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Super Computer Week 4 Contest Picks

The OddsShark Super Computer is creeping its way back to .500 after a 3-1-1 slate last weekend and will look to get back into Super Contest contention with another good week in Week 4. If you believe in trends, it may be a good time to trail the computer as it’s improved its record every week so far.

Here are the computer's Super Contest picks for the upcoming action on the gridiron:

Falcons (+3) Over Panthers

Remember when the Falcons ruined the Panthers’ perfect season with a 20-13 win in Week 16 last year? Well, the computer does, and it’s predicting that the Falcons not only cover on Sunday, it’s predicting they also win straight up in this rematch at the Georgia Dome.

Atlanta is 6-2 straight up against the Panthers in their last eight matchups at the Falcons’ home dome and comes off an offensive explosion against the Saints in which they moved the ball at will.

It’s do-or-die time for the Panthers, though, so don’t expect them to roll over as they are 6-2 against the spread in their last eight games against the dirty birds.

Vikings (-4.5) Over Giants

The Minnesota Vikings were last season’s best team at the betting window and that success has carried over into the new campaign.

There are four unbeaten teams against the spread remaining as we enter Week 4 and the Vikes just happen to be one of those. Quarterback Sam Bradford has filled in admirably under center and the defense is hitting its stride as the team that has allowed the second-fewest points (40) in the league.

Minnesota returns home after a 22-10 outright win in Carolina as 6-point pups and looks to continue an unblemished record as home chalk versus the New York Giants. The Vikes thumped the Giants last season by a score of 49-17 as 7-point home faves in Week 16 and while the score might not be that drastic this time around, a Vikes win and cover looks to be in the cards.

Patriots (-5.5) Over Bills

People continue to doubt the New England Patriots, and the Pats continue to make everyone pay. The Super Computer is loving the Pats’ -5.5 line at home to Buffalo in Week 4, and you’d be wise to get in on the action as well.

In what will be their last game without suspended quarterback Tom Brady, the Patriots keep finding ways to win. It doesn’t matter who’s under center at this point, as Bill Belichick’s stellar system always finds ways to get the job done and cover the spread in the process.

Just how lopsided has this matchup been? In the last 25 meetings between the AFC East rivals, New England is 23-2 SU. The Computer doesn’t expect that to change. Roll with the Pats this weekend.

Steelers (-5.5) over Chiefs

After coming out of the gate like a beast in weeks 1 and 2 where they outscored their competition 62-32, the Steelers had a big letdown in Week 3 in their first loss of the season in Philadelphia. Two straight losses for Pittsburgh is rare, though, as they’ve gone 12-2 SU and, more importantly, 10-3-1 ATS following a loss.

5.5 points might seem like a lot, but don’t let it scare you off. Of Pittsburgh’s last eight wins at home, seven of them have come by eight points or more.  Ben Roethlisberger has been money in home games lately, throwing three TDs in four consecutive home games while averaging 345 passing yards, but with Le’Veon Bell returning to join DeAngelo Williams in the backfield, KC might have trouble stopping the run. So far this season, the Chiefs have allowed the eighth-most rushing yards in the NFL.

Ravens (-3.5) Over Raiders

Though it hasn’t always been pretty, the Baltimore Ravens are 3-0 SU. Their defense has proven to be one of the best in the NFL, as they rank in the top three in both passing and rushing defense. They will be taking on Derek Carr, whose numbers look good in a vacuum, but not so much when you consider he has faced the 25th and 29th passing defenses in the country.

Baltimore’s offense has been less than good, but they should be in for a decent week. The Ravens passing attack is built around big plays – with 10 catches going for 20-plus yards already – and the Raiders defense is giving up a stupid 9.5 yards per pass attempt.