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2021 French Open Odds: Contenders and Favorites

The ATP's second major of the year is here, only this time on clay. The 2021 French Open returned to its traditional month, and kicked off on May 30 instead of the originally scheduled May 23 date, at Roland Garros in Paris, France.

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Due to the pandemic, last year’s version was delayed and pushed to late September. Now we can start building a picture of what to expect and get an early look at the French Open tennis odds. But what exactly should we expect? Well, the clay-court season is referred to as “Nadal season” and Nadal is referred to as the “King of Clay” for a reason.

French Open Storylines

Rafael Nadal won his 13th French Open title in 2020, tying Roger Federer’s all-time record of 20 Grand Slams by defeating world No. 1 Novak Djokovic in the final. It was a pretty dominant performance, winning 6-0, 6-2, 7-5. Djokovic won just 50 percent of his first serves and was only able to produce five break points and converted just once. Nadal won the title without dropping a set through the entire tournament.

Just how dominant is Nadal at the French Open? If the 13 titles didn’t give it away, 2020 made it three times he’s won at least four consecutive titles at this event. He did so from 2005 through 2008, then again from 2010 through 2014, and is currently on a four-year win streak dating back to 2017. It’s no surprise to see Nadal as the French Open betting favorite.

As he looks to defend his title and make it win No. 14, he’ll have to do so without being the No. 2 seed. Daniil Medvedev overtook Nadal in the rankings and though he is notoriously not a fan of the red clay, he will enter the French Open as the No. 2 seed. However, that shouldn’t affect Nadal much. In 2013, Nadal was the fifth seed and still won.

Roger Federer made his clay-court season debut at the Gonet Geneva Open, an ATP 250 event in Switzerland, and will play in this year’s French Open. We have not seen him play much this year, having lost his second match played in Doha back in March after returning from a full year off from injury. He does have one French Open title from 2009 but more so should just be looking to get in some reps before grass season in June.

French Open: Men’s Betting Odds

Nadal is the -120 favorite to win followed by Djokovic. Is Nadal worth the price? Using the Odds Shark betting calculator, -120 odds represents an implied win probability of 54.5 percent. Giving any player greater than 50 percent to win a tennis tournament seems like a stretch. However, when you consider Nadal has won the French Open 13 of the last 16 years, -120 sounds like a bit of a bargain.

He hasn’t been in his best form this clay season, having lost to Andrey Rublev in the Monte Carlo quarterfinal and Alexander Zverev in the Madrid Masters quarterfinal. However, Nadal did bring Stefanos Tsitsipas’ nine-match win streak to an end, defeating him in the final to earn a record-extending 12th Barcelona Open title.

At this point, Tsitsipas (+700) could be considered the second-best clay-court player on tour with others like Matteo Berrettini (+5000) looking to contend if the draw is favorable.

Here’s a guide to the top online tennis betting websites.

Here’s a look at the current men's French Open betting odds:

Who are the ATP French Open Betting Favorites?

Odds to Win men’s 2021 French Open
Rafael Nadal+350
Novak Djokovic+600
Dominic Thiem+700
Stefanos Tsitsipas+700
Alexander Zverev+1600
Andrey Rublev+2000
Daniil Medvedev+3300
Jannik Sinner+3300
Roger Federer+4000
Diego Schwartzman+5000
Matteo Berrettini+5000
Casper Ruud+6600
Pablo Carreno-Busta+6600
Denis Shapovalov+8000
Stan Wawrinka+8000
Roberto Bautista Agut+10000
Carlos Alcaraz Garcia+15000

Odds as of May 14 at BetOnline

French Open: Women’s Betting Odds

Ashleigh Barty was the defending champion in last year’s event but due to concerns over the pandemic, she opted to not defend her title. As a result, it opened the door to others and it was Iga Swiatek who won her maiden WTA title.

She entered the event ranked No. 54 and left No. 17. She did so having defeated world No. 2 Simona Halep in the fourth round, ending her 17-match win streak, and became the youngest singles champion at age 19 to win the event since Nadal in 2005. Wild stat: Swiatek also became the first player born in the 21st century, male or female, to win a Grand Slam title and like Nadal, she did so without dropping a set through the entire tournament.

Halep is typically a betting favorite on clay, but she should be left unconsidered at this point after suffering a calf tear in Rome.

If there was one player to consider, Barty (+500) would be it. She’s on a roll this clay season having reached back-to-back finals, winning at Stuttgart and losing to Aryna Sabalenka in a three-set thriller at the Madrid Masters.

Here’s a look at the women's French Open betting odds for the top nine players listed:

Who are the WTA French Open Betting Favorites?

Odds to Win Women’s 2021 French Open
Iga Swiatek+450
Ashleigh Barty+500
Simona Halep+500
Aryna Sabalenka+800
Garbine Muguruza+900
Bianca Andreescu+1800
Serena Williams+1800
Elina Svitolina+2000
Petra Kvitova+2000

Odds as of May 14 at BetOnline

Naomi Osaka withdrew from the French Open to "take some time away from the court" one day after she was fined and threatened with harsher sanctions for skipping her mandatory media obligations.

For more betting information, check out our How to Bet Tennis page.