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Mbappe Enters World Cup Final as Favorite to Win Golden Ball

According to the odds, the Golden Ball award is Kylian Mbappe’s to lose. Oddsmakers have penciled the 19-year-old French forward in as the -110 favorite to be named the World Cup’s most outstanding player ahead of Sunday’s finale despite players like Luka Modric and Antoine Griezmann contributing more in their respective semifinal contests.

The first book to reopen odds after the semis, 5Dimes is bullish on Mbappe but I think that’s a testament to the youngster’s popularity in the media. Money has poured in on the PSG man to win the award but if you ask me, there are still three other players who could win it.

The first is Luka Modric at +210. As I’ve been saying since the group stage, Modric will absolutely take home the honors if Croatia lifts the trophy. He’s been the heart and soul of the team during the Croats’ surprise run to the final and his odds have risen from +1200 to +210 since the Round of 16 wrapped up.

The next – and best value – man on the list is Antoine Griezmann at +950. Mbappe’s running mate has been arguably more important to France’s campaign and in my opinion is more deserving of being named the tournament’s most outstanding player. He’s contributed two goals as well as two assists during the knockout phase and he’s been lethal in set pieces. Without the great Griez, France is not in the World Cup final.

My final candidate for the Golden Ball is N’Golo Kante at +1950. The defensive midfielder has been a rock for Les Bleus, taking the steam out of nearly every attack that’s dared to approach the middle of the park. While he likely won’t get the nod, he’s still worth a punt at +2000.

Complete odds to win the World Cup Golden Ball from 5Dimes

Odds to win Golden Ball
PlayerCountryOdds
Kylian MbappeFrance-110
Luka ModricCroatia+210
Antoine GriezmannFrance+950
N'golo KanteFrance+1950
Paul PogbaFrance+2050
Eden HazardBelgium+3300
Harry KaneEngland+5600
Romelu LukakuBelgium+8500
Kevin De BruyneBelgium+10000

Odds as of July 12 at 5Dimes

Bet on the 2018 World Cup here

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Despite Kylian Mbappe, Harry Kane and Romelu Lukaku leading the odds to win the World Cup Golden Ball award, there’s still plenty of value on the board with every team possessing multiple players who could justifiably take home the hardware.

My favorite among them has to be Luka Modric, who’s being offered at +800 at Bovada. Those are the shortest odds for any Croatian player and while the Blazers have the longest odds to win the whole thing, they definitely could.

If Croatia did manage to win its next two games, It would be difficult to see FIFA giving the Golden Ball to any other player. Modric has been Croatia’s most important piece by a long shot and he’s already won three Man of the Match awards. He and Harry Kane are the only players in the tournament who have been honored as MOTM three times.

Antoine Griezmann has a case at +1200 as well and if it were up to me, I would choose him over Mbappe. The Atletico man has been the driver of France’s counter-attack and he’s helped to facilitate Mbappe’s World Cup breakout. He also assisted his team’s first goal against Uruguay in the quarterfinals and he added his third goal of the tournament to lock up the 2-0 win for Les Bleus.

With two games left, though, a hero could still step up from out of the shadows and there are very few players who I would count out of the competition.

Complete odds to win the World Cup Golden Ball from Bovada

Odds to win Golden Ball
PlayerCountryOdds
Kylian MbappeFrance+350
Harry KaneEngland+350
Eden HazardBelgium+450
Kevin De BruyneBelgium+800
Luka ModricCroatia+800
Antoine GriezmannFrance+1200
Romelu LukakuBelgium+1200
Paul PogbaFrance+3300
Ivan RakiticCroatia+3300
N'golo KanteFrance+4000
Dele AlliEngland+10000
Raheem SterlingEngland+20000
Dries MertensBelgium+25000
Olivier GiroudFrance+25000
Ousmane DembeleFrance+50000

Odds as of July 5 at Bovada

Bet on the 2018 World Cup here

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Just eight games remain on the World Cup schedule but there’s still plenty of important football to be played and while Kylian Mbappe leads the odds to win the Golden Ball as the tournament’s most outstanding player at +350, a lot can still change.

Of any of the World Cup props still available to bet at Bovada, this one might have the most value. Guys like Luka Modric, Kevin De Bruyne, Luis Suarez and many more could all still justifiably win the trophy and beyond the top four of Mbappe, Harry Kane, Neymar and Philippe Coutinho, every player is at least +1200 in the odds.

Best Bet to Win Golden Ball

Despite what the odds say, Harry Kane is probably the man best positioned to be named most outstanding player at +400. Scoring six of the Three Lions’ nine goals so far, Harry has almost single-handedly shaken the World Cup monkey off England’s back.

The Tottenham man has been under an immense amount of pressure at this competition as his country’s captain and he’s done nothing but answer the bell every time he’s been called upon, slotting him three penalties, not including his successful conversion in England’s shootout victory over Colombia.

If the tournament were to end today, Kane would have to feel robbed if the Golden Ball went to any other player.

Where’s the Golden Ball Value?

While there’s still value all over the place, my favorite shout in the middle tier has to be Luka Modric at +1200. The Croatian midfielder and team captain has been by far his team’s most important player, pacing the Blazers in goals and setting up most of their dangerous attacks.

He did have a penalty saved in the dying breath of extra time in Croatia’s Round of 16 fixture against Denmark but it was his pass that forced the Danes to commit the foul in the first place and he more than made up for it when he converted his opportunity in the subsequent shootout.

Croatia has what looks like the easiest quarterfinal match and I rate them higher than both of their potential semifinal opponents. Luka and company could definitely make the final of this tournament and if they win the whole thing, Modric would more than likely be awarded the Golden Ball.

Godin Worth a Gamble

Uruguay has quietly been one of the best teams at the 2018 World Cup and that has a lot to do with how solid their backline has been. Conceding just one goal so far, the Sky Blues have relied heavily on the services of Diego Godin and Jose Gimenez, their star Atletico centerbacks.

Two of the highest-rated players at the entire tournament, Godin and Gimenez will be vital in Uruguay’s quarterfinal matchup with France and if they win they’ll be called upon again almost immediately to stop one of Brazil or Belgium – not an easy ask.

If the Sky Blues are going to make it to the World Cup final, it will be directly because of these two men and, in my opinion, they should both be considered for the Golden Ball award.

Right now, though, Godin is the only one available to bet and he is being offered at an insane price of +50000. You’d be nuts not to throw a couple bucks on him at that price.

Complete odds to win the World Cup Golden Ball from Bovada

Odds to win Golden Ball
PlayerCountryOdds
Kylian MbappeFrance+350
Harry KaneEngland+400
NeymarBrazil+500
Philippe CoutinhoBrazil+800
Luka ModricCroatia+1200
Eden HazardBelgium+1400
Antoine GriezmannFrance+2000
Romelu LukakuBelgium+2500
Kevin De BruyneBelgium+3300
Luis SuarezUruguay+3300
Edinson CavaniUruguay+3300
N'golo KanteFrance+4000
Ivan RakiticCroatia+4000
Paul PogbaFrance+5000
Thiago SilvaBrazil+6600
Gabriel JesusBrazil+10000
Raheem SterlingEngland+20000
Roberto FirminoBrazil+20000
Dele AlliEngland+20000
Dries MertensBelgium+20000
Olivier GiroudFrance+25000
PaulinhoBrazil+25000
WillianBrazil+25000
Ousmane DembeleFrance+50000
Diego GodinUruguay+50000

Odds as of July 5 at Bovada

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