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Super Computer Week 11 Super Contest Picks

The OddsShark Super Computer came out one game above .500 in last week’s Super Contest and will look to keep it up in a very chalky Week 11. Sitting just a few games back of even for the season, the Computer will attempt to pick a perfect 5-0 slate to shoot up the Super Contest standings.

Here are the Computer's picks for Week 11 of the Super Contest:

Seahawks -6.5 over Eagles

After a so-so start, the Seattle Seahawks are hitting their usual second-half surge and should make easy work of the Philadelphia Eagles, who are a much different team on the road. Philly has dropped four straight road games SU and ATS and is allowing opponents to score almost 15 more points per game on the road.

With the team getting healthy at the right time of year, Seattle should continue to make use of one of the NFL’s best home-field advantages that’s seen the Seahawks go a perfect 4-0 SU this season. Their offense has also performed much better in the friendly confines of CenturyLink Field as they’re averaging almost 10 more points per game at home compared with on the road.

Finally, a serious trend has developed for the Seahawks that’s seen them go 17-3 ATS from Weeks 11 to 17 the past three seasons and there’s plenty of evidence pointing toward the trend continuing this season.

Cowboys -7 Over Ravens

Yes, the Baltimore Ravens have the top defense in the NFL, but numbers may be deceiving. In the Ravens’ nine games this season, they have only faced an offense ranked higher than 17th four times and they have gone 1-3 SU and ATS in those outings. In addition, Ravens cornerback Jimmy Smith was injured in the team's last game and, though he’s expected to play, will be covering Dez Bryant.

The Cowboys have been favored by 6.5 points or more twice this season and have won those two outings by an average of 19.5 points. On the season as a whole, Dallas has an average scoring margin of +9.8.

Patriots -13 Over 49ers

The New England Patriots have been ATS machines in 2016, and the Super Computer is liking their chances to do it again this weekend against the hapless San Francisco 49ers.

The -13 number looks scary initially, but keep in mind that the Patriots have been road favorites on three occasions and are 3-0 SU and ATS, winning by an average of 15.6 points. The 49ers, on the other hand, already have five losses of more than 14 points.

In San Fran’s seven ATS setbacks, they’ve lost by an average of 16.3. Bet the double-digit chalk and roll with Tom Brady and company.

Raiders -5.5 Over Texans

The Oakland Raiders have been one of the best stories to come out of this season and although people are quick to compare their success with that of the late ’60s Al Davis Raiders, this team is winning games in an entirely different way – with lethal, quick-strike offense.

Through 10 weeks, the Raiders have the fourth-most efficient offense in the NFL and have been scoring points at will on solid defensive teams. A good comparison for their matchup with the Texans is the one they had with the Denver Broncos in Week 9. They put up 30 points on the stout Broncos D and held their offense to just 20 points.

The big difference between the Broncos and the Texans, though? Houston’s offense is godawful. Brock Osweiler has led his team to the 31st spot in the offensive efficiency rankings and his Texans have scored just seven points per game in their three losses this year. 5.5 points should not be enough to scare you off the silver and black in this one.

Bengals -2.5 Over Bills

The Bengals have gone just 1-3-1 straight up and 1-4 ATS in their last five games but still stand a pretty solid chance of either winning the division or sneaking into the postseason. If they are going to make the postseason, W’s have to start coming ASAP, starting with Buffalo on Sunday.

The silver lining is that they are home, where they have gone 2-1 SU and ATS in three games (London certainly doesn’t count) and have gone 19-8-3 ATS in their last 30.

The Computer is picking a big win here with a predicted score of 30.8 to 18.9 for the Bengals, so that 2.5-point spread should be no sweat for Cincy backers.