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Lewis vs Daukaus Odds & Prediction: Heavyweights Close Out 2021

Chris Daukaus (right) is favored in the Lewis (left) vs Daukaus odds.

A wild 2021 will end with a bang as heavyweights Derrick Lewis and Chris Daukaus headline the final UFC Fight Night of the year.

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs Daukaus is happening on December 18 at the UFC Apex Center in Las Vegas, Nevada. When it comes to Lewis vs Daukaus odds, it is the former title challenger, Lewis, who is the betting underdog.

This bout marks the return of Lewis to the Octagon after he lost to Ciryl Gane for the interim heavyweight championship at UFC 265 in August. That loss snapped a four-fight winning streak.

Speaking of lengthy winning streaks, Daukaus carries one into this bout, having picked up five wins in a row, including four straight in the UFC. He is looking for a victory over a big name to make a push up the rankings.

Lewis vs Daukaus Odds

Online sportsbook Bovada has listed the Lewis vs Daukaus odds with Chris set as the -140 favorite and Derrick the +120 underdog option. This means to profit $100 with a Daukaus win, you need to lay $140, while a $100 bet on a Lewis win would net you $120.

Our sports betting calculator shows that Daukaus’ -140 odds translate to an implied win probability of 58.33 percent while Lewis has an implied win probability of 45.45 percent with his betting line.

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If you’re looking to add the biggest favorite from the UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs Daukaus odds to add to your parlay, you’re going to look at the bantamweight fight between Raoni Barcelos (-350) and Victor Henry (+285). Meanwhile, the fight with the tightest odds comes between Matt Sayles (+105) and Jordan Leavitt (-125).

Lewis vs Daukaus Betting Odds & Fight Card


Lewis vs Daukaus Betting Lines And Fight Card
  • Main Card
  • Heavyweight – Derrick Lewis (+120) vs Chris Daukaus (-140)
  • Welterweight – Stephen Thompson (-210) vs Belal Muhammad (+180)
  • Women’s Strawweight – Amanda Lemos (-300) vs Angela Hill (+240)
  • Featherweight – Raphael Assuncao (+235) vs Ricky Simon (-275)
  • Lightweight – Diego Ferreira (+155) vs Mateusz Gamrot (-180)
  • Featherweight – Cub Swanson (-190) vs Darren Elkins (+165)
  • Prelims
  • Middleweight – Gerald Meerschaert (-230) vs Dustin Stoltzfus (+195)
  • Bantamweight – Raoni Barcelos (-350) vs Victor Henry (+285)
  • Heavyweight – Justin Tafa (-315) vs Harry Hunsucker (+265)
  • Women’s Bantamweight – Sijara Eubanks (-170) vs Melissa Gatto (+145)
  • Bantamweight – Charles Jourdain (-180) vs Andre Ewell (+155)
  • Women’s Bantamweight – Raquel Pennington (-175) vs Macy Chiasson (+150)
  • Heavyweight – Josh Parisian (+170) vs Don’Tale Mayes (-200)
  • Lightweight – Matt Sayles (+105) vs Jordan Leavitt (-125)

Looking to get in on the action for the final UFC Fight Night of the year? Check out our How to Bet UFC page to learn all the ins and outs of UFC betting. Also, see our sportsbook review page for assistance in choosing where to bet on the UFC. You can see all of the most recent UFC betting news here at Odds Shark.


UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs Daukaus Broadcast Information
  • Date/Time: December 18, 7 p.m. ET
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Arena: UFC Apex
  • Where to Watch: ESPN

Derrick Lewis vs Chris Daukaus Odds & Prediction

FighterOdds
Derrick Lewis+120
Chris Daukaus-140

Despite fighting for a world title in his last outing, which resulted in a loss, Derrick “The Black Beast” Lewis (+120) is a betting underdog in this bout. Meanwhile, Chris Daukaus (-140) is unbeaten in the UFC and is looking to make a big jump in the heavyweight rankings.


Lewis: Need to Knows
  • While Lewis did lose his championship fight in August, he had won four straight beforehand, including two by knockout. Overall, he is 25-8 with one no contest and 20 of those wins were by knockout. Five of his losses have come in the same fashion.
  • Those 20 knockout wins are the most all-time in the heavyweight division and tied for the most in the UFC across all weight classes. As a result, The Black Beast has “Knockout King” tattooed on his chest.
  • With all that said, it should come as no surprise that Lewis averages just 0.49 takedowns per 15 minutes, rather keeping the fight standing where he can find an opportunity to land one of his devastating blows.
  • He is primarily a counter-striker, typically having a hard time closing the distance effectively. Derrick will throw kicks from afar or blitz with big overhands but catching foes on their way in is his best approach.
  • Lewis’s last three fights were Aleksei Oleinik (win – knockout), Curtis Blaydes (win – knockout) and Ciryl Gane (loss – knockout).


Daukaus: Need to Knows
  • As said, Daukaus is undefeated in the UFC at 4-0 and is riding a five-fight winning streak overall. His record is 12-3 with 11 knockout victories. All three losses have been finishes, including two knockouts.
  • The full-time police officer believes his conditioning is his best weapon in the heavyweight division, averaging 9.03 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.40. Like Lewis, he has landed no takedowns in the UFC.
  • Being a little light for the weight class (230 lbs) allows him to move around the Octagon quickly and create good angles to let his hands fly. At times, he will look for one shot at a time but I think he does his best work when he’s throwing combinations.
  • Daukaus’s last three fights were Rodrigo Nascimento (win – knockout), Aleksei Oleinik (win – knockout) and Shamil Abdurakhimov (win – knockout).

Prediction: Derrick Lewis (+120) via knockout

Stephen Thompson vs Belal Muhammad Odds & Prediction

FighterOdds
Stephen Thompson-210
Belal Muhammad+180

Unbeaten in his last six fights, Belal “Remember the Name” Muhammad (+180) looks to burst into the top five in the welterweight rankings with a win over a former title challenger. That man is Stephen “Wonderboy” Thompson (-210), who is coming off a loss in July that ended a two-fight winning streak.


Thompson: Need to Knows
  • Thompson has struggled to find consistency recently, sporting a record of 3-3 over his last six. His record stands at 16-5-1 with seven of his wins being knockouts. He’s been stopped only once, by knockout.
  • Wonderboy is an incredible point fighter with a karate background. His sideways stances allow him to be elusive while being able to push off from his back foot, close distance and land a strike quickly.
  • While he stuffs 73 percent of takedown attempts, he was taken down three times in his last fight, the most in his career. Fighters are afraid to shoot for a takedown against him because of his great kicks and speed.
  • Thompson’s last three fights were Vicente Luque (win – unanimous decision), Geoff Neal (win – unanimous decision) and Gilbert Burns (loss – unanimous decision).


Muhammad: Need to Knows
  • Not only is Muhammad unbeaten in his last six but he also has just one loss since 2017. He boasts a 19-3 record with one no contest and 14 decision wins and he too has only been stopped once, by knockout.
  • Remember the Name is very well-rounded, securing 1.80 takedowns per 15 minutes while also averaging 4.61 significant strikes per minute and absorbing just 3.80. He has been outstruck in only four of his last 11 bouts.
  • On the feet, Belal at times will have difficulty closing the distance, typically walking like a boxer and then simply lunging forward with big overhand strikes. However, he’s most dangerous if he can get on the inside in the clinch or on the ground.
  • Muhammad’s last three fights were Dhiego Lima (win – unanimous decision), Leon Edwards (no contest) and Demian Maia (win – unanimous decision).

Prediction: Stephen Thompson (-210) via decision

Amanda Lemos vs Angela Hill Odds & Prediction

FighterOdds
Amanda Lemos-300
Angela Hill+240

Looking to extend her four-fight winning streak is Amanda Lemos (-300) as she finally gets a big name to perhaps vault her into the top 10 in the strawweight rankings. On the other side, Angela “Overkill” Hill (+240) looks to rebound from her decision loss in August.  


Lemos: Need to Knows
  • Lemos had her first and only pro loss in her UFC debut but has been lights-out since then, going 4-0 with three stoppages. She carries a 10-1-1 record with nine finishes, including seven knockouts. Her lone defeat came by knockout.
  • Amanda’s stats are eye-opening, with a perfect 100 percent takedown defense and takedown accuracy as she averages 1.95 takedowns per 15 minutes. In striking, she averages 6.32 significant strikes per minute and absorbs 5.38.
  • The southpaw has odd movements as she moves forward in her Muay Thai stance. Her kicks are powerful as she backs her foes up before letting her fast and powerful hands fly.
  • Lemos’s last three fights were Mizuki Inoue (win – unanimous decision), Livinha Souza (win – knockout) and Montserrat Ruiz (win – knockout).


Hill: Need to Knows
  • One of the UFC’s most active fighters returns for her seventh fight since the start of 2020. She is 3-3 in the past six and sports a 13-10 record overall with five knockout wins and two submission losses.
  • Overkill looks to keep the fight standing in a Muay Thai-style fight, though she does mix in 0.54 takedowns per 15 minutes. On the feet, she has a high output of 5.71 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 5.25.
  • The orthodox fighter is aggressive, always staying in the face of her opponents, and has a herky-jerky style of feinting with her hands before throwing. She struggles to find distance and seems to just throw in hopes her foes will walk into it. She lacks big power to back her opponents off of her.
  • Hill’s last three fights were Michelle Waterson (loss – split decision), Ashley Yoder (win – unanimous decision) and Tecia Torres (loss – unanimous decision).

Prediction: Amanda Lemos (-300) via decision

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Raphael Assuncao vs Ricky Simon Odds & Prediction

FighterOdds
Raphael Assuncao+235
Ricky Simon-275

Facing the longest losing stretch of his career, Raphael Assuncao (+235) looks to get back in the win column for the first time since 2018. Conversely, Ricky Simon (-275) hasn’t tasted defeat in over two years.


Assuncao: Need to Knows
  • Prior to this recent stretch of three losses in a row, Assuncao had won 11 of 12 fights, losing only to T.J. Dillashaw over that span. He is now 27-8 with 14 stoppage victories, 10 of them submissions. Half of his losses have been finishes – two knockouts and two submissions.
  • Assuncao is well-rounded but not spectacular in any one area. He can grapple if that’s where the fight plays out but he also has the ability to stand and strike for the duration of the bout.
  • Raphael has good kicks at long range and mixes the target up well with those attacks. He’s most dangerous in the pocket, countering and slipping, but can be picked apart in kickboxing-style fights.
  • Assuncao’s last three fights were Marlon Moraes (loss – submission), Cory Sandhagen (loss – unanimous decision) and Cody Garbrandt (loss – knockout).


Simon: Need to Knows
  • Simon faced the first losing streak of his career with back-to-back losses in 2019 and has won three straight since. He holds an 18-3 record with eight stoppages, and two of his losses were finishes as well.
  • Ricky is aggressive in searching for the takedown, averaging 6.93 per 15 minutes and securing 26 over his last four fights. However, when it comes to striking, he absorbs more than he lands (3.13 to 3.08).
  • His striking has improved with a snappy jab and a decent right hook that he can work behind but ultimately he’s looking for his opponent to enter his range so he can level change.
  • Simon’s last three fights were Ray Borg (win – split decision), Gaetano Pirrelo (win – submission) and Brian Kelleher (win – unanimous decision).

Prediction: Ricky Simon (-275) via decision

Diego Ferreira vs Mateusz Gamrot Odds & Prediction

FighterOdds
Diego Ferreira+155
Mateusz Gamrot-180

For the second time in his career, Diego Ferreira (+155) has dropped two fights in a row but he’s never lost three straight. Conversely, Mateusz “Gamer” Gamrot (-180) has won his last two trips to the Octagon, both by finish.


Ferreira: Need to Knows
  • Prior to this recent slump, Ferreira had been on a six-fight winning streak with three of those victories being stoppages. He has a 17-4 record with 10 stoppages, seven by submission. Two of his losses have come by knockout.
  • While the Brazilian has good submission skills, he doesn’t mind pushing the pace on the feet, backing his foes up with kicks before getting in the pocket and letting his hands fly. He does average nearly a takedown per 15 minutes but is only successful on 24 percent of attempts.
  • In the grappling department, he was taken to the canvas nine times in his last two fights. Diego has a good jab with a decent 74-inch reach keeping his foes at bay but he lacks big knockout power.
  • Ferreira’s last three fights were Anthony Pettis (win – knockout), Beneil Dariush (loss – split decision) and Gregor Gillespie (loss – knockout).


Gamrot: Need to Knows
  • Gamrot had a tough draw in his UFC debut, losing a split decision to dangerous Georgian fighter Guram Kutateladze. That defeat is the only one on his record as he’s 19-1 with one no contest and 11 of his wins have been stoppages, including six knockouts.
  • The Poland native is now training at the American Top Team in Florida. A well-rounded fighter who certainly has the makeup of a future champion, he averages a ridiculous 5.35 takedowns per 15 minutes and has never been brought down.
  • Gamer is also a threat on the feet as the southpaw averages 4.10 significant strikes per minute and absorbs only 2.09. He rarely loads up on strikes, typically just touching his foes and landing with decent accuracy before looking for his opportunity to shoot for a takedown.
  • Gamrot’s last three fights were Guram Kutateladze (loss – split decision), Scott Holtzman (win – knockout) and Jeremy Stephens (win – submission).

Prediction: Mateusz Gamrot (-180) via decision

Cub Swanson vs Darren Elkins Odds & Prediction

FighterOdds
Cub Swanson-190
Darren Elkins+165

What a bout to open up the final main card of the year. For the first time in over three years, Darren “The Damage” Elkins (+165) is on a winning streak and is looking for a third win in a row. Meanwhile, Cub “Killer” Swanson (-190) had his two-fight winning streak snapped in his last appearance in May.


Swanson: Need to Knows
  • This will be the 21st walk to the cage for Swanson, who is looking to improve his 27-12 record. He has 14 stoppage wins, including 12 knockouts, and has been submitted seven times.
  • While Cub mixes in 1.08 takedowns per 15 minutes, he has landed only one takedown over his last seven fights. On the feet, he has a high output of 4.63 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.66.
  • Killer is very active, constantly setting up angles to attack. He is a volume fighter too; when he lands cleanly, he often will put together combinations that ultimately wear his foes down.
  • Swanson’s last three fights were Kron Gracie (win – unanimous decision), Daniel Pineda (win – knockout) and Giga Chikadze (loss – knockout).


Elkins: Need to Knows
  • Elkins had won six straight fights from 2015 to 2018 but then a four-fight slide immediately followed. Overall, he has a 26-9 record with 14 finishes, including nine knockouts, and he has been stopped only four times.
  • As an Alpha Team product, The Damage is known for high output and grappling, averaging 2.67 takedowns per 15 minutes. In striking, he averages 3.46 significant strikes per minute and absorbs 3.05.
  • He is as tough as they come, constantly moving forward. Elkins has a tendency to be a bit of a punching bag on the feet but absorbs it and then will counter heavily or shoot for a takedown. 
  • Elkins’ last three fights were Nate Landwehr (loss – unanimous decision), Luiz Eduardo Garagorri (win – submission) and Darrick Minner (win – knockout).

Prediction: Cub Swanson (-190) via decision

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs Daukaus Best Bets

FighterOdds
Heavyweight – Derrick Lewis+120
Welterweight – Stephen Thompson-210
Women’s Strawweight – Amanda Lemos-300
Bantamweight – Ricky Simon-275
Lightweight – Mateusz Gamrot-180
Featherweight – Cub Swanson-190