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Super Computer Week 15 Super Contest Picks

With three weeks left to go in the Westgate Super Contest, our computer sits oh so close to .500 at 33-35-2. Over its last 100 picks, the OddsShark Super Computer has been making massive improvements and will look to get back in the hunt with a perfect slate of Super Contest picks in Week 15.

Here are the picks the computer will be submitting this week:

Patriots -3.5 Over Broncos

The Dallas Cowboys have failed to cover the spread in three straight games, leaving the New England Patriots as the NFL’s best wager at 10-3 against the spread entering Week 15.

The Pats travel to the Mile High City as 3.5-point road faves and bring a stellar 5-1 ATS road record into this contest. Why have they been so good on the road, you might be asking? Well, Tom Brady has tossed 15 touchdowns against zero interceptions in the team’s travels so far. Zero picks.

A win moves the Pats one step closer to home-field advantage during the playoffs and the computer likes Brady and company to do just that as it is predicting a six-point win – enough to cover the number Sunday.

Falcons -13.5 Over 49ers

The 49ers suck.

You probably need more than that, though, right? San Francisco is 0-6 SU and 1-4-1 ATS on the road with an average scoring margin of minus 16.2 points. In four of their six road games, the 49ers have lost by at least 20 points. To make matters worse for the 49ers, their league-worst scoring defense is facing an Atlanta Falcons team that scores more points than anyone else in the NFL.

The Falcons scored 42 unanswered points last week against LA before allowing the Rams to score a few garbage time touchdowns. Matt Ryan should chew up a 49ers secondary that is allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 62.1 percent of their passes with a 97.9 quarterback rating.

Titans +5 Over Chiefs

The Tennessee “upstart” Titans will head to Arrowhead Stadium this Sunday to take on a Kansas City Chiefs team that’s won 21 of its last 24 games. While that might be impressive, the Titans are coming off a coming-of-age 13-10 win over the Denver Broncos that put some hair on the chest of Marcus Mariota.

KC may have a better offense than the Broncos do but their strength is in the running game and short-passing game. That is the exact strength of the Titans defense and if the Chiefs want to move the ball on Sunday, they’ll have to challenge the weak Tennessee corners deep down the field.

This is something Alex Smith has not done very often – or very well – during his middling career and he could get himself in trouble if he forces it against the Titans. When you consider that the Chiefs are 0-6 ATS in their last six games that they’ve been favored by five points or more, it doesn’t seem irrational to think the Titans keep it within the spread in this one.

Redskins -6.5 Over Panthers

The Carolina Panthers’ season never got off the ground and they’re fading fast out of the playoffs as a result. The Washington Redskins at 7-5 SU still have a ton to play for, and the Super Computer is banking on the motivation factor to help the ’Skins cover the -6.5 spread in Monday Night Football.

Washington has absolutely owned Carolina in D.C., as the Panthers are just 1-5 SU in their last six trips to FedEx Field. The Panthers have been the opposite of road warriors this season, as Riverboat Ron Rivera’s team is a paltry 1-4 ATS on the road in 2016.

The Redskins haven’t played at home since hammering Green Bay 42-24 in Week 11, so expect them to get back on track in front of the Washington faithful.

Texans -6 Over Jaguars

A few big-time trends match up for this game that all point toward a Houston cover. The Texans have done exactly what they’re supposed to as a favorite as they’re on a run that’s seen them go 8-0-1 ATS in their last nine games as a favorite with all eight of those wins being by seven points or more. They’re also 8-0-1 ATS in their last nine games vs other AFC South teams and have a lifetime home record of 9-5 ATS when hosting Jacksonville.

Some non-trend related numbers also point to Houston as the Texans are averaging almost seven more points in home games while also allowing about seven fewer points when playing at home. They’ve also owned Jags QB Blake Bortles as he’s gone 0-5 SU against them with a 66.7 QB rating.

All signs point toward the Texans, so your money should too.