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Wales looks to pull off friendly shock against Spain

Gareth Bale Wales vs Spain international friendly soccer

It is a new dawn for Welsh football, with former Manchester United winger Ryan Giggs at the forefront of the revolution. His three friendly games in charge so far have rendered a win, a draw and a defeat, while on Thursday night they host former world champions Spain at the Principality Stadium looking to pull off what would be a huge shock on the international stage.

  • Wales has won just two of its last six home games.
  • Spain boasts a 100 percent record under new boss Luis Enrique.
  • Wales has only beaten Spain once in five previous attempts.

Wales has made mixed start to UEFA Nations League

Wales has taken three points from its two UEFA Nations League games played thus far. First came a hugely impressive 4-1 win over Ireland before they were comfortably beaten 2-0 by Denmark on the road.

This may only be a friendly, but Spain is likely to offer the most stringent technical test that Ryan Giggs has faced in his short managerial career to date. The Spanish are also under new management following a disappointing performance at the World Cup in Russia earlier this summer, and former Barcelona boss Luis Enrique has yet to put a foot wrong in the hot seat, with a 2-1 win over England before a 6-0 mauling of World Cup finalists Croatia.

Unsurprisingly, it is visiting Spain that comes into this clash as the red-hot favorite to make it three wins in a row under Enrique. You can back the away side to pick up a victory on the road at just -275 while Wales, despite home advantage, is all the way out at +800 to do the same. A draw is priced in the middle at +375.

Spanish experience and quality likely to pay dividends

While Giggs is still learning the ropes, Enrique, by way of stark comparison, has been there, done that and bought the proverbial T-shirt. And while the home side is likely to put up some stubborn resistance in front of a passionate crowd, the technical superiority of the Spanish is likely to count for too much come the final whistle.

Trying to predict exact scorelines is never an easy feat, but a comprehensive 3-0 win for Spain is priced at +750 and may well be worth backing at that price. In turn, you could also back OVER 2.5 goals in the game at -118.

If you do not feel that guessing scorelines is a wise choice, then you can go down the route of winning margins. The Spanish are at +220 to win by a single goal, +300 to win by a two-goal margin and +500 to win by a difference of three goals.

Following their thrashing of Croatia in their last match, confidence is surely soaring in the Spanish camp, and there are simply not enough top-class performers for the Welsh to choose from. Giggs and his players could well be in for a long night.

Spanish dominance expected throughout

This looks to be the kind of game that Spain can win without breaking too much sweat. The 2010 World Cup winners are at just +105 to win to nil (without Wales scoring a goal) while they are at +125 to score in both halves and +225 to win both halves – just like they managed when they faced Croatia last month.

And we are expecting Borussia Dortmund striker Paco Alcácer to continue his current red-hot scoring streak. The forward is at +120 to score at any time during the match and +375 to score either the first or last goal of the game. In addition, you can back him at +550 to score two or more goals on the night.

To little surprise, Wales’ best hopes of a goal lie at the feet of Gareth Bale. The Real Madrid forward is at +250 to find the back of the net during the 90 minutes.

But for this one, it is likely to be all about Spain. The Welsh may well be going places under Giggs, but Enrique looks to have found his rhythm with Spain after only a few weeks at the helm of the ship. This should be a comfortable evening for the visitors.