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Odds to Win Super Bowl 54: Despite Loss to Falcons, Books Aren’t Worried About the Saints

Despite getting blown out 26-9 by the lowly Atlanta Falcons in Week 10, the New Orleans Saints remain the likeliest contenders to challenge the New England Patriots for the right to be crowned Super Bowl champs at sportsbooks.

The Pats, who were on bye last week, are the +250 favorites to hoist the Lombardi Trophy for the second year in a row at Bovada. The Saints (+600), San Francisco 49ers (+650), Baltimore Ravens (+700), Green Bay Packers (+1000), Kansas City Chiefs (+1100), Seattle Seahawks (+1400), Minnesota Vikings (+1600), Philadelphia Eagles (+1600) and Dallas Cowboys (+2500) round out the top 10 at the shop.

Saints Haven’t Been as Dominant Under Brees

New Orleans was +500 prior to Week 10, so oddsmakers clearly aren’t overreacting to the setback to the 2-7 Falcons. Still, it’s worth noting that backup Teddy Bridgewater went 5-0 as a starter while Brees recovered from a broken thumb earlier in the season. Brees finished with a QBR of 87.9 vs Atlanta and threw for a season-low sub-300 yard game with zero touchdowns. In Bridgewater’s starts, he only had one game in which he failed to throw at least one touchdown pass.

Vikings, Cowboys Trending in Opposite Directions

The Vikings continue to put last year’s disappointing campaign behind them, as Kirk Cousins and company improved to 7-3 in light of a 28-24 victory over the Cowboys on Sunday Night Football. Minnesota is surging even without star wide receiver Adam Thielen thanks to the steady play of second-year running back Dalvin Cook. The triumph was especially significant considering it was the first time in two years that the Vikes beat a winning team on the road after going 0-9-1 in their previous 10 such games.

Minnesota saw its Super Bowl odds improve from +2500 to +1600, while the Cowboys’ chances fell from +1400 to +2500. Dallas is 4-0 against NFC East opponents but 1-4 vs teams outside of the NFC East, and the ‘Boys are tied with the Eagles for the top spot in the division as a result. The Cowboys are still very much in the thick of things in the NFC playoff race, but their recent form has made them a hard team to trust right now.

Here’s a look at the book’s full list of odds. For more pro football betting content, head over to our NFL page.

Odds to Win Super Bowl 54
TeamOdds
New England Patriots+250
New Orleans Saints+600
San Francisco 49ers+650
Baltimore Ravens+700
Green Bay Packers+1000
Kansas City Chiefs+1100
Seattle Seahawks+1400
Minnesota Vikings+1600
Philadelphia Eagles+1600
Dallas Cowboys+2500
Houston Texans+2500
Los Angeles Rams+3300
Pittsburgh Steelers+4000
Carolina Panthers+5500
Buffalo Bills+6000
Indianapolis Colts+6600
Oakland Raiders+6600
Los Angeles Chargers+10000
Tennessee Titans+10000
Chicago Bears+25000
Cleveland Browns+12500
Jacksonville Jaguars+15000
Detroit Lions+20000
Denver Broncos+30000
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+30000
Arizona Cardinals+75000
Atlanta Falcons+75000
New York Giants+150000
New York Jets+150000
Washington Redskins+250000
Cincinnati Bengals+500000
Miami Dolphins+500000

Odds as of November 12 at Bovada


How to Bet on Super Bowl Odds

When it comes to betting on the NFL, odds are available before teams take their first regular season snaps. You can even bet on a potential Super Bowl winner in August. Certain squads will always be contenders, especially if they won the previous year. When bookmakers set the lines, they look at offseason roster moves, coaching changes and past on-field performance. To bet on the odds for the Super Bowl, you’d make a futures bet.

What is a Futures Bet for NFL?

This is a bet in which you would look at the odds for the Super Bowl, weeks or sometimes months in advance of the big game, and decide which team you think will win. Let’s say you want to make a futures bet today. At your sportsbook of choice, the odds would look something like this:

New England Patriots +240

New Orleans Saints +550

Green Bay Packers +900

Kansas City Chiefs +950

San Francisco 49ers +1000

If this were a moneyline bet, you’d be able to see the which team is the clear favorite because it would have a minus sign beside its odds (-). For futures, the team with the lowest odds is favored to win the Super Bowl and the rest are underdogs.

Let’s say you feel strongly about the Saints and believe they’re going to win it all. If you were to bet $100 on them and they did triumph, you’d get a payout of $650 – your original $100 is returned along with your winnings of $550. Our Odds Calculator will show you how much you’d win based on the odds and amount bet.

The odds change throughout the season as key players get injured, trades happen, and coaches get fired. Line movements for NFL futures happen weekly, so if you see odds you like, it’s best to bet on them ASAP. The Packers may be +900 to win the Super Bowl in October but after a surge in November their odds could jump to +400 and you’ll make less money than you would if you’d bet them at +900.