UFC 312 is only a day away, and for extra betting insight into these odds, we've turned to our friends at BetMGM, who have us covered for the UFC 312 betting handles in trends.
Unsurprisingly, the Dricus Du Plessis-Sean Strickland title matchup is the most bet-on fight, per BetMGM. Zhang Weili vs Tatiana Suarez comes in second.
Remember, each sportsbook will receive slightly different action, but here are the most popular UFC 312 betting handles:
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs Strickland 2 Betting Handles
The bigger money might be on DDP, who commands 43% of the handle on just 24% of the tickets. Still, Strickland owns the handle, commanding 57% of the bets on 76% of the tickets.
The line movement is interesting. If Strickland commands such a big portion of the handle, why are the odds running in DDP's favor? Again, it suggests the sharps are on Du Plessis. I'm with the big bettors on this one.
Du Plessis vs Strickland Handle %
- Du Plessis: 43%
- Strickland: 57%
Du Plessis vs Strickland Ticket %
- Du Plessis: 24%
- Strickland: 76%
UFC 312: Zhang Weili vs Tatiana Suarez Betting Handles
I'm increasingly stunned by the action on Suarez, who is a -125 favorite at BetMGM. Interestingly, the book notes she opened at -150, and, despite significant action, her odds have shrunk to -125. Like the situation with Du Plessis, there are whales on Weili, and maybe BetMGM expects last-minute action on the strawweight champ.
Weili vs Suarez Handle %
- Weili: 29%
- Suarez: 71%
Weili vs Suarez Ticket %
- Weili: 47%
- Suarez: 53%
UFC 312: Most bet Fights (Tickets)
Sean Strickland (USA) - Dricus Du Plessis (RSA)
Weili Zhang (CHN) - Tatiana Suarez (USA)
Tallison Teixeira (BRA) - Justin Tafa (AUS)
Tom Nolan (AUS) - Viacheslav Borshchev (RUS)
Jack Jenkins (AUS) - Gabriel Santos (BRA)
UFC 312: Most Bet Props (Tickets)
Dricus Du Plessis (RSA) by KO/TKO or DQ +400
Sean Strickland (USA) by KO/TKO or DQ +700
Sean Strickland (USA) by Decision/Technical Decision +250
Tatiana Suarez (USA) by Submission +225
Dricus Du Plessis (RSA) by Submission +450
Like I've said all week, I'll eat my hat if the main event inside 2.5 rounds. Frankly, I'd be very surprised if Dricus or Sean score a stoppage in this fight. Strickland is a super defensive fighter. He tilts his head back and shells up, leaving no room for striking success unless you posses crisp technique and power (like Alex Pereira). DDP is the opposite. He's strong and fast but very low on technique. I don't think he'll club Sean with much.
I rate DDP by decision, and I also like DDP by submission +450. The South African had lots of success with his takedowns at UFC 297, landing six of 11 takedowns. He'll want to use that strategy again this time around and work for a choke.
