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Bellator 206: Rampage vs Silva Betting Odds and Pick

rampage vs silva

Quinton “Rampage” Jackson and Wanderlei Silva are set to fight for a fourth time this Saturday in the co-main event at Bellator 206. Rampage dropped the first two fights to Silva, but he won the most recent contest when they fought almost 10 years ago at UFC 92 in December of 2008. Bovada currently has Jackson favored to even the series with another win against the Brazilian. He’s pegged as a -315 favorite while Wanderlei Silva sits at +245.

The Rampage vs Wanderlei Saga

Bellator is continuing its trend of allowing fighters from a generation that’s passed us by to step into the cage once more to settle an old grudge. Both fighters are now in their 40s, and have each fought 50 times professionally in mixed martial arts, but they’ve agreed to fight at least one more time when they face each other this weekend.

Wanderlei won the first two times these two combatants fought in Pride in 2003 and 2004, winning both by TKO, while Rampage managed to grab a win when they fought under the UFC banner in 2008, also winning by technical knockout. The Brazilian was a fan favorite and the Pride middleweight champion in the first two bouts, and had a record of 27-3-1-1 when he last defeated Jackson, but has gone 8-10 since then, including the TKO loss in the trilogy bout.

Rampage is far removed from his glory days as well, going 5-5 in his last 10, and 8-6 since the last time he faced Silva. He has been a more active fighter, though, fighting six times since 2014, while Wanderlei has only fought once in that time frame.

Coincidentally, both fighters are coming off a loss against the same man. Chael “The American Gangster” Sonnen scored a decision win against Wanderlei in the summer of 2017, then Rampage suffered the same fate when he faced Sonnen in January of this year. Both fighters fell victim to the superior wrestling ability and fighting shape that Sonnen was in, so don’t be surprised if they decide to keep this one standing.

My Prediction

Wanderlei Silva (+245) via TKO

Let’s be honest, this fight is going to be sloppy. Bellator has a history of putting on fights between guys who have had their time come and go but still have a hunger to compete (or a hunger to get paid), and this fight is no different.

Luckily, both fighters had the same last opponent in Sonnen, so we can use that film as a cornerstone to base our bets on. While they both lost a decision and didn’t look great, Rampage looked worse. He was slow on his feet and very clearly out of shape. He connected on some shots in the first round, but was useless from there on out.

Wanderlei got out-wrestled throughout the fight with Chael, but when the fight was standing he looked all right, even scoring a knockdown vs the American Gangster in the first round. I don’t expect this fight to go to the ground, so I’m basing my decision on what I saw on the feet. Silva’s striking, and more importantly his cardio, looked marginally better than Jackson’s.

At +245, the value bet has got to be Wanderlei Silva. I have him winning by TKO in the third round of the fight.

Check out Scott Hasting’s preview for MacDonald vs Mousasi right here.

Rampage Jackson vs Wanderlei Silva Betting Odds

Odds as of September 26 at Bovada

  • Rampage Jackson -315
  • Wanderlei Silva +245

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