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MLB Baseball - Preview

If familiarity breeds contempt, there should be animosity aplenty on Friday when the Philadelphia Phillies and the Atlanta Braves meet at Turner Field.

The Phillies will give the ball to starter Cliff Lee in this one. Lefthander Lee is 14-7 this season with a 2.93 ERA.

The Braves will counter Lee with Kris Medlen. Righthander Medlen has a 3.24 ERA to go along with a 14-11 record this season.

Philadelphia lost its last outing, a 7-1 result against the Braves on September 26. Bettors who backed the Braves at -171 on the moneyline won on the day, and the total score (8) sent OVER bettors to the payout window.

Current streak:
Philadelphia has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
Philadelphia: 72-87 SU
Atlanta: 94-65 SU

Philadelphia most recently:
When playing on Friday are 1-9
Before playing Atlanta are 3-7
After playing Atlanta are 4-6
After a loss are 5-5

Atlanta most recently:
When playing on Friday are 6-4
Before playing Philadelphia are 5-5
After playing Philadelphia are 8-2
After a win are 3-7

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 9 games when playing Atlanta
Philadelphia is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
Atlanta is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Atlanta is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games at home

Next up:
Atlanta home to Philadelphia, Saturday, September 28