We have already seen one massive upset at Roland Garros this weekend and there is a strong possibility that we see a second in the French Open Sunday.
In the women’s final, No. 4-seeded Garbine Muguruza upset Serena Williams 7-5, 6-4 to win her first Grand Slam title. On Sunday, the men take center stage and it will be No. 2 Andy Murray taking on top-seeded Novak Djokovic and it is the latter that is the convincing favorite at the sportsbook.
Online book Bovada is presently offering Djokovic at -350 in moneyline markets while Murray comes in at +275. If you are looking into totals markets, OVER 3.5 sets is currently -180 while UNDER 3.5 sets is +140.
Murray entered the French Open playing the best clay-court tennis of his career and has posted an 18-2 record on clay entering Sunday’s final. Included is a win in the Rome Masters back in the middle of May highlighted by a 6-3, 6-3 win in the final versus Djokovic.
The Scot has defeated some good players en route to the final, including a four-set victory of Stan Wawrinka in the semifinal. It has not been easy for him, however, as he had a pair of early scares int he opening two rounds as Radek Stepanek and Mathias Bourgue took Murray to five sets in the first and second round respectively.
Djokovic will be hungry for the one Grand Slam championship that has eluded him in his illustrious career. The Serb has 11 Slam titles and has advanced to the French Open final three times previous with nothing but a runner-up award to show for his efforts. There is no doubt he will look for that win in his fourth appearance Sunday.
The two stars have squared off a number of times over the years and Djokovic certainly has the edge. The Serb has 23 victories while Murray enters Sunday’s match with 10 wins, but did triumph the last time the two played in Rome.
Murray, however, will be looking for his third-career Slam victory and his first in Paris. He’s had a wonderful start to the season and win the year’s second Grand Slam event could mean big things as we move into Wimbledon and the US Open – the two tournaments he has won.
Don’t be surprised if the Scot takes a page out of Muguruza’s upset book.
Roger Federer, who was priced at +2000, has pulled out of the the French Open. Earlier Thursday, the Swiss legend posted on his Facebook page that he has "been making steady progress with my overall fitness, but I am still not 100% and feel I might be taking an unnecessary risk by playing in this event before I am really ready."
This marks the first time since the 2000 season that Federer will not be playing in a Grand Slam event; a streak of 65 consecutive tournaments.
The 17-time Grand Slam champ has won just one French Open title, coming back in 2009.
Andy Murray has gotten stronger and stronger as the clay-court season has progressed and that does not bode well for the field at the 2016 French Open. That surge in play culminated with a 6-3, 6-3 win over Novak Djokovic in Sunday’s Rome Masters finale.
As a result of Murray’s excellent form, he has moved up the odds board for the French Open. Murray opened +1000 to win at online shop Bovada but is presently being offered at +600 after his win in Rome.
Murray has now played three clay tournaments in 2016 and has gotten progressively better. He reached the semifinal of the Monte Carlo Masters before losing to Rafael Nadal and he lost to Djokovic in the final of the Madrid Masters before finishing up a great performance in Rome with a win Sunday.
He’s never reached the final in Paris but has three semifinal appearances (2011, 2014, 2015) under his belt.
Djokovic is still the fave to win the second Grand Slam event of the season and is currently priced at -120.
Here are the up-to-date odds after Federer's announcement:
Serena Still Tops the Women’s Board
Serena Williams is also coming off a victory in Rome and remains atop the futures board at online book Bovada.
Williams defeated Madison Keys 7-6 (7-5), 6-3 in the final, capturing her first singles title of the 2016 season.
Serena has won three French Open titles in her illustrious career and will look for her first Slam of 2016 after losing to Angelique Kerber in the Australian Open earlier this year.
Speaking of Kerber, she is on the board at +1600 to win her second Grand Slam event of the season.
There has been a small move on Novak Djokovic’s odds to win the 2016 French Open in the weeks following his dominant display at the Australian Open. The world’s No. 1 player has gone from -110 to -120 to win the year’s second Grand Slam.
A title at Roland Garros has been the elusive crown from Djoker’s career slam but he has reached the final in three of the previous four years. In last year’s final, he lost to Stan Wawrinka, who has gone from +700 to +650 at online shop Bovada, 4-6, 6-4, 6-3, 6-4.
Rafael Nadal, who has won the most singles championships at the French Open with nine, is second on the futures board at +300.
Canada’s Milos Raonic, who made it to the semifinal in Australia, was +2500 but is currently being offered at +5000. The big-serving Canadian’s best finish at the French was a quarterfinal appearance in 2014.
Williams going the other Way on women’s board
Serena Williams was +180 to win the French after her disappointing loss to Angelique Kerber in the Australian Open final, but her odds have gone the opposite direction to that of Djokovic’s as she can now be had at +225 at Bovada.
Serena has won three titles at Roland Garros including last year’s championship over Lucie Safarova, who heads into the second slam at +2200.
Angelique Kerber, this year's Australian Open champion, has moved from +1600 to +2000 this week. Kerber performed exceptionally well in the final of the Australian Open, but her deepest run at the French was a quarterfinal showing in 2012.
Novak Djokovic won his sixth Australian Open championship - a men’s record – and his 11th Grand Slam title, but now turns his attention to the one that has eluded him throughout his illustrious career, the French Open.
Online shop Bovada currently has Djokovic as the -110 favorite to win the tournament, which gets started in May. The Serb has been to three finals at Roland Garros, including back-to-back appearances in 2014 and 2015, but his 81.36 winning percentage is his lowest at any slam event.
Last year’s champion, Stan Wawrinka, is currently offered at +700. Wawrinka defeated Djokovic 4-6, 6-4, 6-3, 6-4 en route to his second career Grand Slam title following his 2014 Australian Open crown.
Then, of course, there is Rafael Nadal. The Spaniard, and his nine French Open titles, are currently offered at +300 to win the event in 2016.
Serena tops women’s futures board
Serena Williams leads the women’s futures board as she bids to become a back-to-back champion at Roland Garros in 2016. Serena lost to Germany’s Angelique Kerber in the final of the Australian Open, but heads into the second slam event as the +180 favorite.
Speaking of Kerber, she is presently offered at +1600 to win in France and post back-to-back slam wins in 2016.
Last year’s runner-up, Lucie Safarova, is presently +2000.
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Odds Shark Staff Thu, Jun 30, 10:42amVideo