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Super Computer Week 16 Super Contest Picks

There’s two weeks remaining in the Westgate Super Contest and the OddsShark Super Computer is poised for a strong finish. Sitting in 10th place with 37 points, the Computer is a big week away from joining the logjam at the top, or possibly even landing in the top spot as it’s just 3.5 points behind current leader Anthony Riccobono.

Here’s the picks for this week:

Titans (-5) Over Jaguars

Can Doug Marrone, an offensive-minded coach, take the Jacksonville Jaguars from incompetent to good in one week? Odds suggest no, as teams are just 9-18 SU and 11-16 ATS since 2000 in the game following a coach's firing. Jacksonville ranks 28th in the NFL in points allowed and Marrone simply doesn’t have the time or know-how to fix that.

The Jags run defense, which sits in the bottom third in the league, will be taking on a Tennessee Titans rushing offense that has averaged 159 yards per game in the past three. When these two teams met earlier this season, the Titans rushed for a combined 214 yards and two touchdowns while averaging 5.0 yards per carry.

And, the Titans have a reason to play hard as they are on the verge of making the playoffs for the first time since 2008.

Falcons (-2.5) Over Panthers

Although not technically eliminated, the Carolina Panthers are hanging on by a very fragile thread in the NFC playoff picture. They host the 9-5 Atlanta Falcons in Week 16 and come in as the 2.5-point home dogs.

The Falcons’ league-best offense has been dropping 40 burgers left, right and center and is a finely tuned machine heading into a matchup with the division rival Panthers. They’ll be getting Julio Jones back for this one and Carolina’s pass defense – that gives up the most yards per game – could be in for a rough Christmas Eve.

In a game that has shootout written all over it, the Falcons have far more offensive firepower and could blow the Panthers out of the water, improving their record for their last nine away games to 7-2.

Chargers (-6) Over Browns

There isn’t a ton of thinking to be done as you’d be rolling in the dough if you faded the Cleveland Browns in every game this season.

The Browns are football’s cruel joke as they take an 0-14 straight-up record into this Week 16 meeting with the San Diego Chargers. Perhaps crueler is what they’ve done to their backers. Entering this contest, the Browns have covered the number just twice and have yet to do so in seven home games.

Why back them now?

The Chargers certainly don’t want to be the ones that take an L at the hands of the Browns so expect Philip Rivers and company to sling it up and down the field and win this game with ease to easily cover that small 6-point spread.

Seahawks (-7.5) Over Cardinals

While the Seahawks are in pursuit of a perfect season at home and a first-round playoff bye, the Cardinals will be playing for pride. Unfortunately for the Cards and their backers, the OddsShark Super Computer doesn’t take pride into account and likes Seattle to dust the Desert Donkeys on Christmas Eve.

The reasons are simple. Looking at some home/away splits, Seattle has the NFL’s best defense at home, allowing just 14.6 points per game at CenturyLink Field. Arizona, on the other hand, is allowing 29.7 points per game on the road, bad enough for fourth-worst in the NFL.

Another factor in the Seahawks pick is their history of late-season domination. Over their last 24 home games in December, they’re a ridiculous 19-5 ATS. The Cardinals can have their pride, but the smart choice is the Seahawks and the rock-solid facts that support them.

Packers (-6.5) Over Vikings

Two teams moving in opposite directions and the Computer likes the red-hot Packers, who’ve covered the spread in three of their last four games. The Pack have also dominated the Vikings in Green Bay, going 8-2-1 SU in the last 11 games between the teams in Wisconsin.

Green Bay might also own the league’s best late-season home-field advantage as the Packers have gone 13-3 ATS in their last 16 December home games. Also, when Green Bay wins, it doesn’t tend to be very close, as six of their last seven wins this season have been by seven points or more.