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Super Bowl 54 Odds: Odell and Le’Veon Moving the Needle

NFL free agency usually just yields a couple of moves that are yawn-worthy and maybe stir the pot enough to steal the attention away from the NBA for a few hours. However, three teams in particular are using the offseason like they’re in GM mode of Madden with the Cleveland Browns, New York Jets and Oakland Raiders making the biggest splashes and seeing their Super Bowl 54 odds shift as a result.

Online sportsbook Bovada likely has had to update their odds by the hour due to trades and signings, with the Browns climbing into the upper echelon with a big jump from +2200 to +1400 to win Super Bowl 54 after they acquired WR Odell Beckham Jr. This is a huge move for the perennial doormat of the NFL as it was just a year ago that we were focusing on what a disaster their 0-16 regular season had been.

Another team that made a splash was the Raiders by acquiring WR Antonio Brown from the Pittsburgh Steelers. Their odds have gone from +10000 to +6600 to win the Super Bowl.

The final domino to fall was Le’Veon Bell as the star running back agreed to a massive contract with the Jets but, surprisingly, their odds have actually gone in the other direction by increasing from +10000 to +12500.

What Does this All Mean?

It means the Browns are not playing around anymore. GM John Dorsey has completely remodeled this franchise and while Beckham Jr. is the splashy move, they also made efforts to solidify their defensive line with the addition of DT Sheldon Richardson. They are now heavy favorites to win the AFC North with the Steelers and Ravens being gutted by key players walking out the door. I don’t necessarily think they can win the Super Bowl this season but the fact you can get arguably the third-best AFC team for +1400 right now should not be dismissed.

For the Raiders, not having to give up one of their three first-round picks to get arguably a top-five receiver of all time should be commended. Along with Antonio Brown, the Raiders also signed safety LaMarcus Joyner and left tackle Trent Brown. Not a bad offseason for Jon Gruden and company and they might not be done with all the draft capital they still have. It could be a shrewd move by bettors to get on them at +6600 because if QB Derek Carr can bounce back and regain his form from the 2017 season when he was an MVP candidate, they could be good in a hurry.

And last, but not least, the J-E-T-S. They had a ton of cap space so they were obviously one of the front-runners to land Bell but I’m not sure it actually will put them in contention in a crowded AFC playoff picture. The road through the AFC East still goes through New England but by adding Bell and MLB CJ Mosley to the defense, the Jets won’t be a walkover like they’ve been over the last two seasons.

Here is the full list of Super Bowl 54 odds. See below for where your favorite team stacks up to win the title:

Odds To Win Super Bowl 54

Odds as of March 13 at Bovada

  • New England Patriots +700
  • Kansas City Chiefs +750
  • Los Angeles Rams +800
  • New Orleans Saints +900
  • Chicago Bears +1400
  • Cleveland Browns +1400
  • Los Angeles Chargers +1400
  • Philadelphia Eagles +1600
  • Indianapolis Colts +1800
  • Dallas Cowboys +2000
  • Green Bay Packers +2000
  • Minnesota Vikings +2000
  • Pittsburgh Steelers +2000
  • Houston Texans +2800
  • Seattle Seahawks +2800
  • Baltimore Ravens +3000
  • San Francisco 49ers +3000
  • Atlanta Falcons +3300
  • Jacksonville Jaguars +3300
  • Tennessee Titans +5000
  • Carolina Panthers +5500
  • Denver Broncos +6000
  • New York Giants +6000
  • Oakland Raiders +6600
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7000
  • Detroit Lions +8000
  • Buffalo Bills +10000
  • Arizona Cardinals +12500
  • Cincinnati Bengals +12500
  • Miami Dolphins +12500
  • New York Jets +12500
  • Washington Redskins +15000


The dust has settled, the champagne has been popped and the confetti has fallen on the winners (and losers) of Super Bowl 53 with the New England Patriots winning their sixth Super Bowl in franchise history. Well, oddsmakers have wasted no time picking the favorites to win Super Bowl 54 next February, with the Patriots and Los Angeles Rams at the top of the list.

Online sportsbook Bovada has both the Pats and Rams at +700, followed by the Los Angeles Chargers (+800), Kansas City Chiefs (+800), Indianapolis Colts (+1000), New Orleans Saints (+1000), Chicago Bears (+1300), Pittsburgh Steelers (+1600), Green Bay Packers (+1800) and Minnesota Vikings (+2000) to round out the top 10.

Let’s dive into why the Rams and Patriots are the favorites and which teams have decent value and which ones are ripoffs.

Rams and Pats Have the Goods To Make Another Run

Although there wasn’t much offense to speak of for the Los Angeles Rams in Super Bowl 53, they’re pretty much set at the key positions going into next season. QB Jared Goff, RB Todd Gurley, WR Brandin Cooks and DT Aaron Donald are all 27 or younger with the latter three all on new well-paid contracts that won’t need attention for a couple of seasons. Goff is still on his rookie deal so the Rams will be able to avoid having to give him a hefty payday this offseason and concentrate whatever cap space they have left to fill out the pieces on their roster. The Rams were a top-three offense for the entire season and at +700, bettors can’t be faulted for investing in Los Angeles.

As for the Patriots, what else is there left to say that hasn’t been mumbled by Bill Belichick at a press conference? New England just played in its third straight Super Bowl and fourth in the last five years and has been to the AFC championship game for the last eight seasons. The beat goes on for the Patriots, even if their quarterback is over 40, as Belichick continues to put them in a position to succeed. At +700, now would be the time to get on them because I expect the Pats to get more veterans chasing a ring when free agency hits and even if they struggle to start the season, online sportsbooks rarely drop their odds.

Teams with Value

Chicago Bears +1300

An all-world defense, a QB still on his rookie deal, an offensive guru for a head coach and a great kick– … oh wait, too soon. The Bears were undone by their kicking game in the playoffs and anyone with a set of eyes knows they were better than the Eagles despite falling victim to a double-doink. Chicago was hands down the best overall defense in the NFL last season, first in turnover differential and only lost one divisional game, in Week 1 against the Packers. I think the Bears will win the AFC North again and at +1300, that’s great juice for a team that held the opposition to 17.7 points per game last season.

Jacksonville Jaguars +5000

Sticking with the same theme for the Bears, the Jaguars defense is still legit but they were done in by their quarterback. The Jags offense only managed 15.3 points per game last year but the defense still ranked in the top five in points and passing yards allowed per game. Blake Bortles’ days are numbered in a Jacksonville uniform and GM Tom Coughlin has made it known he will be actively searching for the next signal-caller for the Jags. Based on value alone, the Jags at +5000 is excellent considering it was just over 13 months ago that they were playing in the AFC title game.

Teams To Avoid

Cleveland Browns +3000

It’s a cute story and while I think they can finish with a winning record next season, it will take a lot for them to make the playoffs, let alone win the Super Bowl. The Browns still have a lot of holes at linebacker and offensive line and unless they rectify those issues in the offseason, they’ll still be chasing the Ravens and Steelers. The other part of this equation is the competition to get into the playoffs in the AFC. The division winners aren’t going anywhere, the Chargers should remain competitive and the Colts/Texans/Jaguars should all still be in the mix. I think it’s best to avoid the Browns for this season and start getting your money together for Super Bowl 55.

Minnesota Vikings +2000

Where to begin? Cap issues, a quarterback who shrinks in big games, a running game in shambles. These are just some of the concerns for why I think the Vikings’ Super Bowl window has closed but the main reason is playing in the NFC. There is just so much competition for the six playoff spots that I just can’t see how this team can improve based on the lack of cap space. They’re likely going to have to part with their best linebacker in Anthony Barr and their offensive line is still a train wreck. I like a lot of their pieces (Thielen, Diggs, Cook) but at +2000, this bet hinges on Kirk Cousins and I think you’re a fool if you think the Vikings win Super Bowl 54.

Odds To Win The Super Bowl 54

Odds as of February 3 at Bovada

  • Miami Dolphins +30000
  • Washington Redskins +15000
  • Oakland Raiders +10000
  • New York Jets +10000
  • Detroit Lions +10000
  • Denver Broncos +10000
  • Cincinnati Bengals +10000
  • Buffalo Bills +10000
  • Arizona Cardinals +10000
  • Tennessee Titans +6000
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6500
  • New York Giants +5000
  • Jacksonville Jaguars +5000
  • Carolina Panthers +5000
  • San Francisco 49ers +4500
  • Seattle Seahawks +4000
  • Houston Texans +4000
  • Cleveland Browns +3000
  • Baltimore Ravens +3000
  • Atlanta Falcons +3000
  • Philadelphia Eagles +2000
  • Dallas Cowboys +2000
  • Minnesota Vikings +2000
  • Green Bay Packers +1800
  • Pittsburgh Steelers +1600
  • Chicago Bears +1300
  • New Orleans Saints +1000
  • Indianapolis Colts +1000
  • Kansas City Chiefs +800
  • Los Angeles Chargers +800
  • New England Patriots +700
  • Los Angeles Rams +700