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NFL Title Games Super Computer Picks

After a Wild Card Round that saw each road team win, and a Divisional Round that saw the home teams sweep the weekend, we’ve finally reached the NFL’s version of the Final Four with the AFC and NFL title games on tap for Sunday. With small spreads favoring the Patriots and the Panthers, will the favorites move on, or will the dogs have their day?

If you’re unsure of which way to lean, perhaps the OddsShark Super Computer can make your mind up for you. Or if you pefer the human element check out Team OddsShark members David Fucillo and Eric Sollenberger in the video above as they breakdown their picks for Championship Sunday.

After calculating every possible trend, stat and detail, here’s the computer’s picks for Championship Sunday:

Demolition Expected in Denver

The NFL couldn’t have scripted it any better themselves with Peyton Manning and Tom Brady set to faceoff for quite possibly the last time. Despite the fact that Brady has gotten the better of Manning throughout their careers and the Patriots being favorites, the computer predicts the Broncos to cover and win quite handily—27-14.8, staying UNDER the opening total. It might seem like the computer is going out on a limb here, but there’s plenty of history that justifies the selection.

The teams already met in Denver this season in Week 12, when the Broncos ran all over the Patriots D for 179 rushing yards and three touchdowns in a 30-24 overtime win that handed the Patriots their first loss of the season.

It will be the second time in three years that the teams meet in Denver in the AFC Championship Game. Denver dominated the game two years ago, entering the fourth quarter with a 20-3 lead, ultimately winning the game 26-16

Also worth noting—In their last 18 home games, the Broncos have lost just three times and are a perfect 5-0 in their last five games as an underdog of 3-points or less.

There’s No Place Like Home for Carolina

Cam Newton and the Panthers have won 12 straight home games. They haven’t lost at home since November 16, 2014, and the computer expects their home dominance to continue in the form of a 28.4-20.2 win, covering the 3-point spread, and going OVER the opening total.

After last week’s sloppy win, an upset or even a cover might be hard to come by for the Cardinals who haven’t been especially strong when playing good teams, going 1-6 ATS in their last seven games vs teams with winning records.

The teams met in the Wild Card round last year, where the Panthers dismantled them 27-16. The Cards were without an injured Carson Palmer in the game, but it added to a negative trend for them, as they’ve lost in four of their last five visits to Charlotte.

NFL Championship Sunday Picks
DayAwayHomeaScorehScoreATS Winner
SunNew England PatriotsDenver Broncos14.827Broncos
SunArizona CardinalsCarolina Panthers20.228.4Panthers