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The Best Defense and Special Teams Prop Bets for Super Bowl 53

NFL Super Bowl Defense and Special Teams Prop Bets

College football coach Bear Bryant coined the phrase “defense wins championships.” The Los Angeles Rams and New England Patriots are both hoping that their defense will be up to the task at Super Bowl 53 in Atlanta. The Pats fared better in the regular season, limiting their opponents to the seventh-fewest points per game, while the Rams ranked 20th in that category. But which defense will help increase your bankroll with turnovers? I give my insight on where there’s value.

The Rams Created the Third-Most Turnovers

Los Angeles may have surrendered 24.0 points per game – only 12 teams were worse – but it also created a lot of havoc for its opponents by generating turnovers. The Rams finished third in the league with 30 takeaways this season, including the third-most interceptions, three of which got returned for a TD.

They also had 14 forced fumbles, 12 of which were recovered to rank in a tie for fourth in the NFL. Offensively, LA ranked in a tie for 11th in giveaways at 19, with a dozen of them being interceptions from the hand of QB Jared Goff, which were tied for the ninth-most. In the playoffs, the Rams have just one takeaway, an interception off Drew Brees, and they also have committed only one turnover, in the form of a Goff interception throw.

Patriots Were a Top-10 Ranked Defense

New England allowed just 20.3 points per game this season for the No. 7 mark in the league while finishing in a tie for the fifth-most takeaways with 28. Of the takeaways, 18 were interceptions, tied for third-most with the Rams, and 10 were fumble recoveries, ranking 12th.

On the offensive side of the ball, the Pats tied for the seventh-fewest turnovers at 18, with Tom Brady tossing 11 interceptions, finishing in a tie for 15th in the league. In the playoffs, the Pats have created just one turnover thus far, when the Chargers’ Desmond King had a muffed punt recovered by New England. Meanwhile, Brady has thrown two picks, both against Kansas City.

My Best Defense/Special Teams Prop Picks

Total Punts in the Game – UNDER 7.5 (-135). Both teams are doing a tremendous job continuing drives in the postseason with New England clicking at 61 percent in third-down conversions, ranking first, while Los Angeles is converting on 41 percent of its third downs. Additionally, both teams have strong run games that will chew up the clock, leading to less time for punts.

Team to Record the First Turnover in the Game – New England Patriots Commit First Turnover (-110). Tom Brady threw 11 picks this season, the second-most for him since 2011, and he has thrown two in these playoffs. The Rams created the third-most interceptions this season and they like to get after the QB as Aaron Donald led the league in QB hits.

Total Tackles and Assists – Cory Littleton OVER 8.0 (-130). Littleton had 12 games, including the playoffs, in which he had eight or more combined tackles. The Pats don’t air the ball out that much, electing for shorter quicker passes to move the chains, and I think this approach will allow the linebacker to have ample opportunity to make tackles.

Take a look at the full list of all the props for Super Bowl 53

Here’s a look at the full list of defense/special team prop bets:

Will a Special Teams or Defensive TD be scored?
  • Yes +180
  • No -220
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada

A fake FG or fake punt which results in a TD by the team that snapped the ball is considered an offensive TD.

Total points Stephen Gostkowski (NE)
  • OVER 8.5 -125
  • UNDER 8.5 -105
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Total points Greg Zuerlein (LA)
  • OVER 8.5 -125
  • UNDER 8.5 -105
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Will there be a kickoff return for a td in the game?
  • Yes (Kickoff Return for a TD) +700
  • No (Kickoff Return for a TD) -1400
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Will any Johnny Hekker Punt result in a touchback?
  • Yes (Any Punt is a Touchback) +240
  • No (No Touchback) -300
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Will Greg Zuerlein’s First kickoff result in a touchback?
  • Yes (First Kickoff Touchback) -295
  • No (First Kickoff Touchback) +235
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Will Stephen Gostkowski’s first kickoff result in a touchback?
  • Yes (First Kickoff Touchback) +110
  • No (First Kickoff Touchback) -140
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Will There be a safety in the game?
  • Yes +525
  • No -850
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Will There be a safety in the First Half?
  • Yes - 1H +850
  • No - 1H -1700
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Will There be a safety in the Second half?
  • Yes - 2H +850
  • No - 2H -1700
Odds as of February 13at Bovada
Team to recover first lost fumble in the game
  • New England Patriots Recover First Lost Fumble -115
  • Los Angeles Rams Recover First Lost Fumble -115
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Team to record the first turnover in the game
  • New England Patriots Commit First Turnover -110
  • Los Angeles Rams Commit First Turnover -120
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
The first turnover of the game will be?
  • Fumble +135
  • Interception -130
  • No Turnover in Game +650
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Total Interceptions in the game
  • OVER 1.5 -130
  • UNDER 1.5 EVEN
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Will there be a blocked punt in the game?
  • Yes (Blocked Punt) +600
  • No (Blocked Punt) -1000
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Will there be a punt return for a td in the game?
  • Yes (Punt Return for a TD) +700
  • No (Punt Return for a TD) -1400
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Total Punts in the Game 
  • OVER 7.5 +105
  • UNDER 7.5 -135
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Team to punt first in the game
  • New England Patriots -115
  • Los Angeles Rams -115
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Total Punts in the game - New England Patriots
  • OVER 3.5 -120
  • UNDER 3.5 -110
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Total Punts in the game - Los Angeles Rams 
  • OVER 3 -165
  • UNDER 3 +135
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Distance of shortest punt in the game - New England Patriots
  • OVER 36.5 -115
  • UNDER 36.5 -115
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Distance of first punt in the game - New England Patriots
  • OVER 44.5 -125
  • UNDER 44.5 -105
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Distance of longest punt in the game - new england patriots
  • OVER 53.5 -115
  • UNDER 53.5 -115
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
distance of shortest punt in the game - Los Angeles rams
  • OVER 37.5 -115
  • UNDER 37.5 -115
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
distance of first punt in the game - los angeles rams
  • OVER 45.5 -115
  • UNDER 45.5 -115
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Distance of longest punt in the game - los angeles rams
  • OVER 54.5 -120
  • UNDER 54.5 -110
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Total qb sacks
  • OVER 3.5 -130
  • UNDER 3.5 EVEN
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Total qb sacks - new england patriots
  • OVER 1.5 -180
  • UNDER 1.5 +150
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Total QB Sacks - los angeles rams
  • OVER 1.5 -155
  • UNDER 1.5 +125
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Team to record the first qb sack in the game
  • New England Patriots -120
  • Los Angeles Rams -110
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Total tackles and assists - Dont’a Hightower (NE)
  • OVER 3.0 -140
  • UNDER 3.0 +110
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Total tackles and assists - Mark Barron (LA)
  • OVER 5.5 -140
  • UNDER 5.5 +110
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Total tackles and assists - Lamarcus joyner (LA)
  • OVER 5.0 -120
  • UNDER 5.0 -110
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Total tackles and assists - aaron Donald (LA)
  • OVER 4.5 +120
  • UNDER 4.5 -150
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Total tackles and assists - John Johnson (LA)
  • OVER 7.0 -115
  • UNDER 7.0 -115
Odds as of February 13at Bovada
Total tackles and assists - cory littleton (LA)
  • OVER 8.0 -140
  • UNDER 8.0 +110
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Total tackles and assists - devin mccourty (NE)
  • OVER 5.5 -115
  • UNDER 5.5 -115
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Total tackles and Assists - Ndamukong Suh (LA)
  • OVER 4.5 EVEN
  • UNDER 4.5 -130
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Total tackles and assists - kyle van noy (NE)
  • OVER 6.0 -140
  • UNDER 6.0 +110
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Total tackles and assists - Patrick Chung (NE)
  • OVER 5.5 -125
  • UNDER 5.5 -105
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Total tackles and assists - trey flowers (NE)
  • OVER 3.5 -140
  • UNDER 3.5 +110
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Will Stephon Gilmore (NE) Intercept a pass?
  • Yes +325
  • No -450
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Will Patrick Chung (NE) intercept a pass?
  • Yes +500
  • No -800
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Will jonathan jones (NE) intercept a pass?
  • Yes +500
  • No -800
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
will J.C. Jackson (NE) intercept a pass?
  • Yes +400
  • No -600
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Will Marcus Peters (LA) Intercept a Pass?
  • Yes +375
  • No -550
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Will Lamarcus Joyner (LA) intercept a pass?
  • Yes +575
  • No -950
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Will John Johnson (LA) Intercept a pass?
  • Yes +450
  • No -650 
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada
Will Aqib Talib (LA) Intercept a Pass?
  • Yes +350
  • No -500
Odds as of February 3 at Bovada