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Divisional Round Super Computer Picks

After a historic Wild Card Weekend that saw the four road teams win for the first time in NFL history, the attention will turn to the well-rested home teams in the Divisional Round. With all the home teams entering the weekend as favorites, will home field advantage carry much weight, or will the road teams get the edge again?

After crunching all the numbers, considering all the trends, and pinpointing every last detail, here’s the OddsShark Super Computer’s predictions for the Divisional Round.

If you don't trust computers (after all, they don't have emotions), check out Team OddsShark members Kelly Stewart and Rob Pizzola in the video above as they break down their top picks of the weekend.

Top Seeds to Move on in the NFC

In a game that’s tailor-made for primetime on Saturday night, Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers will bring their show on the road to face to Arizona Cardinals. The computer is predicting a lopsided game in favor of Arizona—Cards 27.9 – Pack 16.1. We’re just a few weeks removed from the Cards’ Week 16 38-8 beatdown of the Packers. Not much has changed between now and then, so unless Arizona has a complete meltdown, a win and a cover is a realistic expectation. With the Packers expected to struggle, the computer has the game going UNDER the opening total of 49.5

In what the computer views as the closest game of the weekend, the Panthers are predicted to defeat the Seahawks 23.3 – 20.9. A close score like this would result in a cover for Seattle based on the opening spread. The Panthers are developing a penchant for coming out on top of games with small spreads, as they’ve won three straight games both SU and ATS when favored by 2.5 points or less. Carolina also already has a W over Seattle this season—winning 27-23 as 7-point underdogs in Seattle in a Week 5 game. The computer sees this game going OVER the opening total of 43.5.

Rocky Mountain High in Denver

Can Peyton Manning go out on a high and get the Broncos back to the Super Bowl? It appears as if their path might be a bit easier with the roughed up Steelers coming to town, and the computer agrees, picking a 26.2 to 18.8 win for the Broncos. The Steelers have struggled in their last eight trips to Denver, going just 2-6 SU. The computer is also siding with trends that say the game will go OVER the opening total of 39. Nine of the last 11 meetings between the teams have gone OVER, while the Broncos have gone OVER in 12 of their last 14 games vs the AFC North.

Upset Brewing in Beantown

A legit argument can be made that the Chiefs have been better than the Patriots since Week 6. The numbers certainly back it up, as the Chiefs have now won 11 straight games, while the Patriots lost four of their last six games to end the season. The computer isn’t buying into the aura of Brady and Bilichick and is picking the Chiefs to pull off the road upset—21.4 to 17.6. The computer also sees the game going UNDER the opening total of 41.5. KC has seen the total go UNDER in four of their last five games.

NFL Divisional Round Picks
DayAwayHomeaScorehScoreATS Winner
SatKansas City ChiefsNew England Patriots21.417.6Chiefs
SatGreen Bay PackersArizona Cardinals16.127.9Cardinals
SunSeattle SeahawksCarolina Panthers20.923.3Seahawks
SunPittsburgh SteelersDenver Broncos18.826.2Broncos