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A Tenacious Peru Side Fights for its Tournament Life Vs France

The French probably have World Cup bettors feeling a bit unnerved after their performance against the Aussies, and justifiably so. They looked to be playing a touch too many and struggled to get many quality chances as a result. Les Bleus have a desperate Peruvian side on the horizon and if they hope to contend for Group C supremacy, they’ll need to take the full three points in this fixture.

Bovada currently has France as the favorite in moneyline markets at -170 with Peru coming back at +525 and the draw sitting at +295. As far as totals are concerned, OVER 2.5 is priced at +110 while UNDER is sitting at -130.

SHARK BITES
  • Peru had 17 shots, six on target and was held scoreless vs Denmark.
  • France had just 15 successful tackles vs Australia, while the Aussies had 45% of the ball.
  • France has won by one goal in its last three World Cup games.

PERU PERSISTENT IN ATTACK

Peru has to feel very hard done by from its result against Denmark. They led the game in possession, passing percentage and shots, but Kasper Schmeichel made some important saves which was crucial for the Danes as it helped negate Christian Eriksen’s pedestrian performance. Although they held the edge in attacking stats, the Peruvians failed to convert on their six shots. They may not see the net with such frequency against the French so capitalizing on those chances will be critical.

Despite Christian Cueva’s penalty miss at the death of the first half, the Peruvians kept their chins up and threw everything they had at the Danish back line. That resilience paired with France’s struggles around the goal makes this match a tough one to cap.

FRANCE PERSONNEL PROBLEMS

I expect the French to shake things up in their starting XI for this one. Ousmane Dembele was virtually anonymous so look for an Olivier Giroud or Nabil Fekir start. Plus, this Peruvian attack will require a more inspired defensive performance which screams for a Blaise Matuidi. Corentin Tolisso and Samuel Umtiti had difficult outings defensively and I won’t be surprised to see one or both of them playing spectator roles at kickoff. Aaron Mooy created a lot of problems for France but he had little to work with from his Aussie teammates, an area where Peru should be more proficient.

THE PLAY

I’m hopeful this French side will improve as the tournament progresses, and perhaps they’ll show a bit more purpose in attack in this match. There’s no denying the quality in this squad and their attacking threats are infinitely better than what the Danish threw at Peru.

With that, I can see Deschamps’ men looking to get in front early and then park the bus, so I’m conservatively on the France moneyline at -170, which is too good to pass up on a side with this kind of quality.

Bet on the 2018 World Cup here