Colby Covington (left) is favored in the Covington vs Masvidal (right) odds.

Covington vs Masvidal Odds & Prediction: Former Roommates, Now Enemies

A mega fight that has been several years in the making will be headlining UFC 272 as former roommates are set to settle their beef. Colby Covington and Jorge Masvidal are those former friends and tempers are already flaring ahead of their bout on Saturday.

UFC 272 is scheduled for March 5 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. When it comes to Covington vs Masvidal odds, it is the former interim champion, Covington, who is the betting favorite.

See the Covington vs Masvidal odds at Sportsbook:


Covington vs Masvidal Odds

Online sportsbook Sportsbook has released Colby Covington vs Jorge Masvidal odds with Covington set as the -325 chalk and Masvidal the +250 underdog. These betting odds mean that if you were to try to profit $100 with a Covington win, you’d need to lay $325, while a $100 winning bet on Masvidal would net you $250.

Colby Covington vs Jorge Masvidal Betting Odds
Fighter Odds
Colby Covington  -325
Jorge Masvidal +250

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We can use our sports betting calculator to examine these odds further. There you can see that Colby’s betting line translates to an implied win probability of 76.47 percent while Jorge’s odds represent an implied win probability of 28.57 percent.

If you’re looking to bet on this grudge match, be sure to first check out our How to Bet UFC guide. Also, our sportsbook review page is a great tool to help you choose where to bet on Covington vs Masvidal. We have all your UFC betting news here!

Colby Covington vs Jorge Masvidal Odds Analysis

Despite the persona, “Chaos” Covington can fight. That was evident in his two wars with the champion, Kamaru Usman, which were close battles. As such, it’s no surprise Colby is the betting favorite as he’s only been an underdog three times over his 14-fight UFC career, twice to Usman and once to Demian Maia.

Betting Value On Masvidal

I thought this was interesting: Jorge “Gamebred” Masvidal is more of an underdog on this line than he was when he fought Usman across the world in Abu Dhabi, taking the fight on a week’s notice. That night, Jorge was the +200 underdog, losing by unanimous decision. He was a +270 underdog in their rematch, which ended with an Usman knockout.

Covington vs Masvidal Preview

Prior to his first fight with Usman, Covington had been on a seven-fight winning streak, beating former champions Rafael dos Anjos and Robbie Lawler in dominant fashion. In those fights, Chaos landed a combined 17 takedowns while outstriking his opponents 278-183.

Covington has outstanding conditioning and pace, which wears down his opponents and then he mauls them. On the feet, he’s constantly pressuring with his jab and underrated kicks, but as soon as he gets into the grappling realm, it’s chain wrestling and relentless ground and pound.

Masvidal Must Keep Fight Standing

Gamebred is a veteran of the Octagon, making his UFC debut in 2013 after having been a mainstay in Strikeforce since 2007. Despite a wealth of experience, Masvidal really blew up in 2019 with his five-second knockout win over Ben Askren at UFC 239. His fame grew as people learned about this badass willing to fight anyone at any time, including Leon Edwards backstage in March 2019.

Jorge is a great striker with innovative moves, including his switch-stance superman punch that he knocked out Darren Till with. Additionally, he’s very durable – his knockout loss to Usman last April was his first defeat in that manner since 2008 and he hasn’t been submitted since 2009. The wrestling defense is key, though, as he was taken down seven times in two bouts with Usman, whose wrestling is similar to Covington’s.

Covington vs Masvidal Pick

I cannot wait for this fight! The animosity has been growing for years between these two roommates, who used to move their living room table out of the way so that they could wrestle, cornered each other and then became stars in the same weight class at the same time the friendship turned ugly.

This is a grudge match of familiar foes. For Covington, he must fight the ego and stick to his bread and butter – pace and grappling – while Masvidal must maintain distance, use his kicks and try to capitalize on moments when he bursts forward. Ultimately, I don’t see Covington losing this fight.

Prediction: Colby Covington (-325) via decision

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