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Best Betting Trends For UFC Glendale

 Alejandro Perez of Mexico celebrates his victory against Andre Soukhamthath

UFC Glendale is loaded with high-violence potential and too-close-to-call fights – eight of the 14 fights don’t have a favorite higher than -200. We are here to give you a hand with your bets by presenting you with some of the best betting trends for this Saturday’s UFC event.

Alejandro Perez is 4-0 in His last 4 Fights as An Underdog

The bantamweight winner of the first season of TUF: Latin America may not be a household name but Perez has steadily built a respectable career in the UFC. “Turbo” has also become one of the best underdog bets in the company, going 4-0 as a pup since joining the UFC.

His style is largely built around striking in open space with the speed and frequency of his attacks keeping his opponent off balance. He is not the most accurate striker around but his ability to dictate the range of a fight helps him immensely at avoiding bigger strikers and takedown artists.

Perez looks to be an underdog when he takes on Matthew Lopez. Lopez is primarily a wrestler who looks to drag his opponent into deep water and land some heavy ground and pound. Perez has the space management to avoid these takedowns and should win if he can keep this fight standing.

Tim Boetsch Has Won Back-To-Back Fights Once In His last 12

You know what you’re getting out of Boetsch, as the 37-year-old aggressively moves forward and looks to bully his opponent. However, his rather one-dimensional style of fighting has made it difficult for “The Barbarian” to win consistently, as he’s gone just 5-7 in his last 12 matches.

Boetsch’s entire style is built around forcefully stalking his opponent and unleashing the massive power in his hands. Raw strength is undoubtedly his best skill, something that can easily overwhelm opponents. Despite that, his takedown defense is not very good and he offers little from his back.

This should be a big concern for Boetsch considering his opponent Saturday, Antonio Carlos Junior, is a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu and has competed in international tournaments on several occasions. Junior doesn’t have the best wrestling offense but he is unrelenting in his pursuit of the takedown.

John Moraga Is 1-3 In His Last 4 Fights Vs Opponents With Winning UFC Records

Moraga is a steady fighter in a division with few steady fighters. The UFC flyweight division is desperate for contenders but that chapter is likely over for Moraga, who is 1-3 in his last four fights against UFC opponents with a winning record in the company. And even that one victory for “Chicano” came against Magomed Bibulatov, who was in just his second fight in the UFC.

Nothing really stands out about Moraga’s game aside from his powerful strikes. That’s not meant to sound negative, rather Moraga is good in all facets of the game. He also has the ability to end the fight in any stage of the game. That being said, the fact that he is good, not great, at everything means a specialist can take advantage.

Moraga faces off in Glendale against Wilson Reis, a black belt in BJJ and a suffocating wrestler. The only people who have been able to defeat Reis have been opponents who can effectively neutralize his wrestling, which I’m not sure Moraga can do.

Other Notable Betting Trends
  • Dustin Poirier is 7-1 in his last 8 fights as favorite.
  • Wilson Reis is 4-0 in his last 4 fights as a favorite of -145.0 or more.
  • Krzysztof Jotko is 3-0 in his last 3 fights as an underdog.
  • Dhiego Lima is 1-4 in his 5 UFC fights over 2 tenures with the company.
  • Gilbert Burns is 5-1 in his last 6 fights as favorite.

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