Paul Felder vs Rafael dos Anjos Odds

Felder vs dos Anjos Odds & Expert Picks: Felder Brings Late-Notice War

Following back-to-back losses in the welterweight division, former lightweight champion Rafael dos Anjos is returning to the weight class he once reigned over as he takes on hard-nosed contender Paul Felder this Saturday, November 14, at the UFC Apex Performance Center.

In the Paul Felder vs Rafael dos Anjos odds, it is dos Anjos who is the favorite with Felder being listed as the underdog. We have a full preview, picks and the UFC Fight Night: Felder vs dos Anjos odds below.

RDA moved up to welterweight after losing two consecutive fights and his belt at lightweight but went 4-4 in that division, including losses to former interim champion Colby Covington and current champion Kamaru Usman.

The last time Felder was in the cage, he found himself on the wrong side of a close split decision vs Dan Hooker in New Zealand. Following that defeat, the “Irish Dragon” announced his retirement, but here we are.


Online sportsbook Sportsbook has released the UFC Fight Night: Felder vs dos Anjos odds and has listed RDA as the favorite at -190 with Felder coming back as the +155 underdog. That means you would have to wager $190 on dos Anjos to profit $100, while a $100 bet on Felder would profit you $155.

According to our sports betting calculator, Rafael dos Anjos’ odds of -190 have an implied win probability of 65.52 percent, while Felder’s odds of +155 have an implied win probability of 39.22 percent.

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UFC Fight Night: Felder vs dos Anjos Odds

  • Lightweight – Paul Felder (+155) vs Rafael dos Anjos (-190)
  • Welterweight – Abdul Razak Alhassan (-250) vs Khaos Williams (+195)
  • Middleweight – Julian Marquez (-310) vs Saparbeg Safarov (+240)
  • Women’s Strawweight – Kay Hansen (-225) vs Cory McKenna (+175)
  • Middleweight – Eryk Anders (-130) vs Antonio Arroyo (EVEN)
  • Prelims
  • Catchweight – Sean Strickland (-105) vs Brendan Allen (-125)
  • Women’s Strawweight – Ashley Yoder (+135) vs Miranda Granger (-165)
  • Welterweight – Alex Morono (-175) vs Rhys McKee (+145)
  • Bantamweight – Jose Quinonez (+120) vs Louis Smolka (-150)
  • Women’s Strawweight – Randa Markos (+155) vs Kanako Murata (-190)
  • Bantamweight – Geraldo de Freitas Jr. (+120) vs Tony Gravely (-150)
  • Heavyweight – Don’Tale Mayes (-240) vs Roque Martinez (+190)

New to betting on the fights? Check out our UFC betting guide to help you get in the action. Also, be sure to keep an eye on our UFC odds page for the latest up-to-date betting lines.

UFC Vegas 14: Felder vs dos Anjos Broadcast Information

  • Date/Time: November 14, 4 p.m. ET
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Arena: UFC Apex Performance Center
  • Where to Watch: ESPN+

Paul Felder vs Rafael dos Anjos Betting Odds

Fighter Odds
Paul Felder +155
Rafael dos Anjos -190

Before Felder (+155) lost to Dan Hooker, he had won five of his previous six, with the lone loss coming in a fight in which he broke his arm in the first round but still fought to a split decision. With this walk to the Octagon, dos Anjos (-190) will look to pick up his first lightweight victory since December 2019.

Felder: Need to Knows
  • How bad-ass is Paul Felder? He was set to commentate the fights this weekend and then steps into the main event with a former champion on five days’ notice.
  • The Irish Dragon is a tough fight any night as well, getting in the face of his opponents and matching them strike for strike in all-out brawls that often leave both combatants headed to the hospital.
  • He does his best work when he’s countering, but at longer ranges, he can be picked apart with snapping jabs and leg kicks. That said, he will fire his fair share of kicks as well and if he slips the jab, his powerful hooks batter his opponents.
  • With this fighting style, you might assume that there would be plenty of finishes on his record, but he’s only been stopped once via doctor’s stoppage. But 11 of his 17 pro wins have been finishes, 10 by knockout and one by submission.
  • Felder’s last three fights were James Vick (win – unanimous decision), Edson Barboza (win – unanimous decision) and Dan Hooker (loss – split decision).
dos Anjos: Need to Knows
  • Although the record hasn’t been pretty for RDA recently, dropping six of his last 10, four of those losses were to either champions or interim champions.
  • On his rise at lightweight, he had won 10 of 11 bouts en route to winning the title, with his lone defeat over that span coming against Khabib Nurmagomedov. Of his 42 pro fights, 24 have reached the judges’ scorecards and he has only been finished three times.
  • RDA is a very well-rounded fighter, averaging 1.82 takedowns per 15 minutes, and he lands 3.47 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.18.
  • He does a great job closing distance and getting in a war, with strong, accurate kicks followed by a barrage of punches as he gets in close range and into a grappling attempt. RDA’s tempo slows significantly as the fight progresses; the first round is usually when he is most dangerous as he has incredible output.
  • Dos Anjos’ last three fights were Kevin Lee (win – submission), Leon Edwards (loss – unanimous decision) and Michael Chiesa (loss – unanimous decision).

Prediction: Paul Felder (+155) via decision

Abdul Razak Alhassan vs Khaos Williams Betting Odds

Fighter Odds
Abdul Razak Alhassan -250
Khaos Williams +195

After a successful UFC debut, Kalinn “Khaos” Williams (+195) looks to move to 2-0 in the UFC and extend his seven-fight winning streak. Meanwhile, Abdul “Judo Thunder” Razak Alhassan (-250) aims to return to the win column after his three-fight winning streak was ended in July.

Alhassan: Need to Knows
  • It is all or nothing for Alhassan in the cage, with all 10 of his pro wins coming via first-round knockout, while his two losses came by decision. If the fight progresses outside the first round, there could be value to live-bet Williams.
  • Judo Thunder has been outstruck in half of his six UFC bouts and he absorbs an average of 5.05 significant strikes per minute while dishing out 4.54. That said, the belief in his power encourages him to get in these phone booth-style fights.
  • From the outset of a bout, he is all-out pressure on his opponent, backing them against the cage and throwing heavy hooks looking to put them away. There are opportunities to hit Alhassan in the pocket. He tends to throw hooks, so a straight punch is effective, though opening up leaves his opponent vulnerable.
  • If Williams can survive the first minute, Alhassan slows significantly and his strikes become a little sloppy. He will still have mini-flurries for the remainder of the bout but he’s definitely less dangerous.
  • Alhassan’s last three fights were Sabah Homasi (win – knockout), Niko Price (win – knockout) and Mounir Lazzez (loss – unanimous decision).
Williams: Need to Knows
  • Unlike Alhassan, Williams has earned victories outside of the first round, including four decision wins, while his lone defeat also came on the judges’ scorecards.
  • Khaos made short work of Alex Morono in his UFC debut, landing 10 strikes while only absorbing one en route to a 27-second knockout victory.
  • He is a little more patient than Alhassan. Rather than rush in looking to put his opponent away, he prefers to counter with powerful flurries. When he goes on the attack, it’s with powerful hooks to end the night.
  • At times, he will throw leg kicks without setting them up and drops his hands in doing so, which is something he will want to avoid in this fight.
  • Williams’ last three fights were Bo Yan (win – knockout), Jeremie Holloway (win – unanimous decision) and Alex Morono (win – knockout).

Prediction: Abdul Razak Alhassan (-250) via knockout

Julian Marquez vs Saparbek Safarov Betting Odds

Fighter Odds
Julian Marquez -310
Saparbek Safarov +240

These are two fighters looking to get back to their winning ways after taking a loss in their last appearance. Saparbek Safarov (+240) is just 1-3 in the UFC, getting stopped in all three of his losses while scoring a decision in his lone win. Julian “The Cuban Missile Crisis” Marquez (-310) suffered a split-decision loss in 2018 and hasn’t been in action since.

Marquez: Need to Knows
  • Marquez earned a UFC contract in the first season of Dana White’s Tuesday Night Contender Series and followed that up with a win over Darren Stewart. But in his split-decision loss, he suffered a fully torn lat muscle, forcing him out for two years.
  • He has finished all seven of his pro wins (six knockouts, one submission) while his two losses came by decision.
  • The Cuban Missile Crisis uses a lot of feints to set up his shots, constantly cutting off the cage and pressuring his opponents against the fence. He has good kicks but his main approach is to land his heavy right hand and he rarely rushes for the finish.
  • Marquez’s last three fights were Phil Hawes (win – knockout), Darren Stewart (win – submission) and Alessio Di Chirico (loss – split decision).
Safarov: Need to Knows
  • Safarov had a perfect 8-0 record with eight finishes, seven of them coming in the first round, prior to being signed to the UFC. He has gone 1-3 in the Octagon.
  • He has only outstruck one opponent in the UFC, though he has landed five takedowns over those four bouts.
  • Safarov is patient in his approach and is hesitant to throw hands, but his kicks are powerful and fast. When he does decide to punch, he tends to dip his head and charge forward with overhand hooks, looking to close the distance and get the fight into a clinch.
  • Lastly, he is an undisciplined fighter around the cage and in grappling exchanges, grabbing the fence and his opponents’ gloves, which can lead to point deductions.
  • Safarov’s last three fights were Tyson Pedro (loss – submission), Nicolae Negumereanu (win – unanimous decision) and Rodolfo Vieira (loss – submission).

Prediction: Julian Marquez (-310) via knockout

Kay Hansen vs Cory McKenna

Fighter Odds
Kay Hansen -225
Cory McKenna +175

A pair of 21-year-old prospects look to take the next jump forward in their UFC careers. Kay Hansen (-225) had a successful debut in the Octagon in June, scoring a third-round submission over Jinh Yu Frey. Meanwhile, Cory “The Hobbit” McKenna (+175) is fresh off earning a UFC contract in DWTNCS in August.

Hansen: Need to Knows
  • After a slow start to her career in going 4-3, Hansen finds herself on a three-fight winning streak. Of her seven pro wins, six have been finishes, four by submission and two by knockout.
  • On the feet, she’s quite hesitant, looking for her opponents to engage with her so she can shoot for a takedown and put her submission skills on display. Hansen has a good jab but typically she dips her head and wings hooks.
  • Hansen’s last three fights were Nicolle Callari (win – submission), Liana Ferreira Pirosin (win – unanimous decision) and Jinh Yu Frey (win – submission).
McKenna: Need to Knows
  • Though she didn’t earn a stoppage in Dana White’s Tuesday Night Contender Series, her aggressive, never-say-die mentality won the boss over.
  • She reminds me a little bit of “Meatball” Molly McCann, a fellow Brit, in that both women like to close the distance and get into a brawl. McKenna has good top control on the floor, though she doesn’t always see submission attempts coming.
  • McKenna’s last three fights were Fannie Redman (win – submission), Giulia Chinello (win – knockout) and Crystal Vanessa Demopoulos (win – unanimous decision).

Prediction: Kay Hansen (-225) via submission

Eryk Anders vs Antonio Arroyo Betting Odds

Fighter Odds
Eryk Anders -130
Antonio Arroyo EVEN

Eryk “Ya Boi” Anders (-130) had back-to-back wins in the back half of 2019 but took a unanimous loss in his lone fight to date in 2020. He will look to rebound against Antonio Arroyo (EVEN), who lost his UFC debut last November.

Anders: Need to Knows
  • Ya Boi is extremely tough, which is evident in his record with just one knockout loss, which came against Thiago Santos, while eight of his 13 pro wins are via knockout.
  • Anders has always been a little raw in his technique, which is understandable with much of his life dedicated to football. He played for Alabama in college, was a member of the Cleveland Browns and played in the CFL, all before switching to MMA.
  • All that said, he’s got good power in his strikes, though they tend to come one at a time and he loads up when throwing them. In his early UFC days, he secured nine takedowns in five fights but he hasn’t landed one in his last five.
  • Anders’ last three fights were Vinicius Moreira Castro (win – knockout), Gerald Meerschaert (win – split decision) and Krzysztof Jotko (loss – unanimous decision).
Arroyo: Need to Knows
  • Arroyo had two appearances in Dana White’s Tuesday Night Contender Series, securing a contract in his second attempt. He lost his UFC debut, snapping a five-fight winning streak.
  • He did outstrike Andre Muniz in that loss but was dragged to the floor three times. Eight of his nine pro wins have been finishes, four by knockout and four by submission.
  • Arroyo is very light on his feet, almost like a karate fighter, and has fast powerful kicks. At times, he gets a little excited rushing in against his opponents, which can get him taken down or running into a powerful strike.
  • Because he holds his hands low, he can be hit hard if he’s rushed with punches and doesn’t use footwork to get out of danger.
  • Arroyo’s last three fights were Diego Henrique da Silva (win – unanimous decision), Stephen Regman (win – submission) and Andre Muniz (loss – unanimous decision).

Prediction: Antonio Arroyo (EVEN) via decision

UFC Fight Night: Felder vs dos Anjos Odds & Picks

Fighter Odds
Lightweight – Paul Felder +155
Welterweight – Abdul Razak Alhassan -250
Middleweight – Julian Marquez  -310
Women’s Strawweight – Kay Hansen -225
Middleweight – Antonio Arroyo EVEN