th minute.

It should be a very intriguing match on June 1 with plenty of good betting options for two very familiar foes.

Odds to win UEFA Champions League
TeamOdds
Liverpool-200
Tottenham+165

Odds as of May 31 at Bovada

Bet on UEFA Champions League here!

Archived Articles

The Champions League quarterfinal draw was held on Friday and while we haven’t seen a ton of shuffling at the top of the futures board with Manchester City, Barcelona and Juventus holding down the top three spots, Liverpool has moved from +900 entering the Round of 16 to now +400 as they set to battle Porto in the next round.

The Reds probably got the most favorable draw out of the remaining teams as Porto faces an uphill battle with the longest odds left on the board at +10000. To its credit, Porto was quite good in the Round of 16 matchup vs Roma, but Liverpool poses a much stiffer test.

Following a scoreless draw in the first leg, Liverpool was exceptional against Bayern Munich in Germany for the second leg. A brace from Sadio Mané bookending a Virgil van Dijk goal propelled Liverpool to a 3-1 win and qualification to this stage and now this matchup with Porto has them looking good to advance further.

Elsewhere at online shop Bovada, Man City stays on top but is now +200 entering its matchup with Tottenham while Barca and Juve each come in at +350. Ajax, which played absolutely fantastic football against Real Madrid in the Round of 16, has to try to slay another giant as it gets the “luxury” of facing Cristiano Ronaldo and Juventus in the next round.

Here is the complete list of updated odds to win the 2018-19 UEFA Champions League campaign from Bovada:

Odds to win UEFA Champions League
TeamOdds
Manchester City+200
Barcelona+350
Juventus+350
Liverpool+400
Manchester United+2000
Tottenham+2500
Ajax+4000
Porto+10000

Odds as of March 18 at Bovada

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The Round of 16 matchups are set after an incredibly entertaining group stage in the 2018-19 UEFA Champions League campaign and the odds to finish as the best club team in Europe have been updated.

I’ll provide my analysis on the brand new futures odds from Bovada along with a brief breakdown of each R16 matchup and the status of each team heading into the knockout stages of UCL.

AS Roma vs FC Porto

Neither side is expected to advance past the quarterfinal round with Roma and Porto being offered at +5000 and +8000 respectively in UCL futures, so we won’t spend much time here but it’s worth mentioning Porto’s dominance in a fairly weak group.

The Primeira Liga leaders went 5-0-1 in group play and they’ve dropped just six points through 14 matches played domestically. They’re at -130 in the odds to get by Roma and while that’s not one I’ll be betting myself, it’s certainly tempting.

Manchester United vs Paris Saint-Germain

What a matchup we’ve got here between a reinvigorated United team and a PSG outfit that’s earned 47 of a possible 51 points in Ligue 1 this season.

In my last update, I shouted PSG at +1000 but with that line dropping to +700 I’m not nearly as hot on the Parisians’ futures line considering their draw. United (+5000) has been playing some terrific football under their new caretaker, Ole Gunnar Solskjær, and I like them at +300 to get by PSG, a lot.

There’s no question that the Red Devils will be the tougher side in this matchup and it’s a fact that they have better competition week in and week out. For my money, United is the best value on the board in the futures market right now.

AFC Ajax vs Real Madrid

We won’t spend a lot of time here either because I expect Real to cruise through Ajax despite their problems in La Liga this season. Real, -500 to get by the Eredivisie contenders, has more talent at every single position and an upset here would be shocking, to say the least.

That said, I don’t like Real to advance much further than the quarters. Their resolve has been bad and their defending is worse. +1200 looks like a steal at first glance but I guarantee you it is not.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Borussia Dortmund

Escaping the grasps of yet another bottling by the skin of Lucas Moura’s boot, Tottenham pulled off a miracle to advance to the Round of 16, earning a well-deserved draw at the Nou Camp against an unmotivated Barcelona side to complete their epic comeback.

The Bundesliga leaders are no joke but I think the wrong team is favored in this matchup with Dortmund being offered at -125 in the odds to qualify for the quarters with Spurs coming back at -105.

It’s a stretch to say either of these clubs has a good shot at hoisting the hardware when all is said and done with Tottenham at +2500 and Dortmund at +2800 in UCL futures, but this is a good spot to grab a Tottenham team that is absolutely clicking on all cylinders. Spurs to get by BVB at -105 will be a decent-sized play for me.

Liverpool vs Bayern Munich

In what is undoubtedly the most anticipated tie of the lot, Liverpool takes on Bayern in a matchup that was nearly the 2017-18 Champions League final.

It’s an unfortunate draw for both clubs but the Reds are just happy to be here after sneaking into the Round of 16 and I think I like them at +900 in outright odds and at -120 in the odds to get by Bayern. The German giants are in a bit of a transitional phase right now and Klopp has a lot of unfinished business against Bayern after losing to them in the finale of the 2012-13 UCL campaign.

Lyon vs FC Barcelona

Taking on Lyon in the second-most lopsided matchup of the Round of 16, Barcelona should march to the quarters without much effort and they’re -1800 favorites to do just that.

Looking at their futures line (+450), I’m a big fan. Barca is still the best team in Europe in my humble opinion and Manchester City looks incredibly vulnerable. If you’re planning to bet the La Liga leaders, do it now.

Atletico Madrid vs Juventus

One of the more interesting R16 fixtures sees Atletico take on Juventus in a matchup the Serie A outfit is a -200 favorite to win but maybe unjustly.

Diego Simeone’s side does not lose or even concede on home soil, going 11-2-0 at Wanda Metropolitano with just five goals against in all competitions this season. Atletico has a good chance to defend its way to another Champions League final appearance and is being offered at excellent value in UCL futures (+2000).

I’ll be betting on the Red and Whites to get by Ronaldo and company at +160 in a matchup I think should be much closer to EVEN.

Schalke 04 vs Manchester City

Not much to discuss here. Manchester City is the biggest favorite of the round at -2500 to advance and as I mentioned already, I don’t like them at all in outright odds – especially at that price (+275).

The Citizens have been dropping some awful results domestically and look like a really different squad without Fernandinho in the lineup. Pep does not have a suitable replacement for the injured midfield destroyer and if they don’t fill that hole during the winter transfer window, they’re in trouble of experiencing another exit in the UCL quarterfinals.

Here is the complete list of updated odds to win the 2018-19 UEFA Champions League campaign from Bovada:

Odds to win UEFA Champions League
TeamOdds
Manchester City+275
Barcelona+450
Juventus+600
Paris Saint-Germain+700
Liverpool+900
Bayern Munich+1200
Real Madrid+1200
Atletico Madrid+2000
Tottenham Hotspur+2500
Borussia Dortmund+2800
AS Roma+5000
Manchester United+5000
Ajax+8000
FC Porto+8000
Lyon+10000
Schalke 04+15000

Odds as of January 2 at Bovada

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Four matches have been played in the 2018-19 Champions League campaign and with two matches remaining in the group stage, a lot has happened and the odds have shifted dramatically for some teams while others have been outright eliminated from the betting picture.

Let’s take a closer look at some of the biggest betting stories that have unfolded since Matchday 1.

Nothing has Changed for the Top Dogs

The favorites have performed as expected, for the most part, and their odds to win Champions League haven’t really moved since groups were drawn. That said, Barcelona could hold some value at +500 with Manchester City still leading the way at +350.

Not that I don’t think the Citizens are good, trust me, I’m a religious Premier League watcher, but this is a club with certain vulnerabilities that can be exposed on the European stage. Barcelona has re-established itself as a juggernaut after a minor stumble last season and I like them a lot at 5/1.

Group C is Still Completely up for Grabs

By far the most interesting story that has developed in the group stage of Champions League is the parity of Group C. All four teams are separated by two points after Red Star Belgrade’s shocking upset of Liverpool and PSG sits in third despite having the best goal differential.

In my opinion, Liverpool holds good value to win Champs League at +1000 ( Bovada) after some early struggles in both UCL and domestic action but PSG is ridiculous value at the same price.

Undefeated with 13 wins and a +39 goal differential through their first 13 domestic matches, this Parisian outfit has to be seriously considered as one of the best teams in Europe and they have a chance to prove it when they host the Reds at Parc des Princes at the end of November.

It Doesn’t Look Good for Tottenham

While Tottenham managed to pull out a “miracle” win against PSV in the dying embers of Matchday 4, the Hotspur have fallen from +2000 to +10000 in the outright odds. To get through to the knockout stage, they’ll need at least four points out of their final two matches and some serious help from PSV.

Taking on Inter as home favorites in Matchday 5, the pressure is on and if the underachieving North Londoners don’t grab three convincing points, they’ll be destined for a Europa League fate.

Monaco is Done and Dusted

What a job Thierry Henry has done as interim manager at Monaco. It’s unfair to place the majority of the blame on the French great but he’s yet to earn a victory as a professional manager since being hired a month ago and his team has already been mathematically eliminated from the knockout round of Champions League with one point after four games.

That said, I do expect this team to wake up and I think Henry will grow some coaching chops. This is a club to watch out for to play spoiler in the next two matchdays and to potentially make noise when they’re sent down to Europa League.

Here is the complete list of updated odds to win the 2018-19 UEFA Champions League campaign:

Odds to win UEFA Champions League
TeamOdds
Manchester City+350
Barcelona+500
Juventus+550
Bayern Munich+900
Liverpool+1000
Paris SG+1000
Real Madrid+1000
Atletico Madrid+1400
Borussia Dortmund+3300
Manchester United+3300
Napoli+3300
Inter Milan+6600
AS Roma+8000
Ajax+8000
Tottenham+10000
Lyon+15000
FC Porto+15000
Schalke 04+20000
Valencia+25000
Benfica+50000
CSKA Moscow+50000
Galatasaray+75000
FC Shakhtar Donetsk+100000
Hoffenheim+100000
PSV Eindhoven+100000
Club Brugge+100000

Odds as of November 13 at Bovada

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With the group draw for the 2018-19 UEFA Champions League now complete, the world’s best club competition can commence and bettors can begin handicapping the odds to win the European Cup which have Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City pegged as +450 favorites.

I’ll take a quick look at each group, break down my favorite futures bets and identify clubs that should potentially be avoided.

Group A

An eclectic mix, Group A is headlined by Atletico Madrid, the reigning Europa League champions and 2014, 2016 UCL runners-up. Atleti’s +1200 odds to finally win the competition are by far the shortest in the group with Borussia Dortmund (+6600), Monaco (+20000) and Club Brugge (+50000) queuing up respectively.

Of the four clubs, three have been to the UCL final at least once in the last 15 years but the only side with a real shot at lifting the trophy is the Diego Simeone-led Atletico Madrid at 12/1.

Both Dortmund and Monaco have been stricken by the scourge of business in recent years, losing talented players (and managers) and failing to find adequate replacements.

Look for the German side to squeak through to the knockout stage where they’ll most likely be dealt das boot back to the domestic league.

ODDS TO WIN GROUP A BODOG
  • Atletico Madrid -200
  • Borussia Dortmund +325
  • Monaco +500
  • Club Brugge +3300

Group B

If we’re going to have a “Group of Death” conversation, Group B has to be in it. Barcelona (+600), Tottenham (+2000), Inter Milan (+5000) and PSV Eindhoven (+25000) are all heavyweights in their respective domestic leagues and the first three are built to make it deep in a tournament such as this.

A summer of shrewd business moves has moved Inter Milan into position to recapture the club’s former glory and at 50/1, I’m considering a play. Group B will always be a battle for second place and given Tottenham’s ability to absolutely bottle it, I’ll give Inter the edge at that price.

ODDS TO WIN GROUP B BODOG
  • Barcelona -225
  • Tottenham +300
  • Inter Milan +600
  • PSV Eindhoven +5000

Group C

Continuing our “Group of Death” chat, it’s Paris Saint-Germain (+700), Liverpool (+1200), Napoli (+5000) and Red Star Belgrade (no odds) compiling a stacked Group C that I personally cannot wait to watch play out.

PSG, Liverpool and Napoli play some of the most exciting football in Europe and watching them go head-to-head will be a treat that I’m not sure we’re worthy of. That said, PSG and Liverpool might be a bit overpriced at their current values considering the toughness of their draw and I’m a bit concerned about the Reds’ depth.

This kind of feels like a wait-and-see play for me.

ODDS TO WIN GROUP C BODOG
  • PSG -110
  • Liverpool +135
  • Napoli +600
  • Red Star Belgrade +15000

Group D

Group D, or the Group of (Meh)th, as I’ve been calling it, could be fired into the sun and you wouldn’t hear many complaining. Schalke and Porto lead the way gallantly at +10000 apiece with Galatasaray and Lokomotiv Moscow filing in sheepishly behind at +25000 each.

No need to spend any more time on this group as there’s next to no chance that any of these clubs see a quarterfinal – barring a cupcake matchup, that is.

ODDS TO WIN GROUP D BODOG
  • FC Porto +125
  • Schalke 04 +200
  • Galatasaray +500
  • Lokomotiv Moscow +550

Group E

On the receiving end of what has to be considered one of the best draws in the tournament, Bayern Munich should make easy work of Ajax, AEK Athens and Benfica en route to another deep Champions League run.

The 2013 European champions have made it to the semifinals or further in six of the last seven UCL campaigns and they narrowly missed out on another final in the spring when they lost 4-3 to the eventual champs.

ODDS TO WIN GROUP E BODOG
  • Bayern Munich -700
  • Benfica +750
  • Ajax +1000
  • AEK Athens +8000

Group F

Speaking of lopsided groups, Group F definitely fits the bill with tournament favorites Manchester City the only club represented in the top half of the odds table at +450.

My advice here would be to wait if you plan on taking City. A line of 9/2 is far too short for a club that’s yet to prove itself on the European stage. If anything, this line will only move in the opposite direction if Pep’s boys slip up in the group stage or if they pull a tough draw in the first round of knockout games.

ODDS TO WIN GROUP F BODOG
  • Manchester City -550
  • Lyon +800
  • Shakhtar Donetsk +1200
  • Hoffenheim +1600

Group G

Leading the way in Group G it’s the incumbent champs Real Madrid at +800 with Roma (+5000), CSKA Moscow (+25000) and Viktoria Plzen (+50000) filing in behind.

Los Blancos are obviously not the same club without Cristiano Ronaldo but this is their tournament. They’ve lifted the trophy four of the last five Champions League campaigns and made it to at least the semifinals eight straight years. While I am little hesitant to bet them at 8/1, it seems foolish to bet against this club.

It would take a minor miracle for either CSKA or Plzen to leapfrog Roma or Real to get through so you can go ahead and pencil the La Liga and Serie A sides into the tournament's knockout phase.

ODDS TO WIN GROUP G BODOG
  • Real Madrid -600
  • Roma +450
  • CSKA Moscow +3300
  • FC Viktoria Plzen +4000

Group H

We’ll round out our discussion today with a very interesting Group H that will see Cristiano Ronaldo return to Old Trafford to play Manchester United  – the club that made him what he is.

Second-favorites to win the whole thing, Juventus is probably overvalued. CR7 moves the needle and that’s definitely the case here. While it’s likely they make a deep run with one of the strongest XI’s in the field, the Zebras are not better than teams like Barcelona, PSG and Bayern.

The way to play Juve could be to take them to win the group and then bet them match to match when the tournament kicks off.

ODDS TO WIN GROUP H BODOG
  • Juventus -200
  • Manchester United +275
  • Valencia +550
  • Young Boys +10000

Here is the complete list of opening odds for the 2018-19 UEFA Champions League campaign:

2018-19 UEFA Champions League Odds
TeamOdds
Manchester City+450
Juventus+550
Barcelona+600
Paris Saint-Germain+700
Real Madrid+800
Bayern Munich+900
Atletico Madrid+1200
Liverpool+1200
Tottenham Hotspur+2000
Manchester United+2500
Napoli+5000
AS Roma+5000
Inter Milan+5000
Borussia Dortmund+6600
Schalke 04+10000
FC Porto+10000
Lyon+12500
Valencia+15000
FC Porto+10000
Benfica+15000
FC Shakhtar Donetsk+20000
Monaco+20000
Hoffenheim+25000
CSKA Moscow+25000
Galatasaray+25000
Lokomotiv Moscow+25000
PSV Eindhoven +25000
Ajax+25000
Club Brugge+50000
FC Viktoria Plzen+50000
AEK Athens+50000
Young Boys FC+100000

Odds as of August 31 at Bovada

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It may have taken some pre-karius goaltending, but Real Madrid lifted its third consecutive Champions League Trophy on Saturday, becoming the first club to accomplish that feat since Bayern in the mid-1970s and the very first to do so in the UCL era. Despite that, Real opened with +600 odds to win a fourth straight Champions League title next season with La Liga rivals Barcelona and Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City pegged slightly higher on the UCL oddsboard.

This doesn’t come as a massive shock with Real facing an uneasy transfer window but after three years of European dominance, betting against Los Blancos is becoming hard on the wallet.

That said, their aging cast struggled to keep up with Barcelona in La Liga this season, finishing 17 points back of the Lionel Messi-led Catalonians, and if they begin the rebuild this summer, next year’s prospects of hardware could be grim.

Further down the opening oddsboard from Bovada, you’ll find the Champions League runners-up and at +1000, you’re not getting a good deal or anything but this is a club that’s just stuffed the coffers, aligning their silver-medal UCL run with a successful Premier League campaign that saw them finish fourth on the table. Already reeling in Fabinho on a 39-million pound fee, the Reds have been linked with countless outgoing stars and it looks like they’re set to become an absolute powerhouse.

Look for updates throughout the summer as transfers are completed and clubs are decimated but in the meantime, enjoy the opening odds and take them with a spoonful of salt.

Here is the complete list of opening odds for the 2018-19 UEFA Champions League campaign:

2018-19 UEFA Champions League Odds
TeamOdds
FC Barcelona+450
Manchester City+550
Real Madrid+600
Bayern Munich+700
Paris SG+900
Liverpool+1000
Atletico Madrid+1400
Manchester United+1400
Juventus+1600
Borussia Dortmund+2500
Tottenham Hotspur+2500
Napoli+3300
AS Roma+4000
Inter Milan+4000
Monaco+4000
Lyon+5000
Schalke 04+6600
Valencia+6600
FC Porto+10000
Benfica+15000
FC Shakhtar Donetsk+15000
Hoffenheim+15000
CSKA Moscow+20000
Galatasaray+20000
Lokomotiv Moscow+20000
PSV Eindhoven +20000
Ajax+25000
Dynamo Kiev+25000
Fenerbahce+25000
Club Brugge+35000
Spartak Moscow+35000
AEK Athens+50000
Basel+50000
FC Salzburg+50000
FC Viktoria Plzen+50000
Young Boys FC+50000
Celtic+100000
Standard Liege+100000

Odds as of May 29 at Bovada

Bet on UEFA Champions League here!