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Super Computer Week 1 Contest Picks

The NFL is back and so is the OddsShark Super Computer. The computer is set to join a record field of over 1600 entrants (and still growing) in the Westgate Super Contest and is optimistically looking forward to a successful year after some offseason tune-ups. 

What sets the OddsShark Super Computer apart from other contestants in the Super Contest is its inability to feel emotion. It doesn't have a favorite team, it doesn't care if it's been burned by a team in the past, and it doesn't give a you-know-what about how handsome a team's quarterback is.

Enough beating around the bush. Here's the Super Computer picks for Week 1.

Chiefs -7 over Chargers

This pick is as much backing the Chiefs as it is fading the Chargers. The Chiefs have the luxury of opening the football season at Arrowhead where they went 6-2 straight up last season, but just 3-5 against the spread.

That 3-5 ATS clip doesn’t exactly scream confidence but the Chiefs have covered the number in four of the previous five meetings with the Chargers and trumped them in KC 10-3 last season but failed to cover the gaudy 11.5 points.

The Chiefs played some great football last year and were kind to their backers as they covered the spread in seven of their last 10 regular season contests. Expect a bit more of that to open 2016.

Cardinals -6 over Patriots

Starting their season off against the Patriots with no Tom Brady in the lineup is a massive boost.

Even with Brady calling the signals last year, the Patriots finished 3-6 against the spread away from Foxborough. Although the line has been adjusted for the loss of Brady, the Cardinals beat their opponents by an average of 20.5 points at the University of Phoenix Stadium last season.

Patriots fill-in quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo has thrown just 31 passes in his NFL career and until he proves he can get it done against quality first stringers, the computer will fade the Patriots.

Titans +1.5 over Vikings

The Minnesota Vikings are in disarray offensively. Teddy Bridgewater is out – seemingly for the season – and the coaching staff is not announcing a starting quarterback until Sunday. Even then, it’s either journeyman Shaun Hill or perpetually underwhelming Sam Bradford.

The Titans finished the 2015 season with a top-10 passing defense while only allowing opposing quarterbacks to average 230 yards per game. The defense will likely take a step forward this season, as the great Dick LeBeau has been brought on to be the defensive coordinator.

The Vikings’ defense finished in the bottom half of the NFL in rushing defense last season, which is not a good sign for Minny backers. The dual-headed rushing attack of DeMarco Murray and Derrick Henry should feast on the Vikings’ D.

Colts -3.5 over Lions

The Indianapolis Colts were a disaster in 2015, but they’re in fine form to rebound this year. The Colts’ -3.5 spread against the Detroit Lions is a bargain considering it’s a home game, and a healthy Andrew Luck could easily regain his superstar form early in the season.

Detroit is going to struggle this year, and the loss of Calvin Johnson is going to hang over them for quite some time. Sure, the Colts were unreliable a year ago, but Week 1 is when the oddsmakers are on the same page as bettors, and the -3.5 number should be higher. If Indy can recapture its old form, look for their spreads to inflate over the coming months.

Dolphins +10.5 over Seahawks

This is the biggest spread of the week and likely too many points based on a few factors.

This pick is all about the Seahawks' inability to start a season strong. They've been slow starters the past two seasons and last year they covered the spread just once in their first six games.

This line would be justifiable later in the season when traveling starts to take its toll, but the long cross-country road trip isn't as big a deal when players are fresh. The history of this matchup actually shows the trek isn't a big deal at all for the Dolphins as they've covered the spread in three straight trips to Seattle.